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AI Earnings Predictions for Griffon Corporation (GFF)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.16%

$101.61

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-2.91%

$99.82

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-5.18%

$97.49

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $102.81 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -1.16% -2.91% -5.18% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -0.94% -2.52% -5.09% 100.0% -5.24%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.94% -2.52% -5.09% 100.0% +2.93%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.16%

$101.61

Act: +3.39%

5D

-2.91%

$99.82

20D

-5.18%

$97.49

Price: $102.81 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-052927

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.94%

$89.81

Act: -2.48%

5D

-2.52%

$88.38

Act: -5.24%

20D

-5.09%

$86.05

Act: -5.70%

Price: $90.67 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-031705

EX-99.1

2 gffq22026exhibit991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Griffon Corporation Announces Second Quarter Results

NEW YORK, NEW YORK, May 7, 2026 – Griffon Corporation (“Griffon” or the “Company”) (NYSE:GFF) today reported results for the fiscal 2026 second quarter ended March 31, 2026.

Revenue for the second quarter totaled $421.9 million, a 1% decrease compared to $426.7 million in the prior year quarter, due to decreased volume of 6% primarily driven by residential, partially offset by favorable price and mix of 5% driven by both residential and commercial.

Income from continuing operations totaled $46.9 million, or $1.03 per share, compared to $49.8 million, or $1.06 per share, in the prior year quarter. Excluding all items that affect comparability from both periods, adjusted income from continuing operations (a non-GAAP measure) was $48.1 million, or $1.05 per share, in the current year quarter compared to $49.5 million, or $1.05 per share, in the prior year quarter. For a reconciliation of income from continuing operations to adjusted income from continuing operations (a non-GAAP measure), and earnings per share from continuing operations to adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations (a non-GAAP measure), see the attached table.

Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations for the second quarter was $97.8 million, a 4% decrease from the prior year quarter of $101.7 million, driven by the decreased revenue noted above, the unfavorable impact of decreased volume on overhead absorption, and increased material costs. For a definition of adjusted EBITDA and a reconciliation of net income to adjusted EBITDA (a non-GAAP measure), see the attached table.

“Our team delivered solid performance this quarter, and Griffon is on track for another strong year," said Ronald J. Kramer, Chairman and CEO of Griffon. "The strategic actions we announced in the quarter to streamline our business into a pure-play building products company are progressing well. Given our first half results, and continued confidence in our outlook, we are maintaining our financial guidance for the fiscal year."

"During our first half, we returned $72 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases while maintaining our net debt to EBITDA leverage," continued Mr. Kramer. "We will continue to follow our balanced capital allocation strategy to maintain our strong balance sheet while returning value to our shareholders."

Taxes

The Company reported pre-tax income from continuing operations for the quarters ended March 31, 2026 and 2025, and recognized effective tax rates of 27.8% and 26.3%, respectively. Excluding all items that affect comparability, the effective tax rates for the quarters ended March 31, 2026 and 2025 were 27.7% and 27.8%, respectively.

1

Balance Sheet and Capital Expenditures

As of March 31, 2026, the Company had cash and equivalents of $109.7 million and total debt outstanding of $1.4 billion, resulting in net debt of $1.3 billion. Leverage, as calculated in accordance with our credit agreement (see the attached table), was 2.4x net debt to EBITDA as of March 31, 2026 compared to 2.6x as of March 31, 2025 and 2.4x as of September 30, 2025. Free cash flow from continuing operations was $100.7 million and capital expenditures, net, were $17.6 million for the six month period ended March 31, 2026. At March 31, 2026, borrowing availability under the revolving credit facility was $436.8 million, subject to certain loan covenants. For a reconciliation and definition of free cash flow from continuing operations (a non-GAAP measure), to net cash provided by operating activities from continuing operations, see the attached table.

Share Repurchases

Share repurchases during the quarter ended March 31, 2026 totaled 0.4 million shares of common stock, for a total of $32.9 million, or an average of $78.03 per share. As of March 31, 2026, $247.0 million remained under the Board authorized share repurchase program. Since April 2023 and through March 31, 2026, the Company purchased 11.5 million shares of common stock or 20.1% of the outstanding shares, for a total of $610.9 million or an average of $53.21 per share.

Strategic Actions Update

On February 5, 2026, Griffon announced entering into a definitive agreement with ONCAP, the mid-market private equity platform of Onex Corporation (TSX:ONEX), to form a joint venture which will include the AMES U.S. and Canada businesses. In addition, Griffon announced the exploration of strategic alternatives for the AMES Australia and United Kingdom businesses, and the combination of Hunter Fan with the Home and Building Products (HBP) segment.

Griffon expects to close the joint venture with ONCAP by the end of June 2026. The strategic process for AMES Australia is active and ongoing, and Griffon is in the process of exiting the United Kingdom. Griffon expects these strategic actions to be completed by the end of the calendar year.

Starting with Griffon’s fiscal seco

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.94%

$88.72

Act: +5.88%

5D

-2.52%

$87.31

Act: +2.93%

20D

-5.09%

$85.01

Act: -13.60%

Price: $89.57 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-005611

gff-202602050000050725false00000507252026-02-052026-02-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 5, 2026

GRIFFON CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 1-06620 11-1893410

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

712 Fifth Avenue, 18th Floor

New York, New York 10019

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

(212) 957-5000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

1

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.25 par value GFF New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 5, 2026 Griffon Corporation (the “Registrant”) issued a press release announcing the Registrant’s financial results for the fiscal first quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Registrant’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 9.01.    Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)     Exhibits.

99.1     Press Release, dated February 5, 2026

The information filed as an exhibit to this Form 8-K is being furnished in accordance with Item 2.02 and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of such section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

GRIFFON CORPORATION

By:    /s/ Brian G. Harris

Brian G. Harris EVP and Chief Financial Officer

Date: February 5, 2026 3

Exhibit Index

99.1 Press release, dated February 5, 2026

About Griffon Corporation (GFF) Earnings

This page provides Griffon Corporation (GFF) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on GFF's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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