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AI Earnings Predictions for Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.13%

$156.30

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-2.88%

$153.54

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+0.40%

$158.72

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $158.09 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL -1.13% -2.88% +0.40% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 BUY +0.92% +2.81% +4.37% 100.0% -10.97%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.13%

$156.30

5D

-2.88%

$153.54

20D

+0.40%

$158.72

Price: $158.09 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-052145

EX-99.1

2 tm2612824d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Intercontinental Exchange Reports Record First Quarter 2026

• Record 1Q26 net revenues of $3.0 billion, +20% y/y

• 1Q26 GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.48, +80% y/y

• 1Q26 adj. diluted EPS of $2.35, +37% y/y

• Record 1Q26 operating income of $1.7 billion, +36% y/y; record adj. operating income of $1.9 billion, +29% y/y

• 1Q26 operating margin of 56%; adj. operating margin of 65%

• Through March 31, 2026, returned $848 million to stockholders, including over $550 million in share repurchases

Jeff Sprecher,

ICE Chair & Chief Executive Officer, said,

"We are pleased to report record first quarter results, driven by the strength of our diversified platform and the continued trust of our global customers. In a quarter marked by significant macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, our customers increasingly relied on our mission-critical markets, data, and technology to navigate complexity and manage risk. The breadth of our business model, spanning exchanges, fixed income, and mortgage technology, continues to provide resilience and multiple avenues for growth. As we look to the balance of the year and beyond, ICE is well positioned to serve our customers, drive innovation, and create value for our stockholders."

ATLANTA & NEW YORK, April 30, 2026 - Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), a leading global provider of technology and data, today reported financial results for the first quarter of 2026. For the quarter ended March 31, 2026, consolidated net income attributable to ICE was $1.4 billion on $3.0 billion of consolidated revenues, less transaction-based expenses. First quarter GAAP diluted EPS were $2.48. Adjusted net income attributable to ICE was $1.3 billion in the first quarter and adjusted diluted EPS were $2.35. Please refer to the reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures included in this press release for more information on our adjusted operating expenses, adjusted operating income, adjusted operating margin, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS and adjusted free cash flow.

Warren Gardiner, ICE Chief Financial Officer, added: "ICE's first quarter results reflect the durability and quality of our business model, delivering record revenues and record operating income. Our strong cash flows enabled us to return $848 million to stockholders, including over $550 million in share repurchases, while also investing in strategic growth initiatives and maintaining leverage within our target range. Looking ahead, we remain focused on disciplined investment, operational rigor, and creating value for our stockholders."

First Quarter 2026 Business Highlights

First quarter consolidated net revenues were $3.0 billion including exchange net revenues of $1.8 billion, fixed income and data services revenues of $657 million and mortgage technology revenues of $539 million. Consolidated operating expenses were $1.3 billion for the first quarter of 2026. On an adjusted basis, consolidated operating expenses were $1.0 billion. Consolidated operating income for the first quarter was $1.7 billion, and the operating margin was 56%. On an adjusted basis, consolidated operating income for the first quarter was $1.9 billion, and the adjusted operating margin was 65%.

$ (in millions) Net Revenues Op Margin Adj Op Margin

1Q26

Exchanges $1,781 79% 80%

Fixed Income and Data Services $657 42% 47%

Mortgage Technology $539 (2)% 39%

Consolidated $2,977 56% 65%

1Q26

1Q25

% Chg

Recurring Revenues $1,320 $1,236 7%

Transaction Revenues, net $1,657 $1,237 34%

Exchanges Segment Results

First quarter exchange net revenues were $1.8 billion. Exchange operating expenses were $378 million, and adjusted operating expenses were $362 million in the first quarter. Segment operating income for the first quarter was $1.4 billion, and the operating margin was 79%. On an adjusted basis, operating income was $1.4 billion, and the adjusted operating margin was 80%.

$ (in millions)

1Q26

1Q25

% Chg Const Curr(1)

Revenues, net:

Energy $814 $557 46% 41%

Ags and Metals 81 64 26% 25%

Financials(2) 256 156 65% 56%

Cash Equities and Equity Options, net 123 119 3% 3%

OTC and Other(3) 102 103 (1)% (2)%

Data and Connectivity Services 277 246 13% 13%

Listings 128 122 5% 5%

Segment Revenues $1,781 $1,367 30% 27%

Recurring Revenues $405 $368 10% 10%

Transaction Revenues, net $1,376 $999 38% 33%

(1) Net revenues in constant currency are calculated holding both the pound sterling and euro at the average exchange rate from 1Q25, 1.2609 and 1.0531, respectively.

(2) Financials include interest rates and other financial futures and options.

(3) OTC & Other includes net interest income and fees on certain clearing margin deposits, regulatory penalties and fines, fees for use of our facilities, regulatory fees charged to member organizations of our U.S. securities exchanges, designated market maker service fees, exchange member fees, bilateral trading

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.92%

$169.83

Act: +0.42%

5D

+2.81%

$173.01

Act: -10.97%

20D

+4.37%

$175.65

Price: $168.29 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-010646

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0001571949

2026-02-05 2026-02-05

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE

COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 or 15(d) of THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 5, 2026

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Delaware 001-36198 46-2286804

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation) (Commission

File No.) (I.R.S. Employer

Identification Number)

5660 New Northside Drive, Third Floor, Atlanta, Georgia 30328

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (770) 857-4700

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share

ICE

New York Stock Exchange

NYSE Texas, Inc.

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 5, 2026, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release announcing such financial results is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.

The information contained herein, including the attached press release, is furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 except as may be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Intercontinental Exchange makes references to non-GAAP financial information in the attached press release. A description of the non-GAAP financial information and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial information to the comparable GAAP financial measures are contained in the attached press release and Intercontinental Exchange’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d)            Exhibits

The following exhibits are filed as part of this Current Report on Form 8-K:

Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press Release dated February 5, 2026.

104 The cover page from Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.’s Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

INTERCONTINETAL EXCHANGE, INC.

/s/ A. Warren Gardiner

A. Warren Gardiner

Chief Financial Officer

Date: February 5, 2026

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 30, 2025

0001104659-25-104017

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0001571949

2025-10-30 2025-10-30

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UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE

COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT

TO SECTION 13 or 15(d) of THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 30, 2025

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Delaware 001-36198 46-2286804

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation) (Commission File No.) (I.R.S. Employer

Identification Number)

5660 New Northside Drive, Third Floor, Atlanta, Georgia 30328

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (770) 857-4700

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of Each Exchange on Which

Registered

Common Stock, $0.01 par value per share

ICE

New York Stock Exchange

NYSE Texas, Inc.

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 30, 2025, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (“ICE”) announced its financial results for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of ICE’s press release announcing such financial results is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.

The information contained herein, including the attached press release, is furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 except as may be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

ICE makes references to non-GAAP

financial information in the attached press release. A description of the non-GAAP financial information and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial information to the comparable GAAP financial measures are contained in the attached press release and ICE’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)  Exhibits

Exhibit No. Description

99.1

Press release dated October 30, 2025.

104 The cover page from Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.’s Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

INTERCONTINENTAL EXCHANGE, INC.

Date: October 30, 2025 /s/ A. Warren Gardiner

A. Warren Gardiner

Chief Financial Officer

About Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) Earnings

This page provides Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ICE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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