Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
+11.50%
$5.06
100% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
+14.78%
$5.21
100% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
+8.74%
$4.94
95% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | BUY | +11.50% | +14.78% | +8.74% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | BUY | +13.28% | +17.08% | +10.37% | 100.0% | +5.59% |
| Q4 2025 | SELL | -9.02% | -13.06% | -13.23% | 100.0% | -8.77% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Oct 22, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+11.50%
$5.06
Act: -6.22%
5D
+14.78%
$5.21
20D
+8.74%
$4.94
2 ex-991xfphx93026x8k.htm
Document
Exhibit 99.1
Five Point Holdings, LLC Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results
Third Quarter 2026 Highlights
•Great Park Venture distributions and incentive compensation payments to the Company totaled $40.4 million.
•Great Park builder sales of 54 homes during the quarter.
•Valencia builder sales of 92 homes during the quarter.
•Renewed the development management agreement with Great Park Venture through December 31, 2028.
•Consolidated revenues of $14.6 million; consolidated net loss of $4.4 million.
•Cash and cash equivalents of $358.7 million as of September 30, 2026.
•Debt to total capitalization ratio of 16.2% and liquidity of $576.2 million as of September 30, 2026.
Irvine, CA, October 22, 2026 (Business Wire) – Five Point Holdings, LLC (“Five Point” or the “Company”) (NYSE:FPH), an owner and developer of large mixed-use planned communities in California, today reported its third quarter 2026 results.
Dan Hedigan, President and Chief Executive Officer, said, “During the third quarter, Five Point generated consolidated revenues of $14.6 million and maintained a strong financial position, ending the quarter with $358.7 million of cash and cash equivalents and total liquidity of $576.2 million. Although current housing market conditions have impacted homebuyer demand, we continue to make meaningful progress in advancing our California communities and developing our recurring fee-based revenue streams at Hearthstone and the Great Park. During the quarter, we renewed our Development Management Agreement at the Great Park through December 2028, secured important entitlement approvals at Valencia for our Homestead South development, and marked a significant milestone with a groundbreaking at Candlestick in San Francisco. Given the current housing market environment, we will likely elect to defer certain land sales previously anticipated to close in 2026 rather than transact in a less favorable market. Accordingly, we are revising our full-year 2026 guidance to approximately $20 million in consolidated net income. Importantly, this revised outlook reflects the anticipated timing of land sales rather than a change in our view of the value of our land. Our strong balance sheet provides us with the flexibility to remain patient and disciplined in our approach to monetizing these irreplaceable assets. We remain confident in the long-term value of our California communities, the growth potential of Hearthstone and our ability to create meaningful value for our shareholders.”
Consolidated Results
Liquidity and Capital Resources
As of September 30, 2026, total liquidity of $576.2 million was comprised of cash and cash equivalents totaling $358.7 million and borrowing availability of $217.5 million under our unsecured revolving credit facility. Total capital was $2.3 billion, reflecting $3.2 billion in assets and $0.9 billion in liabilities and redeemable noncontrolling interests.
Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended September 30, 2026
Revenues. Revenues of $14.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2026 were primarily generated from management services at our Great Park and Hearthstone segments.
Equity in loss from unconsolidated entities. Equity in loss from unconsolidated entities was $2.2 million for the three months ended September 30, 2026. The Great Park Venture generated a net loss of $7.1 million during the three months ended September 30, 2026, and our share of the net loss from our 37.5% percentage interest was $2.7 million.
The Great Park Venture made aggregate distributions of $84.9 million to holders of percentage interests during the three months ended September 30, 2026. We received $31.8 million for our 37.5% percentage interest.
Selling, general, and administrative. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $12.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2026.
Net loss. Consolidated net loss for the quarter was $4.4 million. Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests totaled $1.8 million, resulting in net loss attributable to the Company of $2.6 million. Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interests primarily represents the portion of loss allocated to related party partners and members that hold units of the operating company and the San Francisco Venture. Holders of units of the operating company and the San Francisco Venture can redeem their interests for either, at our election, our Class A common shares on a one-for-one basis or cash. In connection with any redemption or exchange, our ownership of our operating subsidiaries will increase thereby reducing the amount of income or loss allocated to noncontrolling interests in subsequent periods.
1
Conference Call Information
In conjunction with this release, Five Point will host a conference call on Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. Interested investors and other parties can listen to a live Internet audio w
Jul 23, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+13.28%
$5.68
Act: +4.39%
5D
+17.08%
$5.87
Act: +5.59%
20D
+10.37%
$5.53
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This page provides Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on FPH's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.