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AI Earnings Predictions for Dynex Capital Inc. (DX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.81%

$10.75

99% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.52%

$10.93

99% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.48%

$10.82

94% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $10.56 Confidence: 98.8% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +1.81% +3.52% +2.48% 98.8% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +1.83% +3.54% +2.49% 100.0% -3.66%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 19, 2026 · 99% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.81%

$10.75

Act: +3.50%

5D

+3.52%

$10.93

20D

+2.48%

$10.82

Price: $10.56 Prob +5D: 99% AUC: 1.000
0000826675-26-000114

dx-20261019

0000826675FALSE00008266752026-10-192026-10-190000826675us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-10-192026-10-190000826675us-gaap:SeriesCPreferredStockMember2026-10-192026-10-190000826675us-gaap:SeriesDPreferredStockMember2026-10-192026-10-19

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 19, 2026


DYNEX CAPITAL, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Virginia001-0981952-1549373

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

140 Eastshore Drive, Suite 100

Glen Allen,Virginia 23059-5755

(Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(804)217-5800

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share

DX

New York Stock Exchange

6.900% Series C Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per shareDXPRCNew York Stock Exchange

9.375% Series D Fixed-Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock, par value $0.01 per shareDXPRDNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 19, 2026, Dynex Capital, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its financial results as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. The text of the aforementioned press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K and is also available on the Company's website (www.dynexcapital.com under “Investors/News & Market Information”). The press release included the following financial information:

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

•Total economic return of $(1.48) per common share, or (11.5)% of beginning book value

•Book value per common share of $10.91 as of September 30, 2026, a decrease of $(1.99) from $12.90 as of June 30, 2026

•Comprehensive loss of $(1.49) per common share and net loss of $(1.34) per common share

•Dividends declared of $0.51 per common share

•Liquidity of $1.3 billion of cash and unpledged securities, representing 42% of total equity, as of September 30, 2026

•Leverage including to-be-announced ("TBA") securities at cost was 9.0 times shareholders' equity as of September 30, 2026, compared to 8.1 times shareholders' equity as of June 30, 2026

Third Quarter 2026 Portfolio and Capital Highlights

•Total investment portfolio of $28.3 billion, an increase of 3% relative to June 30, 2026 driven by $3.2 billion of MBS purchases:

◦Agency RMBS portfolio, including TBAs, increased approximately 3% to $26.8 billion

◦Agency CMBS portfolio increased approximately 3% to $1.4 billion

◦99.99% of investment portfolio is in highly liquid Agency securities

▪Agency RMBS represents 95% of total portfolio; Agency CMBS represents 5% of total portfolio

•Raised $384 million of capital, net of commissions, during the quarter, including $268 million of common equity through the Company's at-the-market ("ATM") program and $116 million through the issuance of 9.375% Series D fixed-rate cumulative redeemable preferred stock

Pursuant to the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission, the information set forth above is being filed under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and shall be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. All other information set forth in Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished. In addition, the information contained on the Company’s website is not incorporated by reference into, and does not form a part of, this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Item 9.01  Financial Statem

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 20, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.83%

$13.36

Act: -0.76%

5D

+3.54%

$13.59

Act: -3.66%

20D

+2.49%

$13.45

Price: $13.12 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000826675-26-000074

Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

Apr 20, 2026

0000826675-26-000035

Transcript text not available. View on SEC.gov →

About Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) Earnings

This page provides Dynex Capital Inc. (DX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on DX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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