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AI Earnings Predictions for Hawthorn Bancshares Inc. (HWBK)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.37%

$39.23

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.22%

$40.33

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+9.85%

$42.51

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $38.70 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.37% +4.22% +9.85% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +1.30% +4.57% +11.07% 100.0% +0.72%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.09% +3.37% +11.89% 100.0% +11.15%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.37%

$39.23

Act: -0.13%

5D

+4.22%

$40.33

20D

+9.85%

$42.51

Price: $38.70 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000893847-26-000084

EX-99.1

2 q22026earnings-ex991626.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Hawthorn Bancshares Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Jefferson City, MO — July 29, 2026 — Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: HWBK), (the “Company”), the bank holding company for Hawthorn Bank, reported second quarter 2026 net income of $7.3 million, or earnings per diluted share (“EPS”) of $1.06.

Second Quarter 2026 Results

•Net income improved $1.2 million, or 20.1%, to $7.3 million from the second quarter 2025 (the "prior year quarter") and the efficiency ratio improved to 60.66% compared to 62.32% for the prior year quarter

•EPS of $1.06, an improvement of $0.18 per share, or 20%, from the prior year quarter

•Net interest margin, fully taxable equivalent ("FTE") improved in the second quarter 2026 to 4.16% compared to 4.07% for the first quarter 2026 (the "prior quarter”) and 3.89% for the prior year quarter

•Provision for credit losses was $0.2 million higher than the prior quarter

•Return on average assets and equity of 1.63% and 16.39%, respectively

•Loans decreased $37.8 million, or 2.6%, and deposits decreased $30.1 million, or 2.0%, compared to the prior quarter

•Investments increased $25.4 million, or 12.0%, compared to the prior quarter

•Credit quality remained stable with non-performing assets to total loans of 0.53% compared to 0.35% in the prior year quarter

•Remained "well capitalized" with total risk-based capital of 16.40%

•Book value per share was $26.50, an increase of $1.07, or 4.2%, compared to the prior quarter and $3.97, or 17.6%, compared to the prior year quarter

(unaudited)

1

$000, except per share data

June 30,March 31,June 30,

202620262025

Balance sheet information

Total assets$1,773,040$1,855,860$1,877,417

Loans held for investment1,416,3601,454,1711,462,898

Investment securities236,171210,808229,392

Deposits1,488,1891,518,3161,517,986

Total stockholders’ equity182,794175,386156,823

Market and per share data

Book value per share$26.50 $25.43 $22.53

Market price per share39.30 33.69 29.14

Diluted earnings per share (QTR) 1.06 0.83 0.88

Financial Results for the Second Quarter 2026

Earnings

Net income for the second quarter 2026 was $7.3 million, an increase of $1.58 million, or 27.6%, from the prior quarter, and an increase of $1.2 million, or 20.1%, from the prior year quarter. EPS improved to $1.06 for the second quarter 2026 compared to $0.83 for the prior quarter and $0.88 for the prior year quarter.

Net Interest Income and Net Interest Margin

Net interest income for the second quarter 2026 was $17.3 million, an increase of $0.2 million from the prior quarter, and an increase of $1.1 million from the prior year quarter.

Interest income increased $0.4 million compared to the prior year quarter, driven primarily by higher rates on earning assets in the current quarter, while interest expense decreased $0.7 million compared to the prior year quarter due to lower costs on deposits. Net interest margin, on an FTE basis, was 4.16% for the current quarter, compared to 4.07% for the prior quarter, and 3.89% for the prior year quarter.

The yield earned on average loans held for investment increased to 6.18%, on an FTE basis, for the second quarter 2026, compared to 6.11% for the prior quarter and 5.98% for the prior year quarter.

The average cost of deposits was 2.13% for the second quarter 2026, compared to 2.15% for the prior quarter and 2.35% for the prior year quarter. Non-interest bearing demand deposits as a percent of total deposits was 28.0% as of June 30, 2026, compared to 28.0% and 27.7% at March 31, 2026 and June 30, 2025, respectively.

2

Non-interest Income

Total non-interest income for the second quarter 2026 was $5.3 million, an increase of $2.2 million, or 72.1%, from the prior quarter, and an increase of $1.8 million, or 50.6%, from the prior year quarter. The increase during the quarter was primarily due the recognition of a gain the sale of a bank administrative office that was no longer being used.

Non-interest Expense

Total non-interest expense for the second quarter 2026 was $13.7 million, an increase of $0.7 million, or 5.4%, from the prior quarter, and an increase of $1.4 million, or 11.7%, from the prior year quarter.

The second quarter 2026 efficiency ratio was 60.66% compared to 64.29% and 62.32% for the prior quarter and prior year quarter, respectively. The improvement in the current quarter compared to the prior year quarter was primarily due to higher net interest margin and an increase in non-interest income.

Loans

Loans held for investment decreased $37.8 million, or 2.6%, to $1.42 billion as of June 30, 2026 compared to March 31, 2026, and decreased $46.5 million, or 3.2% from June 30, 2025.

Investments

Investments increased $25.4 million, or 12.0%, to $236.2 million as of June 30, 2026 compared to March 31, 2026, and increased $6.8 million, or 3.0%, from June 30, 2025.

Asset Quality

Non-performing assets to total loans was 0.53% at

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K/A BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.30%

$36.72

Act: +2.07%

5D

+4.57%

$37.91

Act: +0.72%

20D

+11.07%

$40.26

Act: -2.34%

Price: $36.25 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000893847-26-000061

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.30%

$36.72

Act: +2.07%

5D

+4.57%

$37.91

Act: +0.72%

20D

+11.07%

$40.26

Act: -2.34%

Price: $36.25 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000893847-26-000056

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.ce06d217.1784463705.b5b0da16

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Internet Security Policy

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If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Hawthorn Bancshares Inc. (HWBK) Earnings

This page provides Hawthorn Bancshares Inc. (HWBK) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on HWBK's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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