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AI Earnings Predictions for HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.65%

$445.42

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-2.03%

$443.72

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+0.27%

$454.13

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $452.91 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -1.65% -2.03% +0.27% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +2.63% +4.81% +7.33% 100.0% +5.34%
Q4 2025 SELL -1.35% -2.21% -1.38% 100.0% -1.31%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.65%

$445.42

Act: +2.95%

5D

-2.03%

$443.72

20D

+0.27%

$454.13

Price: $452.91 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-432665

EX-99.1

2 hca-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

INVESTOR CONTACT:

MEDIA CONTACT:

Frank Morgan

Harlow Sumerford

615-344-2688

615-344-1851

HCA Healthcare reports THIRD quarter 2026 results

Nashville, Tenn., October 27, 2026 – HCA Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE: HCA) today announced financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Key third quarter metrics (all percentage changes compare 3Q 2026 to 3Q 2025 unless otherwise noted):

• Revenues increased 3.6 percent to $19.849 billion

• Net income attributable to HCA Healthcare, Inc. declined 3.9 percent to $1.579 billion

• Diluted earnings per share increased 4.5 percent to $7.27 per diluted share, and diluted earnings per share, as adjusted, increased 3.7 percent to $7.22 per diluted share

• Adjusted EBITDA increased 1.2 percent to $3.918 billion

• Cash flows from operating activities totaled $4.461 billion, compared to $4.416 billion in the third quarter of 2025

• Same facility admissions increased 2.7 percent and same facility equivalent admissions increased 3.0 percent

"I have often mentioned that HCA has strong staying power because of our scale, the important role we play in providing critical services to communities, and our disciplined culture. Despite the challenges brought about by federal policy changes this year, our colleagues have continued to provide high-quality care to patients, and we believe HCA Healthcare is positioned to end the year positively,” said Sam Hazen, Chief Executive Officer of HCA Healthcare.

Revenues in the third quarter of 2026 totaled $19.849 billion, compared to $19.161 billion in the third quarter of 2025. Net income attributable to HCA Healthcare, Inc. totaled $1.579 billion, or $7.27 per diluted share, compared to $1.643 billion, or $6.96 per diluted share, in the third quarter of 2025. Results for the third quarter of 2026 include gains on sales of facilities of $13 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, compared to losses on sales of facilities of $2 million in the third quarter of 2025.

For the third quarter of 2026, Adjusted EBITDA totaled $3.918 billion, compared to $3.870 billion in the third quarter of 2025. Diluted earnings per share, as adjusted, and Adjusted EBITDA are non-GAAP financial measures. A table providing supplemental information on these non-GAAP financial measures and reconciling GAAP measures of financial performance to them is included in this release.

Same facility admissions increased 2.7 percent and same facility equivalent admissions increased 3.0 percent in the third quarter of 2026, compared to the prior year period. Same facility emergency room visits increased 5.1 percent in the third quarter of 2026, compared to the prior year period. Same facility inpatient surgeries declined 1.4 percent, and same facility

1

outpatient surgeries declined 3.7 percent in the third quarter of 2026, compared to the same period of 2025. Same facility revenue per equivalent admission increased 0.6 percent in the third quarter of 2026, compared to the third quarter of 2025.

During the third quarter, the Company experienced a payer mix shift driven by an increase in uninsured volume, primarily due to patients who lost coverage on the health insurance exchanges. The Company estimates this payer mix shift had an unfavorable impact on income before income taxes of approximately $400 million during the third quarter.

Despite the unfavorable payer mix shift, the Company’s third quarter results reflected improvement in key areas of its business: growth accelerated in same facility equivalent admissions and insured revenue per equivalent admission (excluding Medicaid Supplemental Payment Programs); cost results improved; and the net benefit from Medicaid Supplemental Payment Programs modestly increased.

2026 Guidance

The Company now believes its full year operating results will be in the upper half of its 2026 estimated guidance ranges previously issued on July 14, 2026.

The Company’s guidance contains a number of assumptions, including, among others, the Company’s current expectations regarding volume growth coupled with an anticipated mostly stable operating environment, payer mix, service mix, the impact of current and future health care public policy developments, including the estimated impact on health insurance exchanges from administrative reforms and the expiration of the enhanced premium tax credits, anticipated results from resiliency initiatives, as well as general business or economic conditions, including inflation and the impact of trade policies, including tariffs, and excludes the impact of items such as, but not limited to, gains or losses on sales of facilities, losses on retirement of debt, legal claims costs and impairment of long-lived assets. In addition, the Company’s guidance excludes the impact of future approvals that could impact reimbursement under certain state Medicaid directed and supplemental payments.

Adjusted

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 24, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.63%

$392.24

Act: +1.94%

5D

+4.81%

$400.56

Act: +5.34%

20D

+7.33%

$410.21

Price: $382.19 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-315151

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 14, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.63%

$392.24

Act: +1.94%

5D

+4.81%

$400.56

Act: +5.34%

20D

+7.33%

$410.21

Price: $382.19 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-302539

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

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Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.e618d017.1785157013.3629e40b

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) Earnings

This page provides HCA Healthcare Inc. (HCA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on HCA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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