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AI Earnings Predictions for Global Indemnity Group LLC (DE) (GBLI)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.65%

$28.34

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-2.38%

$27.84

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-2.27%

$27.87

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $28.52 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -0.65% -2.38% -2.27% 100.0% -0.77%
Q1 2026 BUY +1.85% +3.77% +5.58% 100.0% -0.46%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.80% -2.69% -2.10% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 SELL -0.80% -2.69% -2.10% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 BUY +1.85% +3.77% +5.58% 100.0% -1.92%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.65%

$28.34

Act: -1.93%

5D

-2.38%

$27.84

Act: -0.77%

20D

-2.27%

$27.87

Price: $28.52 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-333951

EX-99.1

2 gbli-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

For Immediate Release — August 5, 2026

Global Indemnity Group, LLC Reports Financial Results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026

Net income increased to $11.1 million, or $0.76 per share, growth of 8% for the quarter driven by a 53.8% loss ratio. Belmont Core gross written premiums grew 7% for the quarter.

Wilmington, Del., (August 5, 2026) — Global Indemnity Group, LLC (Nasdaq: GBLI) (the "Company") today reported financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026.

For the three months ended June 30, 2026, net income was $11.1 million, or $0.76 per share, compared to $10.3 million, or $0.71 per share, in 2025. Current accident year underwriting income increased 3% to $5.8 million, with a loss ratio of 53.8% and a combined ratio of 94.7%. Belmont Core gross written premiums grew 7% to $117.3 million. Pretax Adjusted Operating Contribution was $19.9 million and Adjusted Return on Equity was 12.1%.

For the six months ended June 30, 2026, net income was $15.3 million, or $1.05 per share, compared to $6.4 million, or $0.43 per share, in 2025. Current accident year underwriting income increased to $11.2 million, with a loss ratio of 54.3% and a combined ratio of 94.8%. Belmont Core gross written premiums grew 3% to $213.7 million. Pretax Adjusted Operating Contribution was $39.8 million and Adjusted Return on Equity was 12.6%.

Highlights of Consolidated Results

Operating Performance

• Operating income of $16.9 million, or $1.16 per share, for the six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to $6.2 million, or $0.42 per share, in 2025.

• Current accident year underwriting income increased to $11.2 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to a loss of $4.7 million in 2025. Excluding the impact on 2025 results from California wildfires, current accident year underwriting income improved 3% supported by 5% growth in net earned premiums to $197.0 million and a 94.8% current accident year combined ratio.

• Net investment income of $28.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to $29.5 million in 2025, resulting from increased allocation to U.S. Treasuries. As of June 30, 2026, total investments were $1.4 billion, of which 98% was fixed-income securities and cash. The fixed-income portfolio had a duration of 1.08 years, book yield of 4.42% and overall credit quality of AA-.

Belmont Core Gross Written Premium Growth

• Belmont Core gross written premiums grew 7% to $117.3 million in the 2nd quarter and 3% to $213.7 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026:

o Wholesale Commercial: Up 2% to $70.1 million in the 2nd quarter, a return to growth; For the six months ended June 30, 2026, gross written premiums of $131.6 million were down 2% from $134.0 million in 2025. The Company continues to maintain pricing and return standards amidst competitive market conditions, particularly as regards to property rate reductions.

o Vacant Express: $24.5 million, up 5%, and Collectibles: $9.4 million, up 13%, for the six months ended June 30, 2026, driven by new agency appointments, organic growth, and rate increases.

o Assumed Reinsurance: Up 79% to $21.5 million in the 2nd quarter and 43% to $32.7 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026 driven by new treaties incepting during 2025 and 2026.

o Specialty Products: $15.5 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026, down 21% from $19.7 million, reflecting the run-off of terminated business.

Capital Position and Book Value

• Common shareholders’ equity increased to $706.9 million at June 30, 2026 from $702.6 million at December 31, 2025, growing 2% before the return of $10.3 million to shareholders despite a temporary decline in the fair value of the fixed income portfolio of $2.8 million, net of tax.

• Book value per share of $48.28 at June 30, 2026 compared to $48.96 at December 31, 2025.

• The Company paid dividends of $10.3 million, or $0.70 per common share, during the six months ended June 30, 2026. Since its 2003 initial public offering, the Company has returned $659.8 million to shareholders, including $522.2 million in share repurchases and $137.6 million in dividends and distributions.

Selected Consolidated Operating Information

$ in Millions, except per share data

For the Three Months Ended June 30,

For the Six Months Ended June 30,

2026

2025

2026

2025

Gross written premiums

$

117.1

$

106.8

$

213.5

$

205.5

Gross written premiums - Belmont Core

$

117.3

$

109.8

$

213.7

$

208.2

Investment income

$

16.4

$

14.7

$

28.6

$

29.5

Annualized investment return

4.7

%

4.9

%

3.3

%

5.1

%

Underwriting income (loss)

$

5.5

$

5.8

$

10.8

$

(4.7

)

Underwriting income (loss), current accident year

$

5.8

$

5.6

$

11.2

$

(4.7

)

Underwriting income, current accident year, excluding California Wildfires

$

5.8

$

5.6

$

11.2

$

10.9

Corporate expenses

$

6.8

$

7.5

$

15.9

$

17.0

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.85%

$27.70

Act: -1.51%

5D

+3.77%

$28.23

Act: -0.46%

20D

+5.58%

$28.72

Price: $27.20 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-205183

EX-99.1

2 gbli-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

For Immediate Release — May 5, 2026

Global Indemnity Group, LLC Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Operating Income of $8.3 Million and Current Accident Year Combined Ratio of 94.9% Demonstrate Continued Underlying Underwriting Profitability on 5.4% Growth in Net Earned Premiums.

Wilmington, Del., (May 5, 2026) — Global Indemnity Group, LLC (Nasdaq: GBLI) (the "Company") today reported financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. Operating income was $8.3 million, or $0.57 per share, compared to an operating loss of $4.1 million, or ($0.30) per share in 2025. Net income available to common shareholders was $4.1 million, or $0.29 per share, compared to a net loss of $4.1 million, or ($0.30) per share in 2025. Current accident year underwriting income increased to $5.5 million in 2026, growth of 4% over 2025 excluding the California Wildfires, with a 54.8% loss ratio and a 94.9% combined ratio. Pretax Adjusted Operating Contribution of $20.0 million and Adjusted Return on Equity of 12.5% were in line with prior year.

Highlights of Consolidated Results for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2026

As-Reported Operating Performance

• Operating income of $8.3 million, or $0.57 per share, compared to an operating loss of $4.1 million, or ($0.30) per share, in 2025. Net income available to common shareholders of $4.1 million, or $0.29 per share, compared to a net loss of $4.1 million, or ($0.30) per share, in 2025. Both measures for 2025 included $12.2 million of after-tax loss from the January 2025 California Wildfires ("California Wildfires").

• Calendar year combined ratio improved 16.6 points to 95.1% compared to 111.7% in 2025, driven primarily by the impact of the California Wildfires in 2025. The loss ratio remains strong at 54.8% driving underwriting income.

Operating Performance (excluding California Wildfires)

• Current accident year underwriting income grew 4% to $5.5 million compared to $5.3 million in 2025 supported by 5.4% growth in net earned premiums to $98.4 million.

• Current accident year combined ratio of 94.9% was in line with 94.8% in 2025 reflecting stable underlying loss experience and a stable expense ratio.

• Operating income of $8.3 million, or $0.57 per share, compared to $8.1 million, or $0.57 per share, in 2025.

Investment Results

• Net investment income of $12.2 million compared to $14.8 million in 2025 reflecting a $2.3 million market value decline on a single limited partnership position for which the Company expects to record a full recovery in the second quarter of 2026 and an increased allocation to U.S. Treasuries.

• Total investment return of $6.7 million, or 1.9% annualized, compared to $19.3 million, or 5.4%, in 2025 primarily driven by mark-to-market adjustments on fixed income securities due to an increase in Treasury rates and which are expected to recover.

Premium Growth

• Gross written premiums of $96.5 million compared to $98.7 million in 2025. Excluding terminated business in 2025, gross written premiums were down 0.7%.

o Wholesale Commercial: $61.5 million, down 5.2% from $64.9 million, reflects the Company maintaining pricing and return standards amidst competitive market conditions, particularly as regards property rate reductions. Wholesale Commercial’s property rate change was flat for the first quarter of 2026.

o Vacant Express: $11.5 million, up 4.9%, and Collectibles: $4.6 million, up 12.6%, driven by premium rate increases, new agency appointments, and organic growth from existing agents.

o Specialty Products: $7.7 million, up 2.4% from $7.6 million, with growth from new products and existing programs more than offsetting the impact of terminated business; excluding terminated products, Specialty Products grew 21.3%.

o Assumed Reinsurance: $11.2 million, compared to $10.9 million, reflecting new treaties incepting during 2025 and 2026.

Capital Position and Book Value

• Common shareholders’ equity of $700.1 million at March 31, 2026 compared to $702.6 million at December 31, 2025; impacted by $2.6 million of unrealized losses, net of tax, within the fixed income portfolio due to an increase in Treasury rates.

• Book value per share of $47.92 at March 31, 2026 compared to $48.96 at December 31, 2025.

• The Company paid dividends of $5.1 million, or $0.35 per common share, during the quarter. Since its 2003 initial public offering, the Company has returned $654.6 million to shareholders, including $522.2 million in share repurchases and $132.4 million in dividends and distributions.

Selected Consolidated Operating Information for the Three Months Ended March 31,

$ in Millions, except per share data

2026

2025

Gross written premiums

$

96.5

$

98.7

Gross written premiums - Belmont Core

$

96.5

$

98.4

Investment income

$

12.2

$

14.8

Annualized investment return

1.9

%

5.4

%

Underwriting income (loss)

$

5.3

$

(10.5

)

Underwriting income

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Mar 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.80%

$28.51

Act: +1.06%

5D

-2.69%

$27.96

20D

-2.10%

$28.13

Price: $28.73 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-103797

8-K

false 0001494904 0001494904 2026-03-10 2026-03-10

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 10, 2026

GLOBAL INDEMNITY GROUP, LLC

(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-34809

85-2619578

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

112 S. French Street

Suite 105

Wilmington, Delaware

19801

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code) Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (302) 691-6276 Not Applicable (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Class A Common Shares, no par value

GBLI

Nasdaq Global Select Market Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On March 10, 2026, Global Indemnity Group, LLC (the “Company”) issued a press release and held a conference call announcing the Company’s financial results for the year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the transcript of the conference call is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K and the Exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

99.1

Earnings Call Transcript dated March 10, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Global Indemnity Group, LLC

Date: March 12, 2026

By:

/s/ Jo Cheeseman

Name:

Jo Cheeseman

Title:

Vice President & Corporate Secretary

About Global Indemnity Group LLC (DE) (GBLI) Earnings

This page provides Global Indemnity Group LLC (DE) (GBLI) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on GBLI's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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