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AI Earnings Predictions for Innoviva Inc. (INVA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.94%

$21.88

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+7.36%

$22.82

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+7.27%

$22.80

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $21.26 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +2.94% +7.36% +7.27% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +3.01% +8.01% +7.62% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +3.23% +8.67% +8.77% 100.0% +2.75%
Q4 2025 SELL -1.64% -4.21% -2.81% 100.0% -6.23%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.94%

$21.88

Act: -9.50%

5D

+7.36%

$22.82

20D

+7.27%

$22.80

Price: $21.26 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-447366

EX-99.1

2 d177079dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Innoviva Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results; Highlights Recent Company Progress

Innoviva Specialty Therapeutics commercial momentum continues with $43.3 million generated in U.S. net product sales, representing 45% year-over-year growth

$58.1 million in quarterly revenue from durable royalty portfolio

Returned capital to shareholders through repurchase of 1.2 million shares in Q3 under $125 million buyback program

BURLINGAME, Calif. – Nov 4, 2026 – Innoviva, Inc. (NASDAQ: INVA) (“Innoviva” or the “Company”), a diversified biopharmaceutical company with a core royalties portfolio, a leading critical care and infectious disease platform known as Innoviva Specialty Therapeutics (IST), and a portfolio of strategic investments in healthcare assets, today reported financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026, and highlighted select corporate progress and achievements.

“IST delivered another quarter of excellent growth, with U.S. net product sales increasing 45% year-over-year to $43.3 million, keeping us on track to achieve our 2026 guidance of at least $150 million in U.S. net product sales. We are excited about the potential to meaningfully expand the reach of our products and expect operating leverage, supported by sustained fiscal discipline, to strengthen the business’s profitability as revenues grow. Marking another milestone for IST, NUZOLVENCE®, a first-in-class, single-dose oral antibiotic for the treatment of uncomplicated urogenital gonorrhea, is now commercially available in the U.S.,” said Pavel Raifeld, Chief Executive Officer of Innoviva.

“Our durable royalty portfolio, coupled with a strong balance sheet and IST’s expanding revenue base, provides a strong foundation for disciplined, value-accretive capital allocation. To that end, we evaluate new opportunities that can broaden our portfolio and further accelerate growth alongside investments in our high-potential strategic healthcare assets. We also continue to execute on our share repurchase program, reflecting our excitement and conviction in Innoviva’s long-term prospects,” concluded Mr. Raifeld.

Financial Highlights

•

Total revenue: $106.1 million, decreased modestly by 1.6% year over year compared to $107.8 million for the third quarter of 2025, as growth in U.S. net product sales was partially offset with lower royalty revenue and fluctuations in the timing of inventory sales to ex-U.S. partners.

•

Royalty revenue: gross royalty revenue from Glaxo Group Limited (“GSK”) remained stable at $58.1 million.

•

Net product sales: $49.4 million, comprising $43.3 million in U.S. net product sales and $6.1 million in ex-U.S. sales. U.S. net product sales increased 45% year-over-year, compared to $29.9 million in the same quarter of 2025. U.S. net product sales primarily consisted of $23.1 million from GIAPREZA®, $16.1 million from XACDURO®, and $3.4 million from XERAVA®.

•

Income from operations: $42.2 million, 21.9% increase compared to $34.6 million for the third quarter of 2025, primarily driven by higher U.S. net product sales, partially offset by increased operating expenses associated with the expansion of commercial activities to support future sales growth.

•

Equity and long-term investments: net unfavorable changes in fair value of equity and long-term

investments totaled $139.5 million, primarily attributable to a decline in the stock price of Armata Pharmaceuticals at quarter-end. As of September 30, 2026, Innoviva’s strategic healthcare investments were valued at $535.5 million, consisting of $323.7 million invested in Armata Pharmaceuticals, $179.9 million in other strategic equity and convertible debt investments, and $31.9 million in investments held by ISP Fund.

•

Net income: net loss of $73.9 million, or $1.03 basic loss per share, driven primarily by a decrease in fair value of equity and long-term investments.

•

Cash and cash equivalents: totaled $581.4 million. Royalty and net product sales receivables totaled $102.1 million as of September 30, 2026.

Business Highlights

•

Innoviva Specialty Therapeutics (IST)

•

Updated 2026 guidance from the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) further strengthens the clinical positioning of XACDURO® (sulbactam/durlobactam for injection), reaffirming its use with imipenem or meropenem as the preferred treatment for invasive carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) infections. By recommending high-dose ampicillin-sulbactam combination regimens only as temporary bridging therapy when XACDURO® is not immediately available, the updated guidance underscores the importance of timely hospital access and supports XACDURO®’s opportunity for broader adoption and continued commercial growth.

•

The 2026 Antimicrobial Resistance Threats Report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention identifies four pathogens in its highest threat category, requiring “urgent and ag

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.01%

$21.13

Act: +2.93%

5D

+8.01%

$22.15

20D

+7.62%

$22.07

Price: $20.51 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-335192

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.23%

$23.25

Act: +1.24%

5D

+8.67%

$24.47

Act: +2.75%

20D

+8.77%

$24.49

Act: -1.60%

Price: $22.52 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-209044

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About Innoviva Inc. (INVA) Earnings

This page provides Innoviva Inc. (INVA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on INVA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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