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AI Earnings Predictions for Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-3.17%

$6.74

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.48%

$6.65

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-6.79%

$6.49

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $6.96 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL -3.17% -4.48% -6.79% 100.0% +9.20%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.08% +1.66% -1.95% 100.0% -11.28%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 21, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.17%

$6.74

Act: +14.87%

5D

-4.48%

$6.65

Act: +9.20%

20D

-6.79%

$6.49

Price: $6.96 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-234421

EX-99.1

2 flo-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

FLOWERS FOODS, INC. REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

THOMASVILLE, Ga., May 21, 2026 – Flowers Foods, Inc. (NYSE: FLO) today reported financial results for the company’s 16-week first quarter ended April 25, 2026.

First Quarter Summary:

Compared to the prior year first quarter where applicable

• Net sales(1) increased 1.1% to $1.572 billion as the Simple Mills acquisition and pricing/mix more than offset volume declines.

• Net income decreased 20.6% to $42.1 million, representing 2.7% of sales, a 70-basis point decrease, primarily due to a challenging consumer environment and higher interest expense, partly offset by the prior year plant closure costs and moderating ingredient costs. Adjusted net income(2) decreased 17.4% to $60.9 million.

• Adjusted EBITDA(2) decreased 1.8% to $159.0 million, representing 10.1% of net sales, a 30-basis point decrease.

• Diluted EPS decreased $0.05 to $0.20. Adjusted diluted EPS(2) decreased $0.06 to $0.29.

Quarterly Cash Dividend Declared

The company today announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.1250 per share, representing the 95th consecutive quarterly dividend paid by the company and is payable on June 26, 2026, to shareholders of record on June 12, 2026.

Chairman and CEO Remarks:

"Flowers' first quarter reflects our team’s disciplined cost management, helping us deliver financial performance in-line with expectations despite softer top-line results driven by ongoing challenging macroeconomic conditions impacting the category," said Ryals McMullian, chairman and CEO of Flowers Foods. "At the same time, we’ve made meaningful progress in strengthening our long-term position by evolving our product portfolio to better meet consumers’ needs, including the relaunch of Nature’s Own, now with simple ingredients and Non-GMO Project Verified certification – a mainstream category first. While we continue to approach the balance of the year with appropriate caution given the ongoing challenging external environment, we remain confident in the strength of our brands, robust supply chain and delivery network, growing presence in the better-for-you categories, and improving balance sheet. These factors give us confidence we are well positioned to navigate headwinds and drive long-term shareholder value."

“The comprehensive review of our brand portfolio, supply chain, and financial strategy announced last quarter is well underway and helping to further clarify how we allocate resources to strengthen our position and support the growth of our strongest brands,” McMullian added. “As part of this effort, we reset our quarterly dividend to $0.125 per share, or $0.50 per share on an annualized basis, allowing us to prioritize meaningful debt reduction while continuing to invest behind the brands, innovation, and capabilities that we believe will drive sustainable above-category growth over time. As we move forward and execute our strategy, we expect dividends to remain an important component of our overall shareholder value proposition. With respect to our 2026 outlook, we are reaffirming guidance and our team remains focused on disciplined execution, managing the areas of the business we can directly influence and delivering against our strategic and financial objectives for the year.”

For the 52-week Fiscal 2026, the Company Expects:

• Net sales of approximately $5.163 billion to $5.267 billion, representing a -1.8% to 0.2% change compared to the prior year.

• Adjusted EBITDA(3) in the range of approximately $465 million to $495 million.

• Adjusted diluted EPS(2) of approximately $0.80 to $0.90.

The company’s outlook is based on the following assumptions:

• Depreciation and amortization of approximately $165 million to $170 million.

• Net interest expense of approximately $65 million to $70 million.

• An effective tax rate of approximately 26%.

• Weighted average diluted share count for the year of approximately 213.5 million shares.

• Capital expenditures of approximately $115 million to $125 million.

Matters Affecting Comparability:

Reconciliation of Earnings per Share to Adjusted Earnings per Share

For the 16-Week Period Ended

For the 16-Week Period Ended

April 25, 2026

April 19, 2025

Net income per diluted common share

$

0.20

$

0.25

Business process improvement costs

NM

NM

Plant closure costs and impairment of assets

0.03

Restructuring charges

0.01

NM

Restructuring-related implementation costs

0.03

0.02

Acquisition and integration-related costs

NM

(a)

0.05

Legal settlements and related costs

0.05

NM

Adjusted net income per diluted common share

$

0.29

$

0.35

(a) Deductible tax impact of prior period acquisition-related costs that impacted this period by $0.01 per share.

NM - not meaningful.

Certain amounts may not add due to rounding.

Consolidated First Quarter Operating Highlights

Compared to the prior year first quarter where

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.08%

$11.47

Act: -8.72%

5D

+1.66%

$11.54

Act: -11.28%

20D

-1.95%

$11.13

Act: -22.56%

Price: $11.35 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-048756

8-K

false000112892800011289282026-02-122026-02-12

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 12, 2026

FLOWERS FOODS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Georgia

1-16247

58-2582379

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1919 Flowers Circle, Thomasville, GA

31757

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (229) 226-9110

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

FLO

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 12, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing (i) its financial condition and results of operations as of and for the 13 and 53 weeks ended January 3, 2026, and (ii) guidance for fiscal 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Report as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Press Release of Flowers Foods, Inc. dated February 12, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

FLOWERS FOODS, INC.

By:

/s/ D. Anthony Scaglione

Name: D. Anthony Scaglione

Title: Chief Financial Officer

Date: February 12, 2026

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 6, 2025

0001193125-25-269692

8-K

0001128928false00011289282025-11-062025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 6, 2025

FLOWERS FOODS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Georgia

1-16247

58-2582379

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

1919 Flowers Circle, Thomasville, GA

31757

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (229) 226-9110

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

FLO

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, Flowers Foods, Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial condition and results of operations as of and for the 12 weeks ended October 4, 2025. A copy of the press release is furnished with this Report as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Press Release of Flowers Foods, Inc. dated November 6, 2025.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

FLOWERS FOODS, INC.

By:

/s/ R. Steve Kinsey

Name: R. Steve Kinsey

Title: Chief Financial Officer

Date: November 6, 2025

About Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) Earnings

This page provides Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on FLO's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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