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AI Earnings Predictions for Holley Inc. (HLLY)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+3.54%

$3.00

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+11.65%

$3.24

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+11.13%

$3.22

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $2.90 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +3.54% +11.65% +11.13% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -4.81% -11.71% -13.95% 100.0% +4.28%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.54%

$3.00

Act: -1.17%

5D

+11.65%

$3.24

20D

+11.13%

$3.22

Price: $2.90 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001822928-26-000087

EX-99.1

2 hlly-20260927xexx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PRESS RELEASE

1A Burton Hills Blvd, Suite 240 Nashville, TN 37215 Holley.com

HOLLEY REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

CONTINUED NET SALES GROWTH AND MARGIN EXPANSION DRIVE STRONG CASH GENERATION

$25 MILLION OF DEBT PREPAID IN THE QUARTER

LOWEST LEVERAGE IN FOUR YEARS, YEAR-END TARGET OF 3.5X ACHIEVED A QUARTER EARLY

Disciplined Execution Drives Margin Expansion, Stronger Cash Generation and Continued Deleveraging

Nashville, TN. – November 5, 2026 – Holley Performance Brands (NYSE: HLLY), a leader in automotive aftermarket performance solutions, today announced financial results for its third quarter ended September 27, 2026.

Third Quarter Highlights vs. Prior Year Period

•Net Sales grew 2.3% to $141.6 million compared to $138.4 million last year

•Core business net sales1 grew by 6.7% after excluding portfolio divestitures due to our strategic portfolio rebalancing initiative

•Net Income was $7.8 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, compared to net loss of $(0.8) million, or $(0.01) per diluted share, last year

•Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities was $14.1 million compared to $7.4 million last year

•Adjusted Net Income2 was $7.7 million compared to $3.3 million last year

•Adjusted EBITDA2 was $29.4 million compared to $27.1 million last year

•Adjusted EBITDA margin1 was 20.8% compared to 19.6% last year

•Free Cash Flow2 was $8.8 million compared to $5.5 million last year

1Core business net sales excludes sales of divested businesses and the portfolio rebalancing initiative.

2See “Use and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

“Our third quarter results reflect the continued strength of our core business, which has now grown in six of the last seven quarters, and the progress we are making against our strategic priorities. Our teams delivered that performance in a moderating macroeconomic environment, which makes their execution even more impressive, and I am proud of what they accomplished," said Matthew Stevenson, President and Chief Executive Officer of Holley.

Stevenson continued, “Several of the priorities we outlined at midyear came through in the third quarter. Our new national retailer program shipped during the quarter, expanding our shelf presence and putting our brands in front of more enthusiasts. The work we have done to simplify our operations, including exiting non-core businesses such as our Restoration brands, has reduced complexity and contributed to the margin expansion we delivered this quarter. Our strategic decision to embed critical areas of marketing within the divisions is also strengthening brand activation and enthusiast engagement across our portfolio.

“We remain mindful of the consumer environment and have set our outlook accordingly. We believe the actions we have taken, together with our focus on disciplined execution, position Holley well to close out 2026 and to make further progress in the periods ahead.”

Jesse Weaver, Chief Financial Officer of Holley, added, “The third quarter demonstrated continued progress across sales growth, profitability, cash generation, and balance sheet strength. We delivered year-over-year Adjusted EBITDA growth

of 8.6% and generated $8.8 million of free cash flow, a $3.3 million improvement year-over-year, reflecting our continued focus on operational execution and financial discipline.

"Our strong cash generation enabled us to further deleverage during the quarter. We reduced debt by $25 million, inclusive of the previously announced $15 million repayment, bringing cumulative debt reduction to $125 million since September 2023. As a result, leverage declined to a four-year low of 3.50x, achieving our year-end target of 3.5x a quarter ahead of schedule."

"While encouraged by our year-to-date execution, we believe it is prudent to be conservative regarding our outlook given the current consumer environment. We have tightened our full-year revenue, Adjusted EBITDA and interest expense guidance ranges. We remain focused on executing our strategic priorities to generate sustainable free cash flow, and further strengthen our financial position."

Strategic Business Highlights and Recent Events

•27 brands delivered growth across DTC and B2B channels.

•Generated $8.8 million of free cash flow and remain on track for year-end leverage below 3.5x.

•Long Term Strategic initiatives drove $18.6 million in revenue and delivered $6.1 million in cost savings.

•Continued investment in marketing to enhance consumer engagement and brand visibility.

•Reduced debt by $25 million during the quarter, inclusive of the previously announced $15 million repayment, bringing cumulative debt reduction to $125 million since Sept '23.

Outlook

**For the year ending December 31, 2026, our full-year Net Sales, Adjusted EBITDA and Interest Expense guidance ranges have been narrowed but remain within the previously communicated ranges, while our other guidance re

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.81%

$2.89

Act: -0.99%

5D

-11.71%

$2.68

Act: +4.28%

20D

-13.95%

$2.62

Price: $3.04 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001822928-26-000069

EX-99.1

2 hlly-20260628xexx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PRESS RELEASE

1A Burton Hills Blvd, Suite 240 Nashville, TN 37215 Holley.com

HOLLEY REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

DOUBLE-DIGIT CORE GROWTH IN THREE OF FOUR DIVISIONS

RETURN TO NET SALES GROWTH REFLECTS STRENGTH ACROSS THE BUSINESS

LEVERAGE RATIO LOWEST LEVEL IN THE LAST FOUR YEARS

Advancing Portfolio Rebalancing Initiative to Enhance Focus, Simplify Operations, and Support Second-Half 2026 Performance

Nashville, TN. – August 5, 2026 – Holley Performance Brands (NYSE: HLLY), a leader in automotive aftermarket performance solutions, today announced financial results for its second quarter ended June 28, 2026.

Second Quarter Highlights vs. Prior Year Period

•Net Sales grew 3.2% to $172.0 million compared to $166.7 million last year

•Core business net sales1 grew by 4.9% after excluding portfolio divestitures and portfolio rebalancing initiative.

•Net Loss was $(2.4) million, or $(0.02) per diluted share, compared to Net Income of $10.9 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, last year

•Includes a $28.3 million loss on the sale of non-core assets related to the Company's portfolio rebalancing initiative.

•Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities was $47.1 million compared to $40.5 million last year

•Adjusted Net Income2 was $24.0 million compared to $10.6 million last year

•Adjusted EBITDA2 was $33.8 million compared to $36.4 million last year

•Adjusted EBITDA margin1 was 19.6% compared to 21.9% last year

•Free Cash Flow2 was $40.9 million compared to $35.7 million last year

1Core business net sales excludes sales of divested businesses and the portfolio rebalancing initiative.

2See “Use and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

“Our second quarter results reflect positive core growth and continued execution against the strategic priorities we outlined earlier this year, with three of our four business segments delivering year-over-year core growth,” said Matthew Stevenson, President and Chief Executive Officer of Holley.

Stevenson continued, “We believe we are entering the second half of the year with solid momentum, supported by new national retailer placements, a healthy cadence of product innovation, and several important launches slated for the coming months. At the same time, we have reinvigorated our marketing calendar with a greater focus on brand activation and enthusiast engagement, helping to strengthen awareness and demand across our portfolio.

“During the quarter we completed the sale of our non-core Restoration brands, including Scott Drake and Brothers Trucks, a step that further reduces complexity and enables us to concentrate resources on our highest-priority growth opportunities. We remain focused on disciplined execution and believe the actions we have taken position Holley for continued progress in the periods ahead.”

Jesse Weaver, Chief Financial Officer of Holley, added, “The second quarter showcased our continued focus on cash generation, balance sheet improvement, and disciplined capital allocation. Our underlying operating performance was stronger than the year-over-year Adjusted EBITDA comparison suggests: the prior-year quarter included a one-time, non-cash benefit from the capitalization of tariff costs that did not repeat this year, and adjust for that item, we believe Adjusted EBITDA performance was approximately flat year-over-year. We generated strong free cash flow in the quarter and year-to-date, which enabled us to continue making progress on our capital priorities.

"During the quarter, we repurchased approximately $2.0 million of our common stock, reflecting our confidence in the long-term value of the business. Following a $15.0 million voluntary debt prepayment made after quarter-end, we have now reduced debt by $115.0 million through voluntary prepayments since September 2023. Combined with our strong cash generation, these actions contributed to another quarter of leverage reduction helping us maintain progress towards finishing the year below our targeted leverage ratio of 3.5x.

"Based on our first-half performance and the opportunities we see in the second half of the year, we are reiterating our full-year guidance and remain focused on delivering sustainable value for our shareholders."

Strategic Business Highlights and Recent Events

•27 brands delivered growth across DTC and B2B channels.

•Generated $40.9 million of free cash flow and remain on track for year-end leverage below 3.5x.

•Long Term Strategic initiatives drove $13.4 million in revenue and delivered $8.3 million in cost savings.

•Realigned marketing to strengthen consumer engagement and brand activation.

•Repurchased ~$2.0 million of shares, reinforcing confidence in our long-term value creation.

•Continued portfolio rebalancing through the divestiture of the non-core Restoration brands.

•Reduced debt by an additional $15.0 million, bringing total debt reduction to $115.0 million since Se

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

May 6, 2026

0001822928-26-000018

EX-99.1

2 hlly-2026329xexx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

PRESS RELEASE

1A Burton Hills Blvd, Suite 240 Nashville, TN 37215 Holley.com

HOLLEY REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

GROWTH IN THREE OF FOUR DIVISIONS & IMPROVEMENTS IN MULTIPLE KEY FINANCIAL METRICS

FIRST QUARTER NET INCOME OF $7.3 MILLION, UP $4.4 MILLION YEAR-OVER-YEAR

FIRST QUARTER ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN EXPANSION TO 18.5%, UP 71 BPS YEAR-OVER-YEAR

Disciplined Cost Control Supports Resilient First Quarter Profitability

Portfolio Optimization Initiative Expected to Improve Margin by Exiting Non-Value Added Businesses

Nashville, TN. – May 6, 2026 – Holley Performance Brands (NYSE: HLLY), a leader in automotive aftermarket performance solutions, today announced financial results for its first quarter ended March 29, 2026.

First Quarter Highlights vs. Prior Year Period

•Net Sales was $147.3 million compared to $153.0 million last year

•Net Income was $7.3 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, compared to $2.8 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, last year

•Net Cash Used in Operating Activities was $2.9 million compared to $7.8 million last year

•Adjusted Net Income1 was $5.7 million compared to $2.6 million last year

•Adjusted EBITDA1 was $27.3 million compared to $27.3 million last year

•Adjusted EBITDA margin1 was 18.5% compared to 17.8% last year

•Free Cash Flow1 was $(6.3) million compared to $(10.8) million last year

1See “Use and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures” below.

“We delivered first quarter net sales of $147.3 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $27.3 million, reflecting resilient profitability and disciplined execution,” said Matthew Stevenson, President and Chief Executive Officer of Holley.

“As noted on our prior earnings call, the first quarter began with several temporary headwinds. Distributor inventory levels were elevated entering the period, and while normalization was expected through improved sell-through, severe winter weather in late January and early February 2026 disrupted retail activity.

That said, from week eight onward, we saw steady improvement in purchasing patterns and exited the quarter on improved footing. Margins remained strong in the first quarter of 2026, reflecting proactive tariff management and operating efficiency. We are maintaining that focus, prioritizing cost control and advancing our portfolio optimization initiative, which we expect to support performance over time, while continuing to invest in innovation, deepen our connection with enthusiasts, and compete to gain share.

Strategically, we continued to execute against the framework established in 2025, centered on simplifying the portfolio, strengthening core franchises, and enhancing operating discipline. The acquisition of HRX, a targeted bolt-on that expands our racewear capabilities and deepens our European motorsports presence, marks the reengagement of our M&A strategy, and we remain focused on pursuing additional opportunities that meet our criteria. We believe that the actions we have taken over the past year position us to improve execution and strengthen the business over time.”

Jesse Weaver, Chief Financial Officer of Holley, added, “Early trends in the second quarter indicate healthier inventory levels at our distribution partners and improving order activity, which we believe position us better for the balance of the year. Through our portfolio optimization initiative, we are exiting non-core, low- to no-profit businesses while reinvesting in targeted M&A, as reflected in our acquisition of HRX. Although these portfolio adjustments reduce our full-year revenue outlook by $15 million, our outlook for the core business remains intact, and we expect the net impact on Adjusted EBITDA from the portfolio optimization to be slightly positive. At the same time, our portfolio adjustments are expected to reduce SKUs by more than 11,000, lower operating complexity, improve working capital efficiency, and generate more than $15 million in incremental cash. Taken together, these actions are expected to improve the quality of our portfolio and support our decision to maintain our full-year Adjusted EBITDA outlook."

Strategic Business Highlights

•Exited Q1 with momentum from week 8 as weather improved and inventory normalized.

•Growth in three of four divisions and across 12 brands across DTC and B2B channels.

•Delivered $6.5 million in Q1 cost savings from purchasing, tariffs, and operations.

•Advanced cost and complexity reduction, including site consolidation and closures.

•Expecting portfolio rebalancing to generate >$15 million to reinvest in growth

•HRX acquisition strengthens Safety and Racing and expands European presence.

•Free Cash Flow improvement of $4.5 million compared to same period last year.

Outlook

**For the year ended December 31, 2026, core business revenue guidance remains unchanged while we are updating full-year guidance to reflect an anticipated $15 million adjustment to net sal

About Holley Inc. (HLLY) Earnings

This page provides Holley Inc. (HLLY) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on HLLY's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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