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AI Earnings Predictions for Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+3.76%

$28.18

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.55%

$28.67

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+1.58%

$27.59

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $27.16 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +3.76% +5.55% +1.58% 100.0% +5.49%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.51% -1.30% -1.13% 100.0% +1.73%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.76%

$28.18

Act: +4.16%

5D

+5.55%

$28.67

Act: +5.49%

20D

+1.58%

$27.59

Act: +7.07%

Price: $27.16 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-207550

EX-99.1

2 d151134dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

News Release

Investor Contact

Matt Lee

Sr. Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations

Dine Brands Global, Inc.

IR@dinebrands.com

Media Contact

Susan Nelson

Sr. Vice President, Global Communications

Dine Brands Global, Inc.

Mediainquiries@dinebrands.com

Dine Brands Global, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

PASADENA, Calif., May 6, 2026 – Dine Brands Global, Inc. (NYSE: DIN) (the “Company” or “Dine Brands”), the parent company of Applebee’s Neighborhood Grill + Bar®, IHOP® and Fuzzy’s Taco Shop® restaurants, today announced financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.

“Dine Brands reported improved comp sales versus the prior year with all brands outperforming Black Box, driven by our focus on everyday value, culturally relevant marketing, and disciplined execution,” said John Peyton, Chief Executive Officer of Dine Brands. “We’re confident in the progress of our strategy and continue to make great progress on our dual brand opportunity where we remain on track to achieve approximately 80 domestic restaurants by the end of the year.”

Vance Chang, Chief Financial Officer of Dine Brands, added, “Our continued investment in dual brand development, remodels, and our company owned portfolio is driven by the positive feedback from our franchisees and our guests. Our asset lite model allows us to fund long term value creation initiatives while providing support to our franchisees and returning capital to shareholders concurrently. We remain committed to our capital allocation priorities.”

Domestic Restaurant Sales for the First Quarter of 2026

Applebee’s year-over-year comparable domestic same-restaurant sales increased 1.9% for the first quarter of 2026. Off-premise sales accounted for 23.9% of sales mix in the first quarter of 2026.

IHOP’s year-over-year domestic comparable same-restaurant sales remained flat for the first quarter of 2026. Off-premise sales accounted for 21.5% of sales mix in the first quarter of 2026.

Page 1 of 13

First Quarter of 2026 Summary

Total revenues for the first quarter of 2026 were $225.2 million compared to $214.8 million for the first quarter of 2025. The increase was primarily driven by higher company-owned restaurant sales, mainly attributable to the increase in the number and timing of when we acquired restaurants from franchisees.

General and Administrative (“G&A”) expenses for the first quarter of 2026 were $53.1 million compared to $51.3 million for the first quarter of 2025. The increase was driven by employee costs as we invest in our dual-brand and company-owned restaurant initiatives.

Net income available to common stockholders was $7.2 million, or earnings per diluted share of $0.57, for the first quarter of 2026 compared to net income available to common stockholders of $7.8 million, or earnings per diluted share of $0.53 for the first quarter of 2025.

Non-GAAP adjusted net

income1 available to common stockholders was $13.5 million, or adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.07, for the first quarter of 2026, compared to adjusted net income available to common stockholders of $15.4 million, or adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.03, for the first quarter of 2025.

Income before income taxes for the first quarter of 2026 was $10.1 million compared to income before income taxes of $12.8 million for the first quarter of 2025.

Consolidated adjusted EBITDA2 for the first quarter of 2026 was $50.8 million compared to $54.7 million for the first quarter of 2025.

Cash flows provided by operating activities for the first quarter of 2026 were $7.5 million. This compares to cash flows provided by operating activities of $16.1 million for the first quarter of 2025. The decrease was primarily due to the year over year impact of performance plan compensation payments.

Adjusted free cash flow3 was negative $3.0 million for the first quarter of 2026. This compares to adjusted free cash flow of $14.6 million for the first quarter of 2025.

Development activity by Applebee’s and IHOP for the first quarter of 2026 resulted in 24 new restaurant openings and 40 restaurant closures.

Effective Tax Rate

The Company’s effective tax rate was 27.3% for the three months ended March 29, 2026, as compared to 35.9% for the three months ended March 30, 2025.

1

See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) available to common stockholders to adjusted net income available to common stockholders.

2

See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) to consolidated adjusted EBITDA.

3

See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliation of the Company’s cash flows provided by operating activities to adjusted free cash flow.

Page 2 of 13

Key Balance Sheet Metrics (as of March 29, 2026)

Total cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash of approximately $172.9 million, of which approximat

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K/A BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.76%

$28.18

Act: +4.16%

5D

+5.55%

$28.67

Act: +5.49%

20D

+1.58%

$27.59

Act: +7.07%

Price: $27.16 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-208752

EX-99.1

2 d122809dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

News Release

Investor Contact

Matt Lee

Sr. Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations

Dine Brands Global, Inc.

IR@dinebrands.com

Media Contact

Susan Nelson

Sr. Vice President, Global Communications

Dine Brands Global, Inc.

Mediainquiries@dinebrands.com

CORRECTING and REPLACING Dine Brands Global, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

PASADENA, Calif., May 6, 2026 – Dine Brands Global, Inc. (NYSE: DIN) (the “Company” or “Dine Brands”), the parent company of Applebee’s Neighborhood Grill + Bar®, IHOP® and Fuzzy’s Taco Shop® restaurants, today announced financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026.

“Dine Brands reported improved comp sales versus the prior year with all brands outperforming Black Box, driven by our focus on everyday value, culturally relevant marketing, and disciplined execution,” said John Peyton, Chief Executive Officer of Dine Brands. “We’re confident in the progress of our strategy and continue to make great progress on our dual brand opportunity where we remain on track to achieve approximately 80 domestic restaurants by the end of the year.”

Vance Chang, Chief Financial Officer of Dine Brands, added, “Our continued investment in dual brand development, remodels, and our company owned portfolio is driven by the positive feedback from our franchisees and our guests. Our asset lite model allows us to fund long term value creation initiatives while providing support to our franchisees and returning capital to shareholders concurrently. We remain committed to our capital allocation priorities.”

Domestic Restaurant Sales for the First Quarter of 2026

Applebee’s year-over-year comparable domestic same-restaurant sales increased 1.9% for the first quarter of 2026. Off-premise sales accounted for 23.9% of sales mix in the first quarter of 2026.

IHOP’s year-over-year domestic comparable same-restaurant sales remained flat for the first quarter of 2026. Off-premise sales accounted for 21.5% of sales mix in the first quarter of 2026.

Page 1 of 13

First Quarter of 2026 Summary

Total revenues for the first quarter of 2026 were $225.2 million compared to $214.8 million for the first quarter of 2025. The increase was primarily driven by higher company-owned restaurant sales, mainly attributable to the increase in the number and timing of when we acquired restaurants from franchisees.

General and Administrative (“G&A”) expenses for the first quarter of 2026 were $53.1 million compared to $51.3 million for the first quarter of 2025. The increase was driven by employee costs as we invest in our dual-brand and company-owned restaurant initiatives.

Net income available to common stockholders was $7.2 million, or earnings per diluted share of $0.57, for the first quarter of 2026 compared to net income available to common stockholders of $7.8 million, or earnings per diluted share of $0.53 for the first quarter of 2025.

Non-GAAP adjusted net

income1 available to common stockholders was $11.1 million, or adjusted earnings per diluted share of $0.88, for the first quarter of 2026, compared to adjusted net income available to common stockholders of $15.4 million, or adjusted earnings per diluted share of $1.03, for the first quarter of 2025.

Income before income taxes for the first quarter of 2026 was $10.1 million compared to income before income taxes of $12.8 million for the first quarter of 2025.

Consolidated adjusted EBITDA2 for the first quarter of 2026 was $50.8 million compared to $54.7 million for the first quarter of 2025.

Cash flows provided by operating activities for the first quarter of 2026 were $7.5 million. This compares to cash flows provided by operating activities of $16.1 million for the first quarter of 2025. The decrease was primarily due to the year over year impact of performance plan compensation payments.

Adjusted free cash flow3 was negative $3.0 million for the first quarter of 2026. This compares to adjusted free cash flow of $14.6 million for the first quarter of 2025.

Development activity by Applebee’s and IHOP for the first quarter of 2026 resulted in 24 new restaurant openings and 40 restaurant closures.

Effective Tax Rate

The Company’s effective tax rate was 27.3% for the three months ended March 29, 2026, as compared to 35.9% for the three months ended March 30, 2025.

1

See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) available to common stockholders to adjusted net income available to common stockholders.

2

See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) to consolidated adjusted EBITDA.

3

See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for reconciliation of the Company’s cash flows provided by operating activities to adjusted free cash flow.

Page 2 of 13

Key Balance Sheet Metrics (as of March 29, 2026)

Total cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash of approximately $172.9 mil

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 25, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.51%

$30.53

Act: +2.05%

5D

-1.30%

$30.29

Act: +1.73%

20D

-1.13%

$30.34

Price: $30.69 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-068524

8-K

false 0000049754 0000049754 2026-02-25 2026-02-25

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 25, 2026

Dine Brands Global, Inc. (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Delaware

001-15283

95-3038279

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)

(Commission File No.)

(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

10 West Walnut Street, 5th Floor, Pasadena, California

91103

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code) (818) 240-6055 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $.01 Par Value

DIN

New York Stock Exchange

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On February 25, 2026, Dine Brands Global, Inc., a Delaware corporation (the “Corporation”), issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in this Item 2.02, including the related information set forth in the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein, is being “furnished” and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise. The information in this Item 2.02 shall not be incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or into any filing or other document pursuant to the Exchange Act, except as otherwise expressly stated in any such filing.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Press Release issued by the Corporation on February 25, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

DINE BRANDS GLOBAL, INC.

Date: February 25, 2026

By:

/s/ Vance Y. Chang

Vance Y. Chang

Chief Financial Officer

About Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) Earnings

This page provides Dine Brands Global Inc. (DIN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on DIN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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