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AI Earnings Predictions for DexCom Inc. (DXCM)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+7.08%

$85.26

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+9.81%

$87.44

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+10.55%

$88.03

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $79.63 Confidence: 99.6% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +7.08% +9.81% +10.55% 99.6% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -7.04% -8.28% -8.20% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +7.03% +10.62% +7.81% 100.0% +1.94%
Q4 2025 SELL -7.04% -8.28% -8.20% 100.0% +12.29%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+7.08%

$85.26

Act: +3.15%

5D

+9.81%

$87.44

20D

+10.55%

$88.03

Price: $79.63 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001093557-26-000193

EX-99.1

2 dxcm09302026-exhibit991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Dexcom Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

SAN DIEGO - (BUSINESS WIRE-October 29, 2026) - DexCom, Inc. (Nasdaq: DXCM) today reported its financial results as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights:

•Revenue grew 11% year-over-year to $1.344 billion on a reported basis and 11% year-over-year on an organic1 basis.

•U.S. revenue grew 14% and international revenue grew 5% on a reported basis and 5% on an organic1 basis, all on a year-over-year basis.

•GAAP operating income of $327.2 million or 24.3% of revenue, an increase of 420 basis points compared to the third quarter of 2025. Non-GAAP operating income* of $339.5 million or 25.3% of reported revenue, an increase of 270 basis points compared to the third quarter of 2025.

Third Quarter 2026 Strategic Highlights:

•Subsequent to the quarter, published the CONNECT randomized clinical trial in The New England Journal of Medicine, showcasing outcomes driven by Dexcom G7 that redefine the standard of care for people with Type 2 diabetes not on insulin.

•Launched the fully redesigned Stelo experience, with enhanced glucose insights, simplified meal logging, and more detailed nutritional information.

•Advanced the rollout of the Dexcom G7 15 Day System in the U.S. and secured first two G7 15 Day international regulatory clearances, positioning for continued momentum in the transition of the global base to the extended wear platform.

“This quarter, we continued to build momentum across the business, delivering strong revenue growth and margin progression, strengthening our clinical evidence, and advancing key product and operational initiatives,” said Jake Leach, Dexcom’s president and CEO. “This performance enabled us to again raise our full-year revenue and operating margin guidance and reinforces our confidence in our ability to deliver on the long-term objectives we outlined at Investor Day.”

2026 Annual Guidance

Dexcom is raising the midpoint of fiscal year 2026 Revenue guidance, reiterating fiscal year 2026 Non-GAAP Gross Profit Margin guidance, and increasing fiscal year 2026 guidance for Non-GAAP Operating Margin and Adjusted EBITDA Margin to the following levels:

•Revenue of $5.20 - $5.25 billion (approximately 12-13% growth)

•Non-GAAP Gross Profit Margin of approximately 64%

•Non-GAAP Operating Margin of approximately 24%

•Adjusted EBITDA Margin of approximately 32%

The company also announced a share repurchase authorization of up to $1.0 billion in conjunction with third quarter results.

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Revenue: In the third quarter of 2026, worldwide revenue grew 11% to $1.344 billion on a reported basis, up from $1.209 billion in the third quarter of 2025.

Gross Profit: GAAP gross profit totaled $864.4 million or 64.3% of revenue for the third quarter of 2026, compared to $731.4 million or 60.5% of revenue in the third quarter of 2025.

1 Third quarter 2026 organic revenue was $1.346 billion and excludes $1.7 million of foreign exchange impact and $0.7 million of acquired non-CGM revenue.

Non-GAAP gross profit* totaled $875.3 million or 65.1% of reported revenue for the third quarter of 2026, compared to $741.3 million or 61.3% of reported revenue in the third quarter of 2025.

Operating Income: GAAP operating income for the third quarter of 2026 was $327.2 million or 24.3% of revenue, compared to GAAP operating income of $242.5 million or 20.1% of revenue for the third quarter of 2025.

Non-GAAP operating income* for the third quarter of 2026 was $339.5 million or 25.3% of reported revenue, compared to non-GAAP operating income of $272.9 million or 22.6% of reported revenue for the third quarter of 2025.

Net Income and Diluted Net Income Per Share: GAAP net income was $275.1 million, or $0.72 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2026, compared to GAAP net income of $283.8 million, or $0.70 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2025.

Non-GAAP net income* was $275.0 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2026, compared to non-GAAP net income of $242.5 million, or $0.61 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2025. The third quarter 2026 non-GAAP net income excludes $11.9 million of amortization of intangible assets, $0.4 million of business transition and other significant items, and $12.4 million of tax adjustments.

Cash and Liquidity: As of September 30, 2026, Dexcom held $1.82 billion in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities and our revolving credit facility remains undrawn. The cash balance represents significant financial and strategic flexibility as Dexcom continues to expand production capacity and explore new market opportunities.

* See Table D below for a reconciliation of these GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures.

Conference Call

Management will hold a conference call today starting at 4:30 p.m. (Eastern Time). The

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.04%

$69.29

Act: +11.95%

5D

-8.28%

$68.37

20D

-8.20%

$68.42

Price: $74.54 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001093557-26-000142

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+7.03%

$63.95

Act: +2.59%

5D

+10.62%

$66.10

Act: +1.94%

20D

+7.81%

$64.42

Act: +22.90%

Price: $59.75 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001093557-26-000072

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

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If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

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About DexCom Inc. (DXCM) Earnings

This page provides DexCom Inc. (DXCM) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on DXCM's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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