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AI Earnings Predictions for Emerson Electric Company (EMR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.78%

$161.71

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.03%

$165.28

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.99%

$163.63

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $158.88 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.78% +4.03% +2.99% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -0.01% -0.51% -2.08% 100.0% -0.16%
Q4 2025 BUY +1.66% +3.86% +3.52% 100.0% +6.31%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.78%

$161.71

Act: +2.26%

5D

+4.03%

$165.28

20D

+2.99%

$163.63

Price: $158.88 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000032604-26-000042

EX-99.1

2 a2026q3release_ex991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Emerson Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results; Raises 2026 Outlook

ST. LOUIS, August 4, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Emerson (NYSE: EMR) today reported results1 for its third quarter ended June 30, 2026 and updated its full year outlook for fiscal 2026. Emerson also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per share of common stock payable September 10, 2026 to stockholders of record on August 14, 2026.

(dollars in millions, except per share)2025 Q32026 Q3Change

Underlying Orders2 7%

Net Sales$4,553$4,8737%

Underlying Sales3 6%

Pretax Earnings$734$916

Margin16.1%18.8%270 bps

Adjusted Segment EBITA4 $1,232$1,387

Margin27.1%28.5%140 bps

GAAP Earnings Per Share$1.03$1.2824%

Adjusted Earnings Per Share5 $1.52$1.7113%

Operating Cash Flow$1,062$1,42534%

Free Cash Flow$970$1,32336%

Management Commentary

“Emerson had an outstanding third quarter with sales, margin expansion, earnings and cash flow all exceeding expectations," said Emerson President and Chief Executive Officer Lal Karsanbhai. "Demand was robust, with underlying orders up 7%, led by Software & Systems and broad-based growth in North America and Asia. The conflict in the Middle East remains fluid, and I am proud of our team's ability to deliver results and support our customers around the world."

Karsanbhai continued, "We are raising our full year guidance, reflecting our strong third quarter performance and healthy demand. Secular tailwinds continue to support sustained investment in our growth verticals and provide a solid foundation as we finish 2026 and look ahead to 2027."

2026 Outlook

The following tables summarize the fiscal year 2026 guidance framework. As we pivot capital allocation to returning cash to shareholders, the 2026 outlook assumes returning ~$2.2B through ~$1B share repurchases and ~$1.2B of dividends.

Guidance figures are approximate.

2026 Q4

2026

Net Sales Growth~5%~5%

Underlying Sales Growth~5%~3.5%

Earnings Per Share~$1.45~$4.89

Amortization of intangibles~$0.34~$1.39

Restructuring and related costs~$0.03~$0.24

Acquisition/divestiture fees and related costs~$0.01~$0.09

Discrete taxes~$0.02~$0.05

IEEPA tariff refunds-~($0.11)

Adjusted Earnings Per Share~$1.85~$6.55

Operating Cash Flow~$4.1B

Free Cash Flow~$3.6B

1 Results are presented on a continuing operations basis.

2 Underlying orders do not include AspenTech.

3 Underlying sales excludes the impact of currency translation, and significant acquisitions and divestitures.

4 Adjusted segment EBITA represents segment earnings excluding restructuring and intangibles amortization expense.

5 Adjusted EPS excludes intangibles amortization expense, restructuring and related costs, first year purchase accounting related items and transaction-related costs, discrete taxes and certain gains, losses or impairments.

Page 2

Conference Call

Today, beginning at 3:30 p.m. Central Time / 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time, Emerson management will discuss the third quarter results during an investor conference call. Participants can access a live webcast available at https://ir.emerson.com at the time of the call. A replay of the call will be available for 90 days. Conference call slides will be posted in advance of the call on the company website.

About Emerson

Emerson (NYSE: EMR) is a global automation leader delivering solutions for the most demanding technology challenges. Headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, Emerson is engineering the autonomous future, enabling customers to optimize operations and accelerate innovation. For more information, visit Emerson.com.

Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements

Statements in this press release that are not strictly historical may be “forward-looking” statements, which represent management’s expectations, based on currently available information. Actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. Any forward-looking statements in this press release speak only as of the date of this press release. Emerson undertakes no obligation to update any such statements to reflect new information or later developments. Examples of risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results or performance to be materially different from those expressed or implied by forward looking statements include the scope, duration and ultimate impacts of the Russia-Ukraine, Middle East and other global conflicts, as well as economic and currency conditions, market demand, pricing, protection of intellectual property, cybersecurity, tariffs, competitive and technological factors, inflation, among others, as set forth in the Company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. The outlook contained herein represents the Company's expectation for its consolidated results, other than as noted herein.

Emerson uses our Investor Relations website, https://ir.emerson.com, as a means o

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.01%

$137.48

Act: +7.53%

5D

-0.51%

$136.81

Act: -0.16%

20D

-2.08%

$134.65

Act: +2.46%

Price: $137.50 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000032604-26-000034

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.66%

$154.63

Act: +3.43%

5D

+3.86%

$157.98

Act: +6.31%

20D

+3.52%

$157.46

Act: -4.53%

Price: $152.10 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000032604-26-000006

emr-202602030000032604false00000326042026-02-032026-02-030000032604emr:CommonStockof0.50parvaluepershareMemberexch:XNYS2026-02-032026-02-030000032604emr:A2.000Notesdue2029Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-032026-02-030000032604emr:A3.000NotesDue2031Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-032026-02-030000032604emr:A3.500NotesDue2037Memberexch:XNYS2026-02-032026-02-03

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 3, 2026 Emerson Electric Co.


(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Missouri1-27843-0259330


(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)------------------- (Commission--------------------------- (I.R.S. Employer Identification Number) File Number)

8027 Forsyth Blvd St. Louis,Missouri63105


(Address of Principal Executive Offices)------------------ (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (314) 553-2000


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐      Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐      Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock of $0.50 par value per share EMRNew York Stock Exchange NYSE Texas 2.000% Notes due 2029EMR 29New York Stock Exchange 3.000% Notes due 2031EMR 31ANew York Stock Exchange 3.500% Notes due 2037EMR 37New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ☐ Emerging growth company If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition

Quarterly Results Press Release

On Tuesday, February 3, 2026, a press release was issued regarding the first quarter results of Emerson Electric Co. (the “Company”). A copy of this press release is furnished with this Current Report on Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1.

References to underlying orders in the press release refer to the Company's trailing three-month average orders growth versus the prior year, excluding currency, and significant acquisitions and divestitures.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

The press release contains non-GAAP financial measures as such term is defined in Regulation G under the rules of the Securities and Exchange Commission. While the Company believes these non-GAAP financial measures are useful in evaluating the Company, this information should be considered as supplemental in nature and not as a substitute for or superior to the related financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP. Further, these non-GAAP financial measures may differ from similarly titled measures presented by other companies. The reasons management believes that these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information are set forth in the Company’s most recent Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and in the press release furnished with this Form 8-K.

Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements

Statements in the press release that are not strictly historical may be “forward-looking” statements, which represent management’s expectations, based on currently available information. Actual results, performance or achievements could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement. Any forward-looking statements in the press release speak only as of the date of the press release. Emerson undertakes no obligation to update any such statements to reflect new information or later developments. Examples of risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results or performance to be materially different from those expressed or implied by forward looking statements include the scope, duration and ultimate impacts of the Russia-Ukraine and other global conflicts, as well as economic and currency conditions, market demand, pricing, protection of intellectual property, cybersecuri

About Emerson Electric Company (EMR) Earnings

This page provides Emerson Electric Company (EMR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on EMR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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