Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-3.24%
$86.94
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-5.05%
$85.31
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-3.21%
$86.97
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -3.24% | -5.05% | -3.21% | 100.0% | -2.24% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +10.51% | +20.05% | +6.65% | 100.0% | -1.25% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-3.24%
$86.94
Act: -4.04%
5D
-5.05%
$85.31
Act: -2.24%
20D
-3.21%
$86.97
Act: +5.05%
2 hcc-ex99_1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
Warrior Reports First Quarter 2026 Results
Blue Creek drives record sales volumes and margin expansion
Sales and production volumes grow by 38% and 55%, respectively
Full year outlook and guidance reaffirmed
BROOKWOOD, AL - April 30, 2026 - Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (NYSE: HCC) (“Warrior” or the “Company”) today announced results for the first quarter of 2026. Warrior is the leading dedicated U.S.-based producer and exporter of high-quality steelmaking coal for the global steel industry.
Warrior reported net income for the first quarter of 2026 of $72.3 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, an increase from a net loss of $8.2 million, or $0.16 per diluted share, in the first quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of 2026 was $143.4 million, a 263% increase from $39.5 million in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting the continued ramp-up in the profitability contribution from the Blue Creek mine and slightly improved steelmaking coal prices. Sales and production volumes were ahead of budget for the first quarter and remain on track with Warrior's outlook and guidance for the full year 2026.
First Quarter Highlights
• Completed construction of the Blue Creek mine with a final investment of $66.1 million, bringing total project spending to $1,022.9 million;
• Achieved record quarterly sales volumes of 3.0 million short tons of steelmaking coal; and
• Reduced cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton by 14% to $96.17 from the year earlier period, driven primarily by the inherently lower cost structure of Blue Creek and a benefit from the Section 45X Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credit (the “45X Credit”).
“The first quarter marked a defining milestone for Warrior as we completed the final project spending for the development of our transformational Blue Creek mine, delivering the project ahead of schedule and fully in line with our capital expenditure guidance,” commented Walt Scheller, CEO of Warrior. “Blue Creek is already making a meaningful contribution to our financial performance with its volumes a key driver of record sales volume during the first quarter and its lower cost structure a critical foundation for
our ability to expand margins and drive free cash flow despite continued challenging market conditions for steelmaking coal.
As trade restrictions with China persist and global supply continues to pressure pricing, especially in the High Vol A segment, India remains the key growth demand driver for steelmaking coal. The recent conflict in the Middle East adds additional uncertainty and potential inflationary pressures into the global markets. Importantly, we have the tools to drive continued value creation in this environment because we have been successfully executing a strategy enabling us to optimize production and control costs.
With our strong and low-cost assets now fully operational, and construction capital expenditures behind us, we are well positioned for the future,” Mr. Scheller concluded.
Operating Results
Sales volumes in the first quarter of 2026 were a record 3.0 million short tons compared to 2.2 million short tons in the first quarter of 2025, representing a 38% increase, driven primarily by sales of Blue Creek steelmaking coal.
The Company produced 3.5 million short tons of steelmaking coal in the first quarter of 2026, compared to 2.3 million short tons in the first quarter of 2025, representing a 55% increase. Inventory levels increased to 1.9 million short tons as of March 31, 2026, compared to 1.6 million short tons as of December 31, 2025.
Additional Financial Results
Total revenues were $458.6 million for the first quarter of 2026, which compares to total revenues of $299.9 million for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting the 38% increase in sales volumes combined with a 10% increase in the average net selling price. The average net selling price of the Company's steelmaking coal increased from $135.79 per short ton in the first quarter of 2025 to $149.39 per short ton in the first quarter of 2026. The average gross selling price realization was approximately 72% of the Platts Premium Low Vol (“PLV”) FOB Australian index price for the first quarter of 2026 compared to 83% for the first quarter of 2025. This result was primarily driven by a 17% higher sales mix of high-vol A steelmaking coal predominantly sold into the Pacific Basin at elevated freight rates and persistently low second tier price relativities compared to the PLV.
Cost of sales for the first quarter of 2026 were $290.4 million compared to $245.7 million for the first quarter of 2025. Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) for the first quarter of 2026 were $288.7 million, or 64.4% of mining revenues, compared to $244.0 million, or 82.7% of mining revenues in the same period of 2025. Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) per short ton decreased to $96.17 in the first quarter of 2026 from $112.35
Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+10.51%
$95.14
Act: +0.22%
5D
+20.05%
$103.35
Act: -1.25%
20D
+6.65%
$91.81
Act: -1.12%
8-K
false00016913030001691303us-gaap:PreferredStockMember2026-02-122026-02-120001691303us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-02-122026-02-1200016913032026-02-122026-02-12
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 12, 2026
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Delaware
001-38061
81-0706839
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
16243 Highway 216
Brookwood , Alabama
35444
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
(Zip Code)
Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: 205 554-6150
Not Applicable
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $.01 per share
HCC
New York Stock Exchange
Rights to Purchase Series A Junior Participating Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per share
N/A
New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing the Company's fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 in Item 9.01, is “furnished” and shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.
Exhibit No.
Exhibit Description
99.1
Press Release, dated February 12, 2026
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Date: February 12, 2026
By:
/s/ Dale W. Boyles
Dale W. Boyles Chief Financial Officer
Nov 5, 2025
8-K
0001691303false00016913032025-11-052025-11-050001691303us-gaap:PreferredStockMember2025-11-052025-11-050001691303us-gaap:CommonStockMember2025-11-052025-11-05
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 05, 2025
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
Delaware
001-38061
81-0706839
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
16243 Highway 216
Brookwood , Alabama
35444
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)
(Zip Code)
Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: 205 554-6150
Not Applicable
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $.01 per share
HCC
New York Stock Exchange
Rights to Purchase Series A Junior Participating Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per share
N/A
New York Stock Exchange
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 5, 2025, Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing the Company's third quarter 2025 results. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
The information provided pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 in Item 9.01, is “furnished” and shall not be deemed to be “filed” with the Securities and Exchange Commission or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in any such filings. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.
Exhibit No.
Exhibit Description
99.1
Press Release, dated November 5, 2025
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Warrior Met Coal, Inc.
Date: November 5, 2025
By:
/s/ Dale W. Boyles
Dale W. Boyles Chief Financial Officer
This page provides Warrior Met Coal Inc. (HCC) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on HCC's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.