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AI Earnings Predictions for Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.07%

$183.43

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.87%

$188.50

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+3.96%

$188.67

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $181.48 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.07% +3.87% +3.96% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +1.25% +4.10% +3.99% 100.0% +0.88%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.17% +3.89% +4.13% 100.0% +6.63%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.07%

$183.43

Act: -0.04%

5D

+3.87%

$188.50

20D

+3.96%

$188.67

Price: $181.48 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-332198

EX-99.1

2 expd-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

EARNINGS RELEASE

By:

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

3545 Factoria Blvd. SE

Sterling Plaza 2, 3rd Floor Bellevue, Washington 98006

CONTACTS:

Daniel R. Wall

David A. Hackett

Geoffrey Buscher

President and Chief Executive Officer

Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Director - Investor Relations

(206) 674-3455

(206) 674-3400

(206) 892-4510

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

EXPEDITORS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 EPS OF $2.03

BELLEVUE, WASHINGTON - August 4, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (NYSE:EXPD) today announced second quarter 2026 financial results including the following comparisons to the same quarter of 2025:

• Diluted Net Earnings Attributable to Shareholders per share (EPS1) increased 51% to $2.03

• Net Earnings Attributable to Shareholders increased 45% to $266 million

• Operating Income increased 41% to $350 million

• Revenues increased 32% to $3.5 billion

• Airfreight tonnage increased 14% and ocean container volume remained flat

• Customs, Transcon, Distribution, and Order Management each achieved double-digit revenue growth for a second consecutive quarter

• Cash returned to shareholders in the form of share repurchases and dividends was $461 million and $748 million, respectively, for the second quarter and year-to-date period of 2026

Daniel R. Wall, President and Chief Executive Officer, commented:

“Our excellent performance this quarter, with double-digit growth across most of our products, is demonstrating that our strategy around operational excellence is working and allowing us to take market share. By focusing on increasing growth in each region, product, and district, we generated tremendous growth and diversification. Our sales, account management, and operations teams all executed extremely well globally this quarter to drive and support this momentum.

“In July we announced the expansion of our Critical Logistics Services (CLS) to include expanded global Aircraft on Ground (AOG) capabilities, further strengthening our presence in time-critical aviation and aerospace logistics. We also continue to invest in our facilities to expand our capacity to meet growing demand for temperature-controlled solutions. By focusing on high-growth markets, we will be able to better serve an even more diverse range of customer needs.”

Q2 2026 Operational Highlights

Airfreight services: “Air buy and sell rates were highly elevated during the quarter, as demand for air capacity continued to outweigh available space, particularly late in the quarter and driven largely by a reduction in passenger flights and constrained belly capacity due to the conflict in the Middle East, home to some of the world's largest commercial air cargo operators. Tonnage increased 14% compared to a year ago and was up 16% compared to Q1 2026, primarily from trade lanes that have been relatively unaffected by the conflict, particularly Asia-U.S. and Asia-Europe. The ongoing heavy demand from AI hyperscalers shows no sign of slowing down, and we have seen increased demand for freighter space, as some hyperscalers are requiring upper-deck access for their servers. In addition, e-commerce out of North Asia has been climbing closer to where it was before the U.S. government began restricting de minimis entries in Q2 2025, putting further

1Diluted earnings attributable to shareholders per share.

NOTE: See Disclaimer on Forward-Looking Statements in this release.

pressure on capacity and rates. Given the current geopolitical state of the world and rising fuel costs along with tight capacity and routing challenges, air carriers are under enormous strain and may continue to be for some time.”

Ocean freight and ocean services: “Despite all of the complications impacting the ocean markets, the carriers have adapted well and managed capacity very carefully, driving an increase in rates particularly late in the quarter as demand also increased. As a result, we may be starting to see a flattening of the long downturn in the ocean market. Volumes increased 7% compared to Q1 2026, the first sequential increase since the third quarter of 2025. Strengthening demand combined with heightened pricing late in the quarter led to an increase in profitability per-container in Q2 2026.”

Customs brokerage and other services: “For a second consecutive quarter, customs and our other products within Customs brokerage and other services all generated double-digit growth from a diverse range of geographies and business sectors, led by demand from AI hyperscalers and other high-value technology customers. Our customs business benefited from tariff-related complexity, along with solid growth from new customers and increased declarations from existing customers. A temporary surge in IEEPA-related filings drove higher pricing, while cost discipline and productivity investments also helped improve our results.”

David A. Hackett, Senior Vice P

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.25%

$154.99

Act: -1.20%

5D

+4.10%

$159.36

Act: +0.88%

20D

+3.99%

$159.18

Act: +3.67%

Price: $153.08 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-205511

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 24, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.17%

$140.45

Act: +2.19%

5D

+3.89%

$144.23

Act: +6.63%

20D

+4.13%

$144.56

Price: $138.83 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-066101

8-K

0000746515false00007465152025-02-242025-02-24

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 24, 2025

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Washington

001-41871

91-1069248

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

3545 Factoria Blvd SE Sterling Plaza 2 3rd Floor

Bellevue, Washington

98006

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: 206 674-3400

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

EXPD

New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On February 24, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a Washington corporation, issued a press release announcing fourth quarter financial results. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report. In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liability of that section, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d) The following items are filed as exhibits to this report:

99.1

Press release, dated February 24, 2026 issued by Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON, INC.

Date:

February 24, 2026

By:

/S/ David A. Hackett

David A. Hackett, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) Earnings

This page provides Expeditors International of Washington Inc. (EXPD) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on EXPD's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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