Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-7.37%
$216.45
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-9.07%
$212.47
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-5.62%
$220.54
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -7.37% | -9.07% | -5.62% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -7.71% | -8.33% | -4.59% | 100.0% | -12.04% |
| Q4 2025 | SELL | -7.71% | -8.33% | -4.59% | 100.0% | +1.13% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-7.37%
$216.45
Act: +3.40%
5D
-9.07%
$212.47
20D
-5.62%
$220.54
2 ex-99106302026.htm
Document
Exhibit 99.1
Erie Indemnity Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
Net Income per Diluted Share was $3.45 for the Quarter and $6.32 for the Six Months of 2026
Erie, Pa., July 30, 2026 - Erie Indemnity Company (NASDAQ: ERIE) today announced financial results for the quarter and six months ending June 30, 2026. Net income was $180.3 million, or $3.45 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2026, compared to $174.7 million, or $3.34 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2025. Net income was $330.8 million, or $6.32 per diluted share, in the first six months of 2026, compared to $313.1 million, or $5.99 per diluted share, in the first six months of 2025.
2Q and First Half 2026
(in thousands)2Q'262Q'251H'261H'25
Operating income$204,123 $199,173 $370,910 $350,549
Investment income22,553 19,600 44,672 39,136
Other income1,401 1,974 2,821 5,808
Income before income taxes228,077 220,747 418,403 395,493
Income tax expense47,783 46,062 87,635 82,391
Net income$180,294 $174,685 $330,768 $313,102
2Q 2026 Highlights
Operating income before taxes increased $5.0 million, or 2.5 percent, in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the second quarter of 2025.
•Management fee revenue - policy issuance and renewal services increased $39.0 million, or 4.7 percent, in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the second quarter of 2025.
•Management fee revenue - administrative services increased $1.3 million, or 7.2 percent, in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the second quarter of 2025.
•Cost of operations - policy issuance and renewal services
◦Commissions increased $44.7 million in the second quarter of 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, primarily driven by an increase in agent incentive compensation and the growth in direct and affiliated assumed written premium.
◦Non-commission expense decreased $8.8 million in the second quarter of 2026 compared to the second quarter of 2025. Personnel costs increased $3.0 million, primarily due to increased incentive compensation driven by stronger performance metrics and a smaller decrease in company stock price. This increase was partially offset by bonuses awarded to all employees in 2025 in recognition of our 100th anniversary. Sales and advertising decreased $1.7 million primarily due to a decrease in agent-related and advertising costs. Acquisition and underwriting support costs decreased $3.9 million primarily due to lower underwriting report and postage costs.
Professional fees decreased $5.0 million primarily due to reduced use of third-party services related to technology initiatives. Administrative and other costs decreased $2.1 million primarily due to lower credit card processing fees and charitable contributions related to the transition of charitable giving through the Erie Insurance Foundation.
Income from investments before taxes totaled $22.6 million in the second quarter of 2026 compared to $19.6 million in the second quarter of 2025. Net investment income was $22.6 million in the second quarter of 2026 compared to $20.0 million in the second quarter of 2025.
First Half 2026 Highlights
Operating income before taxes increased $20.4 million, or 5.8 percent, in the first six months of 2026 compared to the first six months of 2025.
•Management fee revenue - policy issuance and renewal services increased $70.4 million, or 4.5 percent, in the first six months of 2026 compared to the first six months of 2025.
•Management fee revenue - administrative services increased $3.2 million, or 8.8 percent, in the first six months of 2026 compared to the first six months of 2025.
•Cost of operations - policy issuance and renewal services
◦Commissions increased $72.7 million in the first six months of 2026 compared to the first six months of 2025, primarily driven by an increase in agent incentive compensation and the growth in direct and affiliated assumed written premium.
◦Non-commission expense decreased $19.5 million for the six months ended June 30, 2026 compared to the same period in 2025. Personnel costs increased $5.1 million, primarily due to increased incentive compensation driven by stronger performance metrics, and higher base compensation. The increase is partially offset by bonuses awarded to all employees in 2025 in recognition of our 100th anniversary. Sales and advertising decreased $3.7 million primarily due to a decrease in agent-related and advertising costs. Acquisition and underwriting support costs decreased $5.7 million primarily due to lower underwriting report costs. Professional fees decreased $12.0 million primarily due to reduced use of third-party services related to technology initiatives. Administrative and other costs decreased $3.7 million primarily due to lower charitable contributions related to the transition of charitable giving through the Erie Insurance Foundation and a decrease in credit card processing fees.
Income from investments before ta
Apr 23, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-7.71%
$229.70
Act: -5.99%
5D
-8.33%
$228.16
Act: -12.04%
20D
-4.59%
$237.47
Act: -9.71%
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Feb 23, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-7.71%
$243.42
Act: -2.56%
5D
-8.33%
$241.80
Act: +1.13%
20D
-4.59%
$251.65
erie-202602190000922621false00009226212026-02-192026-02-19
Top of the Form
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of Earliest Event Reported):February 19, 2026
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Pennsylvania0-2400025-0466020 (State or other jurisdiction(Commission(IRS Employer of incorporation)File Number)Identification No.)
100 Erie Insurance Place,Erie,Pennsylvania16530 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:814870-2000
Not applicable Former name or former address, if changed since last report
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Class A common stock, stated value $0.0292 per shareERIENASDAQ Stock Market, LLC (Title of each class)(Trading Symbol)(Name of each exchange on which registered)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Emerging growth company ☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Top of the Form
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On February 23, 2026, Erie Indemnity Company (the "Company") issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. Copies of the press release and financial information are attached hereto and are incorporated herein by reference as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively.
On February 24, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. the Company will provide a pre-recorded Webcast that is complementary to the press release announcing financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.
Item 8.01 Other Events.
At its meeting on February 19, 2026, the Company's Board of Directors approved the following quarterly dividend on shares of Erie Indemnity Company Class A common stock:
Dividend Number: 383 Class A Rate Per Share: $1.4625 Declaration Date: February 19, 2026 Ex-Dividend Date: April 7, 2026 Record Date: April 7, 2026 Payable Date: April 21, 2026
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
Exhibit 99.1 Press Release Exhibit 99.2 Financial Information Exhibit 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Top of the Form
Exhibit Index
Exhibit No. Description
99.1 Press Release
99.2 Financial Information
104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Top of the Form
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Erie Indemnity Company
February 23, 2026 By: /s/ Julie M. Pelkowski
Name: Julie M. Pelkowski Title: Executive Vice President & CFO
This page provides Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ERIE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.