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AI Earnings Predictions for Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (EVLV)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-9.11%

$5.52

2% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-9.51%

$5.49

2% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-5.57%

$5.73

2% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $6.07 Confidence: 95.1% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 11, 2026 · 95% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-9.11%

$5.52

Act: -5.77%

5D

-9.51%

$5.49

20D

-5.57%

$5.73

Price: $6.07 Prob +5D: 2% AUC: 1.000
0001805385-26-000047

EX-99.1

2 evlv-20260811exx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Evolv Technology Reports Second Quarter Financial Results

— Company Adds 70 New Customers —

— Company Raises Growth Estimates for 2026 —

•Q2'26 Revenue of $43.8 million, up 34% year-over-year

•Q2'26 Ending ARR1 of $132.7 million, up 20% year-over-year

•Q2'26 Net Loss of $(9.3) million, with Net Profit Margin of (21.3)%

•Q2'26 Adjusted EBITDA2 of $4.4 million, with Adjusted EBITDA Margin2 of 10.1%

•Q2'26 Ending Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities, and Restricted Cash of $63.4 million, up $2.3 million sequentially

•Q2'26 Remaining Performance Obligation of $312.6 million, up $13.6 million sequentially

Waltham, Massachusetts – August 11, 2026 – Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: EVLV), a leading security technology company pioneering AI-powered screening solutions designed to help create safer experiences, today announced financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

"Our strong second quarter results were highlighted by the addition of 70 new customers, accelerating adoption of Evolv eXpedite, and further strengthening of our renewal trends," said John Kedzierski, President and Chief Executive Officer of Evolv Technology. "Demand for our AI-powered weapons screening solutions continues to grow as organizations increasingly prioritize public safety while seeking security solutions that reduce friction and improve the visitor experience. We believe we remain in the early stages of a significant growth opportunity and are encouraged by the range of customers, markets and geographies adopting our technology."

Results for the Second Quarter of 2026

Total revenue for the second quarter of 2026 was $43.8 million, an increase of 34% compared to $32.5 million for the second quarter of 2025. Annual Recurring Revenue (“ARR”)1 was $132.7 million at the end of second quarter of 2026, an increase of 20% compared to $110.5 million at the end of the second quarter of 2025. Net loss for the second quarter of 2026 was $(9.3) million, or $(0.05) per basic and diluted share, compared to net loss of $(40.5) million, or $(0.25) per basic and diluted share, in the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted loss2 for the second quarter of 2026 was $(3.1) million, or $(0.02) per diluted share, compared to adjusted loss2 of $(4.7) million, or $(0.03) per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA2 for the second quarter of 2026 was $4.4 million compared to $2.1 million in the second quarter of 2025. As of June 30, 2026, the Company had cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and restricted cash of $63.4 million.

Results for the First Six Months of 2026

Total revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $90.1 million, an increase of 40% compared to $64.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2025. Net loss for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $(14.3) million, or $(0.08) per basic and diluted share, compared to $(42.2) million, or $(0.26) per basic and diluted share, in the six months ended

June 30, 2025. Adjusted earnings (loss)2 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $(6.4) million, or $(0.04) per diluted share, compared to adjusted earnings (loss)2 of $(8.0) million, or $(0.05) per diluted share, for the six months ended June 30, 2025. Adjusted EBITDA2 for the six months ended June 30, 2026 was $8.4 million compared to $4.2 million in the six months ended June 30, 2025.

Company Raises Outlook for 2026

The Company today commented on its business outlook for 2026. The Company's outlook is based on the current indications for its business, which may change at any time. The Company expects total revenues in 2026 to be between $180 to $185 million, reflecting growth of approximately 23% to 27% year-over-year. The Company expects ending ARR at December 31, 2026 to increase to approximately $148 to $150 million, reflecting growth of approximately 23% to 25% year-over-year. The Company expects Adjusted EBITDA2 in 2026 to be between $15 to $16 million with Adjusted EBITDA2 margins in the high single digits. The Company now expects approximately 60% of new unit deployments in 2026 to be delivered under its purchase subscription model (compared to its prior expectation of approximately 55%), with the remaining 40% deployed through its pure subscription model. As expected under the purchase subscription model, a higher purchase subscription mix increases revenue recognition in the early years of a typical four year customer contract and creates a modest near-term headwind to reported gross margin percentage as associated hardware costs are recognized upfront.

Estimate

Issued May 12, 2026

Issued August 11, 2026

Total Revenue (Millions)

$175-$180

$180-$185

Ending ARR1 at 12/31/26 (Millions)

$145-$150

$148-$150

Adjusted EBITDA2 (Millions)

n/a

$15-$16

Adjusted EBITDA Margin2

High Single Digits

High Single Digits

"Our second quarter performance and upwardly revised outlook for 2026 r

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

May 12, 2026

0001805385-26-000027

EX-99.1

2 evlv-20260512exx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Evolv Technology Reports First Quarter Financial Results

— Company Raises Outlook for 2026 —

•Q1'26 Revenue of $46.3 million, up 45% year-over-year

•Q1'26 Ending ARR1 of $127.3 million, up 20% year-over-year

•Q1'26 Net Loss of $(5.0) million, with Net Profit Margin of (10.8)%

•Q1'26 Adjusted EBITDA2 of $3.9 million, with Adjusted EBITDA Margin2 of 8.5%

Waltham, Massachusetts – May 12, 2026 – Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ: EVLV), a leading security technology company pioneering AI-based solutions designed to help create safer experiences, today announced financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026.

“Our first quarter results reflect our progress in building a disciplined and predictable business,” said John Kedzierski, President and Chief Executive Officer of Evolv Technology. “Revenue growth during the quarter was driven by new customer acquisition, expanding deployments within our installed base, and growing adoption of our newest product — Evolv eXpedite. Looking ahead, we remain focused on scaling the business and delivering weapon screening in complex, real-world environments across the growing customer base we are serving—helping make the world a better place to live, learn, work, and play.”

Results for the First Quarter of 2026

Total revenue for the first quarter of 2026 was $46.3 million, an increase of 45% compared to $32.0 million for the first quarter of 2025. Revenue for the first quarter of 2026 was primarily driven by strong new customer additions and continued expansion of deployments across the existing customer base. Annual Recurring Revenue (“ARR”)1 was $127.3 million at the end of first quarter of 2026, an increase of 20% compared to $106.0 million at the end of the first quarter of 2025. Net loss for the first quarter of 2026 was $(5.0) million, or $(0.03) per basic and diluted share, compared to net loss of $(1.7) million, or $(0.01) per basic and diluted share, in the first quarter of 2025. Adjusted loss2 for the first quarter of 2026 was $(3.3) million, or $(0.02) per diluted share, compared to adjusted loss2 of $(3.4) million, or $(0.02) per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA2 for the first quarter of 2026 was $3.9 million compared to $2.1 million in the first quarter of 2025. As of March 31, 2026, the Company had cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $61.1 million.

The following table summarizes the breakdown of recurring and non-recurring revenue3 for each period presented:

Three Months Ended March 31,

2026

2025

% Change

Recurring revenue

$

31,176

$

25,753

21

%

Non-recurring revenue

15,152

6,254

142

%

Total revenue

$

46,328

$

32,007

45

%

The following table summarizes operating cash flows for each period presented:

Three Months Ended March 31,

2026

2025

Net loss

$

(5,009)

$

(1,689)

Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash used in operating activities

9,604

(1,082)

Changes in operating assets and liabilities

(7,774)

232

Net cash used in operating activities

$

(3,179)

$

(2,539)

Company Comments on Outlook for 2026

The Company today commented on its business outlook for 2026. The Company's outlook is based on the current indications for its business, which may change at any time. The Company expects total revenues in 2026 to be between $175 to $180 million, reflecting growth of approximately 20% to 23% year-over-year. The Company expects ending ARR at December 31, 2026 to increase to approximately $145 to $150 million, reflecting growth of approximately 20% to 25% year-over-year. The Company currently expects approximately 45% of the Company’s new unit deployments in 2026 to be delivered under the Company’s pure subscription model, with the remaining 55% deployed through the Company’s purchase‑subscription model. The Company expects to deliver positive full year Adjusted EBITDA1 in 2026 with Adjusted EBITDA1 margins in the high single digits.

Estimate

Issued March 10, 2026

Issued May 12, 2026

Total Revenue (Millions)

$172-$178

$175-$180

Ending ARR at 12/31/26 (Millions)

$145-$150

No Change

Adjusted EBITDA Margin2

High Single Digits

No Change

Company to Host Live Conference Call and Webcast

The Company’s management team plans to host a live conference call and webcast at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time today to discuss the financial results as well as management’s outlook for the business. The conference call will be webcast live at http://ir.evolvtechnology.com.

About Evolv Technology

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ: EVLV) is designed to transform human security to make a safer, faster, and better experience for the world’s most iconic venues and companies as well as schools, hospitals, and public spaces, using industry leading artificial intelligence (AI)-powered screening and analytics. Its mission is to transform security to create a safer world to live, work, learn, and play

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K

Mar 10, 2026

0001805385-26-000011

EX-99.1

2 evlv-20260310exx991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Evolv Technology Reports Fourth Quarter Financial Results

— Company Raises Outlook for 2026 —

•Q4'25 Revenue of $38.5 million, up 32% year-over-year

•Q4'25 Ending ARR1 of $120.5 million, up 21% year-over-year

•Q4'25 Net Income of $10.9 million, with Net Profit Margin of 28%

•Q4'25 Adjusted EBITDA2 of $1.8 million, with Adjusted EBITDA Margin2 of 5%

•Q4'25 Ending Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities of $69.0 million, up $12.8 million sequentially

Waltham, Massachusetts – March 10, 2026 – Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ: EVLV), a leading security technology company pioneering AI-based solutions designed to help create safer experiences, today announced financial results for the year ended December 31, 2025.

“We are pleased to be reporting solid fourth quarter results, which capped a year of significant improvement across the Company,” said John Kedzierski, President and Chief Executive Officer of Evolv Technology. ”We continue to deliver advanced weapons screening capabilities at scale for more than 1,200 customers worldwide through a tightly integrated platform that combines proprietary hardware, real‑world visitor data sets, and AI‑driven software, delivered via long‑term subscriptions that foster durable customer relationships and high‑quality recurring revenue. Looking ahead, we believe AI‑based weapons screening will continue to become increasingly prevalent, and we look forward to capitalizing on this still‑nascent market opportunity to help make the world a safer place to live, work, learn, and play."

Results for the Fourth Quarter of 2025

Total revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $38.5 million, an increase of 32% compared to $29.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2024. Revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025 was primarily driven by strong new customer additions and continued expansion of deployments across the existing customer base. Annual Recurring Revenue (“ARR”)1 was $120.5 million at the end of fourth quarter of 2025, an increase of 21% compared to $99.4 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2024. Net income for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $10.9 million, or $0.06 per basic share and $0.06 per diluted share, compared to net loss of $(15.7) million, or $(0.10) per basic and diluted share, in the fourth quarter of 2024. Adjusted earnings (loss)2 for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $(5.3) million, or $(0.03) per diluted share, compared to adjusted earnings (loss)2 of $(4.4) million, or $(0.03) per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA2 for the fourth quarter of 2025 was $1.8 million compared to $0.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. As of December 31, 2025, the Company had cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $69.0 million.

Results for 2025

Total revenue for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025 was $145.9 million, an increase of 40% compared to $103.9 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024. Net loss for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025 was $(33.1) million, or $(0.20) per basic and diluted share, compared to $(54.0) million, or $(0.34) per basic and diluted share, in the twelve months ended December 31, 2024. Adjusted earnings (loss)2 for the twelve months ended

December 31, 2025 was $(16.8) million, or $(0.10) per diluted share, compared to adjusted earnings (loss)2 of $(35.3) million, or $(0.23) per diluted share, for the twelve months ended December 31, 2024. Adjusted EBITDA2 for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025 was $11.1 million compared to $(21.0) million in the twelve months ended December 31, 2024.

The following table summarizes the breakdown of recurring and non-recurring revenue3 for each period presented:

Three Months Ended December 31,

Twelve Months Ended December 31,

2025

2024

% Change

2025

2024

% Change

Recurring revenue

$

29,547

$

23,678

25

%

$

112,098

$

87,419

28

%

Non-recurring revenue

8,957

5,422

65

%

33,807

16,446

106

%

Total revenue

$

38,504

$

29,100

32

%

$

145,905

$

103,865

40

%

The following table summarizes operating cash flows for each period presented:

Twelve Months Ended December 31,

2025

2024

Net loss

$

(33,138)

$

(54,017)

Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by operating activities

38,542

22,504

Changes in operating assets and liabilities

13,265

660

Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

$

18,669

$

(30,853)

Company Comments on Outlook for 2026

The Company today commented on its business outlook for 2026. The Company's outlook is based on the current indications for its business, which may change at any time. The Company expects total revenues in 2026 to be between $172 to $178 million, reflecting growth of approximately 18% to 22% year-over-year. The Company expects ending ARR at December 31, 2026 to increase to approximately $145 to $150 million, reflecting growth of approximately

About Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (EVLV) Earnings

This page provides Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (EVLV) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on EVLV's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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