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AI Earnings Predictions for Genesis Energy L.P. (GEL)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

+0.11%

$16.50

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-3.01%

$15.98

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.36%

$16.87

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $16.48 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL +0.11% -3.01% +2.36% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 SELL +0.11% -3.01% +2.36% 100.0% +3.22%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.11%

$16.50

5D

-3.01%

$15.98

20D

+2.36%

$16.87

Price: $16.48 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001022321-26-000014

EX-99.1

2 a90ex9918kearnings_q12026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

May 7, 2026

Genesis Energy, L.P. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

HOUSTON – (BUSINESS WIRE) – Genesis Energy, L.P. (NYSE: GEL) today announced its first quarter results.

We generated the following financial results for the first quarter of 2026:

•Net Income Attributable to Genesis Energy, L.P. of $6.8 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to Net Loss Attributable to Genesis Energy, L.P. of $469.1 million for the same period in 2025.

•Cash Flows from Operating Activities of $81.7 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $24.8 million for the same period in 2025.

•We declared cash distributions on our preferred units of $0.9473 for each preferred unit, which equates to a cash distribution of approximately $13.6 million and is reflected as a reduction to Available Cash before Reserves to common unitholders.

•Available Cash before Reserves to common unitholders of $43.8 million for the first quarter of 2026, which provided 1.99X coverage for the quarterly distribution of $0.18 per common unit attributable to the first quarter.

•Total Segment Margin of $156.4 million for the first quarter of 2026.

•Adjusted EBITDA of $140.9 million for the first quarter of 2026.

•Adjusted Consolidated EBITDA of $587.0 million for the trailing twelve months ended March 31, 2026 and a bank leverage ratio of 5.38X, both calculated in accordance with our senior secured credit agreement and discussed further in this release.

Grant Sims, CEO of Genesis Energy, said, “Our first quarter results for 2026 in the aggregate came in slightly below our internal expectations. Most of our businesses performed in line with our expectations, with the exception of our offshore pipeline transportation segment, despite being up 40% year over year. Consistent with what we communicated in February, we always thought 2026 was going to be a year shaped by the timing of producer activity and our heavier marine dry-docking calendar, and the first quarter reflects that dynamic rather than any substantive change in the underlying trajectory of our businesses. We continue to see encouraging progress across our businesses and remain constructive on the outlook for the remainder of the year.

In that regard, the broader geopolitical environment remains dynamic, and if traditional global hydrocarbon flows take longer to normalize, we believe these conditions could create incremental opportunities for Genesis, certainly in the second quarter and perhaps over the balance of the year. Taken together, we believe we remain on track to deliver full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA(1) at or near the midpoint of the range we discussed on our year-end call, which contemplated plus or minus 15% to 20% growth over our normalized 2025 baseline of approximately $500 - $510 million.

Turning to our offshore pipeline transportation segment. We expected, and discussed in our year-end call, that, sequentially, we could be down in that segment because of multiple turnarounds scheduled at a few of our customers’ key offshore hubs connected to our offshore infrastructure. One of these turnarounds indeed occurred in the first quarter, and if anything, lasted slightly longer than expected. Also, during the first quarter, we observed some decline in production volumes from the Shenandoah floating production unit (“FPU”), one of the new facilities that started production last year. Such declines are not uncommon, particularly given the unexpectedly high initial production rates exhibited by the Shenandoah wells in the

1

fourth quarter. Based on our updated outlook for Shenandoah throughput over the balance of the year, we now expect approximately $12 million to $15 million less Segment Margin contribution from Shenandoah in 2026 relative to what was contemplated in our original guidance.

Before moving on, let me make a few comments specific to Shenandoah. First, as mentioned above, we do not believe these lower production rates that we now anticipate will keep us from getting to, or near, the midpoint of our previous Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026. Second, and I plan on going into quite a bit more detail in our prepared remarks for the earnings call, we are not necessarily concerned by what we are seeing. If anything, based upon analysis shared with us by the operator, the calculated total oil in place and, importantly, the anticipated recovery percentage of said total oil are both going up, not down, relative to pre-drill expectations over the 20–30-year productive life of the Shenandoah, Monument and Shenandoah South fields.

In the near term, the operator of the Monument project and the Shenandoah South project, which are both sanctioned sub-sea tie-back developments to the Shenandoah FPU, currently has a rig on location to drill, complete and turn to production two wells in the Monument field, with one scheduled by the end of this year and the second sometime

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.11%

$17.11

Act: +2.63%

5D

-3.01%

$16.58

Act: +3.22%

20D

+2.36%

$17.49

Act: +3.86%

Price: $17.09 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001022321-26-000003

gel-202602120001022321falseGENESIS ENERGY LP00010223212026-02-122026-02-12

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C.  20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 12, 2026

GENESIS ENERGY, L.P.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware1-1229576-0513049 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

811 Louisiana, Suite 1200, Houston,Texas77002 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(713) 860-2500 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240-14a-12)

☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240-14d-2(b))

☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240-13e-4(c)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class Trading Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Units GELNYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ☐    Emerging growth company

☐   If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition We issued a press release on February 12, 2026 regarding our financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, and will hold a webcast conference call discussing those results on February 12, 2026 at 9:00 a.m. Central time (10:00 a.m. Eastern time).  A copy of this earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The webcast conference call will be available for replay on our website at www.genesisenergy.com for 30 days.  A summary of this conference call is archived on our website. As provided in General Instruction B.2 to Form 8-K, the information furnished in this Item 2.02 and in Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, except as shall be expressly provided by specific reference in such filing.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Overview This press release and the accompanying schedules include non-generally accepted accounting principle (non-GAAP) financial measures of Adjusted EBITDA and total Available Cash before Reserves. In this press release, we also present total Segment Margin as if it were a non-GAAP measure. Our non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies because such measures may include or exclude other specified items. The accompanying schedules provide reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America (GAAP). Our non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered (i) as alternatives to GAAP measures of liquidity or financial performance or (ii) as being singularly important in any particular context; they should be considered in a broad context with other quantitative and qualitative information. Our Available Cash before Reserves, Adjusted EBITDA and total Segment Margin measures are just three of the relevant data points considered from time to time. When evaluating our performance and making decisions regarding our future direction and actions (including making discretionary payments, such as quarterly distributions) our board of directors and management team have access to a wide range of historical and forecasted qualitative and quantitative information, such as our financial statements; operational information; various non-GAAP measures; internal forecasts; credit metrics; analyst opinions; performance; liquidity and similar measures; income; cash flow expectations for us; and certain information regarding some of our peers. Additionally, our board of directors and management team analyze, and place different weight on, various factors from time to time. We believe that investors benefit from having access to the same financial measures being utilized by management, lende

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 30, 2025

0001022321-25-000060

gel-202510300001022321falseGENESIS ENERGY LP00010223212025-10-302025-10-30

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C.  20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 30, 2025

GENESIS ENERGY, L.P.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware1-1229576-0513049 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

811 Louisiana, Suite 1200, Houston,Texas77002 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(713) 860-2500 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240-14a-12)

☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240-14d-2(b))

☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240-13e-4(c)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class Trading Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Units GELNYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ☐    Emerging growth company

☐   If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition We issued a press release on October 30, 2025 regarding our financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, and will hold a webcast conference call discussing those results on October 30, 2025 at 9:00 a.m. Central time (10:00 a.m. Eastern time).  A copy of this earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. The webcast conference call will be available for replay on our website at www.genesisenergy.com for 30 days.  A summary of this conference call is archived on our website. As provided in General Instruction B.2 to Form 8-K, the information furnished in this Item 2.02 and in Exhibit 99.1 hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, except as shall be expressly provided by specific reference in such filing.

Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Overview This press release and the accompanying schedules include non-generally accepted accounting principle (non-GAAP) financial measures of Adjusted EBITDA and total Available Cash before Reserves. In this press release, we also present total Segment Margin as if it were a non-GAAP measure. Our non-GAAP measures may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies because such measures may include or exclude other specified items. The accompanying schedules provide reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America (GAAP). Our non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered (i) as alternatives to GAAP measures of liquidity or financial performance or (ii) as being singularly important in any particular context; they should be considered in a broad context with other quantitative and qualitative information. Our Available Cash before Reserves, Adjusted EBITDA and total Segment Margin measures are just three of the relevant data points considered from time to time. When evaluating our performance and making decisions regarding our future direction and actions (including making discretionary payments, such as quarterly distributions) our board of directors and management team have access to a wide range of historical and forecasted qualitative and quantitative information, such as our financial statements; operational information; various non-GAAP measures; internal forecasts; credit metrics; analyst opinions; performance; liquidity and similar measures; income; cash flow expectations for us; and certain information regarding some of our peers. Additionally, our board of directors and management team analyze, and place different weight on, various factors from time to time. We believe that investors benefit from having access to the same financial measures being utilized by management, lenders

About Genesis Energy L.P. (GEL) Earnings

This page provides Genesis Energy L.P. (GEL) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on GEL's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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