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AI Earnings Predictions for Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc. (FMAO)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.97%

$30.59

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.23%

$29.88

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-6.27%

$29.25

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $31.20 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -1.97% -4.23% -6.27% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -2.11% -4.72% -7.43% 100.0% -0.30%
Q4 2025 SELL -2.11% -4.72% -7.43% 100.0% +1.27%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.97%

$30.59

Act: +10.38%

5D

-4.23%

$29.88

20D

-6.27%

$29.25

Price: $31.20 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-318198

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.11%

$26.19

Act: -0.86%

5D

-4.72%

$25.49

Act: -0.30%

20D

-7.43%

$24.76

Act: +3.03%

Price: $26.75 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-170660

EX-99

2 fmao-ex99.htm

EX-99

EX-99

Exhibit 99

Post Office Box 216

307 North Defiance Street

Archbold, Ohio 43502

NEWS RELEASE

Company Contact:

Investor and Media Contact:

Lars B. Eller

President and Chief Executive Officer

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc.

(419) 446-2501

leller@fm.bank

Andrew M. Berger

Managing Director

SM Berger & Company, Inc.

(216) 464-6400

andrew@smberger.com

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. Reports

2026 First-Quarter Financial Results

ARCHBOLD, OHIO, April 22, 2026, Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. (Nasdaq: FMAO) today reported financial results for the 2026 first quarter ended March 31, 2026, on a consolidated basis.

2026 First-Quarter Financial and Operating Highlights

(at March 31, 2026, and on a year-over-year basis unless noted)

• 92 consecutive quarters of profitability

• Net income increased 37.8% to a first quarter record of $9.6 million, or $0.70 per basic and diluted share

• Strong profitability drives ROAA to 1.14%, compared to 0.85%

• Net charge-offs to average loans of 0.01%

• Tier 1 leverage ratio was 9.02%

• Cost of interest-bearing liabilities improved to 2.54%, from 2.76%

• Net interest margin increased by 39 basis points to 3.42%

• Efficiency ratio improved to 60.08%, compared to 66.79%

• First quarter dividend per share increased 4.0% to $0.92 annualized

Lars B. Eller, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated, “We are off to an outstanding start in 2026, delivering 37.8% year-over-year earnings growth driven by a 39-basis point expansion in net interest margin, strong levels of noninterest income, and solid balance sheet management. Our ability to generate this level of growth in profitability while maintaining excellent credit quality and disciplined expense management underscores the strength of our core franchise. We are seeing meaningful operating leverage across the business, and believe this momentum positions us well for continued earnings expansion and long-term shareholder value creation.”

Income Statement

Net income for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, was $9.6 million, compared to $7.0 million for the same period last year. Net income per basic and diluted share for the 2026 first quarter was $0.70, compared to $0.51 for the same period last year.

Deposits

At March 31, 2026, total deposits were $2.81 billion, an increase of 4.1%, or $109.4 million from March 31, 2025. For the three months ended March 31, 2026, F&M’s cost of interest-bearing liabilities was 2.54%, compared to 2.76% in the same period last year.

“Deposit growth in the quarter demonstrates the early success of our new three-year, growth-oriented strategic plan, including our renewed focus on strengthening core deposit generation and expanding our treasury management and retail offerings. In addition, asset quality within the loan portfolio remains strong, with low levels of nonperforming assets, historically low charge-offs, and continued stability across our markets. We successfully resolved a number of watch list credits during the quarter, reflecting the effectiveness of our proactive credit management team. Importantly, underlying loan demand remains strong, with approximately $60 million in approved loans within our pipeline, providing a solid foundation for continued portfolio growth. These trends reflect our local decision-making, disciplined underwriting and proactive risk management practices,” continued Mr. Eller.

Loan Portfolio and Asset Quality

Total loans, net at March 31, 2026, increased 3.9%, or by $100.7 million to $2.68 billion, compared to $2.58 billion at March 31, 2025. The year-over-year increase was driven primarily by higher consumer real estate, commercial and industrial, and agricultural loans, partially offset by lower commercial real estate, agricultural real estate, and consumer loans.

F&M continues to closely monitor its loan portfolio with a particular emphasis on higher risk sectors. Nonperforming loans continue to normalize on a quarter-over-quarter basis and were $11.1 million, or 0.42% of total loans at March 31, 2026, compared to $11.3 million, or 0.42% of total loans at December 31, 2025, and $4.5 million, or 0.17% of total loans at March 31, 2025.

F&M maintains a well-balanced, diverse and high performing CRE portfolio. CRE loans represented 49.0% of the Company’s total loan portfolio at March 31, 2026. F&M’s CRE portfolio included the following categories at March 31, 2026 (*):

CRE Category

Dollar Balance

Percent of CRE Portfolio

Percent of Total Loan Portfolio

Industrial

$

241,208

18.4

%

9.0

%

Multi-family

233,030

17.7

%

8.7

%

Retail

224,629

17.1

%

8.4

%

Hotels

163,217

12.4

%

6.1

%

Office

133,398

10.1

%

4.9

%

Gas Stations

75,874

5.8

%

2.8

%

Food Service

51,638

3.9

%

1.9

%

Development

34,204

2.6

%

1.3

%

Auto Dealers

26,819

2.0

%

1.0

%

Senior Living

21,382

1.6

%

0.8

%

Other

110,150

8.4

%

4.1

%

Total CRE

$

1,315,549

100.0

%

49.

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.11%

$26.89

Act: +7.64%

5D

-4.72%

$26.17

Act: +1.27%

20D

-7.43%

$25.43

Act: -10.81%

Price: $27.47 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-048918

8-K

0000792966false00007929662026-02-122026-02-12

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) February 12, 2026

Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Ohio

001-38084

34-1469491

(State or Other Jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS Employer

of Incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

307 North Defiance Street, Archbold, Ohio

43502

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant's Telephone Number, including Area Code (419) 446-2501 N/A (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of Each Exchange

Common Stock, No Par Value

FMAO

NASDAQ Capital Market

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below): ☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17-CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter) Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

ITEM 2.02. Results of Operation and Financial Condition On February 12, 2026, Farmers & Merchants Bancorp, Inc. issued a press release (the “Release”) announcing its earnings for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99 and is incorporated by reference herein. ITEM 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Exhibit

99

Company Press Release dated February 12, 2026

104

The Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto authorized.

FARMERS & MERCHANTS BANCORP, INC.

(Registrant)

Dated: February 12, 2026

/s/ Lars B. Eller

Lars B. Eller

President and Chief Executive Officer

/s/ Barbara J. Britenriker

Barbara J. Britenriker

Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc. (FMAO) Earnings

This page provides Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc. (FMAO) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on FMAO's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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