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AI Earnings Predictions for Dollar General Corporation (DG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.83%

$123.61

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-3.21%

$121.87

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-4.46%

$120.29

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $125.91 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -1.83% -3.21% -4.46% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +3.28% +5.11% +6.74% 100.0% +2.83%
Q4 2025 SELL -1.68% -2.63% -3.41% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 BUY +2.62% +4.90% +5.68% 100.0% +5.97%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.83%

$123.61

Act: -2.42%

5D

-3.21%

$121.87

20D

-4.46%

$120.29

Price: $125.91 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-101918

EX-99

2 tm2623914d1_ex99.htm

EXHIBIT 99

Exhibit 99

Dollar General Corporation Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Raises Financial Guidance for Fiscal Year 2026

GOODLETTSVILLE,

Tenn.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Dollar

General Corporation (NYSE: DG) today reported financial results for its second quarter (13 weeks) ended July 31, 2026.

Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Highlights

·Net Sales Increased 5.2% to $11.3 Billion

·Same-Store Sales Increased 3.5%

·Operating Profit Increased 29.2% to $769.2 Million

·Diluted Earnings Per Share (“EPS”) Increased 33.3% to $2.48

·Year-to-Date Cash Flow From Operations of $1.5 Billion

·Board of Directors Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend of $0.59 per share

“We are pleased with our second quarter performance, which included balanced topline growth, healthy operating margin expansion and strong double-digit EPS growth,” said Todd Vasos, Dollar General’s chief executive officer. “These results, which exceeded our expectations even before considering the benefit from tariff refunds after related reinvestments, are a testament to the strong execution, strategic direction, and continued dedication of our team. I want to thank our associates in our stores, distribution centers, private fleet and store support center for the work they do every day to fulfill our mission of Serving Others.”

“Our results reflect continued momentum across the business, including our fifth consecutive quarter of customer traffic growth and the sixth consecutive quarter of positive comparable sales growth across all four merchandising categories. This broad-based performance reflects the strength of our unique combination of value and convenience and the important role Dollar General plays in the communities we serve. As we move through the back half of the year, we remain confident in our strategy, our long-term financial framework and our ability to continue driving value for our customers, associates and shareholders.”

Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Overview

Net sales increased 5.2% to $11.3 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to $10.7 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The net sales increase was driven by growth in same-store sales and positive sales contributions from new stores, partially offset by the impact of store closures. Same-store sales increased 3.5% compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2025, reflecting increases of 2.0% in customer traffic and 1.5% in average transaction amount. Same-store sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 included growth in each of the consumables, seasonal, home products, and apparel categories.

Gross profit as a percentage of net sales was 32.6% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to 31.3% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, an increase of 127 basis points. This gross profit rate increase was primarily attributable to tariff refunds, a lower LIFO provision, and lower distribution costs; partially offset by increased markdowns and increased transportation costs. The Company estimates the gross margin benefit of tariff refunds, after related reinvestments, was approximately 81 basis points.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (“SG&A”) as a percentage of net sales were essentially flat year over year, at 25.8% in both the second quarter of fiscal 2026 and the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The primary expense that was higher as a percentage of net sales in the second quarter of 2026 was depreciation and amortization; offset by rent, which was lower as a percentage of sales.

Operating profit for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 increased 29.2% to $769.2 million compared to $595.4 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025. The Company estimates the operating margin benefit of tariff refunds, after related reinvestments, was approximately 66 basis points.

Net interest expense for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 decreased 25.7% to $42.9 million compared to $57.7 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025.

The effective income tax rate in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 was 24.2% compared to 23.5% in the second quarter of fiscal 2025. This higher effective income tax rate was primarily due to expired federal tax credits, partially offset by a reduced state effective tax rate.

The Company reported net income of $550.3 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, an increase of 33.8% compared to $411.4 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025. Diluted EPS increased 33.3% to $2.48 for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to diluted EPS of $1.86 in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, including an estimated benefit from tariff refunds, after related reinvestments, of approximately $0.25.

Merchandise Inventories

As of July 31, 2026, total merchandise inventories, at cost, were $6.6 billion compared to $6.6 billion as of August 1, 2025, a decrease of 2.7% on an average per-store basis.

Capital Expenditures

Total additions to property and equipment in the 26-week period ended July 31, 20

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jun 2, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.28%

$109.86

Act: -1.18%

5D

+5.11%

$111.81

Act: +2.83%

20D

+6.74%

$113.53

Act: +8.33%

Price: $106.37 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-069198

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Mar 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.68%

$142.02

Act: -3.34%

5D

-2.63%

$140.64

20D

-3.41%

$139.52

Price: $144.44 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-026697

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2026-03-12 2026-03-12

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): March 12, 2026

DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Tennessee

001-11421

61-0502302

(State or other jurisdiction

of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification No.)

100 MISSION RIDGE

GOODLETTSVILLE, TN

37072

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:  (615) 855-4000

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on

which registered

Common Stock, par value $0.875 per share DG New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

ITEM 2.02RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On March 12, 2026, Dollar General Corporation (the “Company”) issued a news release regarding results of operations and financial condition for the fiscal 2025 fourth quarter (13 weeks) and full year (52 weeks) ended January 30, 2026. The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information contained within this Item 2.02, including the information in Exhibit 99, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

ITEM 7.01REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE.

The information set forth in Item 2.02 above is incorporated herein by reference. The news release also:

·sets forth statements regarding, among other things, the Company’s fiscal year 2026 outlook and long-term financial framework, as well as the Company’s planned conference call to discuss the reported financial results, the Company’s fiscal year 2026 outlook and long-term financial framework, and certain other matters; and

·announces that on March 11, 2026, the Company’s Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.59 per share on the Company’s outstanding common stock payable on or before April 21, 2026, to shareholders of record on April 7, 2026.

The information contained within this Item 7.01, including the information in Exhibit 99, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

ITEM 9.01FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

(a)       Financial statements of businesses acquired.  N/A

(b)       Pro forma financial information.  N/A

(c)       Shell company transactions.  N/A

(d)       Exhibits.  See Exhibit Index to this report.

EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit No. Description

99 News release issued March 12, 2026

104 The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date:  March 12, 2026

DOLLAR GENERAL CORPORATION

By: /s/ Rhonda M. Taylor

Rhonda M. Taylor

Executive Vice President and General Counsel

2

About Dollar General Corporation (DG) Earnings

This page provides Dollar General Corporation (DG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on DG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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