Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
+1.12%
$52.37
100% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
+5.25%
$54.51
100% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
+14.39%
$59.24
95% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | BUY | +1.12% | +5.25% | +14.39% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -4.92% | -8.43% | -6.76% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -5.12% | -8.88% | -7.29% | 100.0% | -3.93% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +2.12% | +5.63% | +7.84% | 100.0% | +3.35% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Nov 3, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+1.12%
$52.37
Act: -11.50%
5D
+5.25%
$54.51
20D
+14.39%
$59.24
2 d897437dex991.htm
Exhibit 99.1
CVR Energy Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results
•
Separately announced today a definitive agreement to acquire Marathon Petroleum Corporation’s St. Paul Park and Mandan refineries and related marketing business
•
Third quarter 2026 net income attributable to CVR Energy stockholders of $570 million; Adjusted EBITDA of $582 million
•
$253 million liability removed from balance sheet due to the EPA’s August 2026 decision granting a full waiver for Wynnewood Refining Company, LLC (“WRC”) for the 2025 compliance period
•
Declared cash dividend of 10 cents for the third quarter 2026
•
CVR Partners, LP (“CVR Partners”) announced a third quarter 2026 cash distribution of $1.79 per common unit
SUGAR LAND, Texas (November 3, 2026) – CVR Energy, Inc. (“CVR Energy” or the “Company”) (NYSE: CVI) today announced its third quarter 2026 results including a net income attributable to CVR Energy stockholders of $570 million, or $5.67 per diluted share, and an adjusted earnings per diluted share of $4.00, compared to net income attributable to CVR Energy stockholders of $374 million, or $3.72 per diluted share, and an adjusted earnings per diluted share of 40 cents for the third quarter of 2025. Net income for the third quarter of 2026 was $563 million compared to net income of $401 million for the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2026 was $582 million compared to $180 million for the third quarter of 2025.
“We are incredibly excited about our announcements this morning of a definitive agreement to acquire two high quality refineries from Marathon Petroleum, along with the associated marketing and logistics assets,” said Dane Neumann, CVR Energy’s President and Chief Executive Officer. “We also announced the best quarterly results in the Company’s history on both a consolidated basis and in the Petroleum segment, driven by strong operations across our system and record crack spreads. We are also pleased to announce a quarterly dividend of 10 cents per share. Looking ahead, we remain optimistic about the near-term outlook while we seek to close on our transformative transaction with Marathon Petroleum by the end of the year.”
Partners’ results for the third quarter were impacted by the planned turnaround at its East Dubuque facility, which was completed in mid-October as scheduled,” Neumann continued. “Despite the downtime associated with the turnaround, CVR Partners had another quarter of solid results and declared a cash distribution of $1.79 per common unit for the third quarter.”
Segment Highlights
Below are financial and operational highlights of each of the Company’s reportable segments:
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Petroleum Segment
Petroleum net income (in millions)
$ 746
$ 520
$ 565
$ 223
Petroleum EBITDA* (in millions)
787
572
706
370
Petroleum Adjusted EBITDA* (in millions)
565
120
621
127
Total throughput barrels per day
227,637
215,968
218,339
169,848
Refining margin* ($ per throughput barrel)
$ 45.56
$ 35.65
$ 19.28
$ 15.93
Adjusted refining margin* ($ per throughput barrel)
34.97
12.87
17.86
10.68
1
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
2026
2025
2026
2025
Direct operating expenses* ($ per throughput barrel)
6.15
5.69
6.06
6.62
Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment
Nitrogen Fertilizer net (loss) income (in millions)
$ (11 )
$ 43
$ 117
$ 109
Nitrogen Fertilizer EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA* (in millions)
20
71
205
191
Ammonia utilization rate (percent of capacity utilization)
80 %
95 %
94 %
96 %
Ammonia sales volumes (thousands of tons)
36
48
164
165
UAN sales volumes (thousands of tons)
327
328
971
1,009
Ammonia pricing at gate ($ per ton)
$ 637
$ 531
$ 710
$ 561
UAN pricing at gate ($ per ton)
309
348
348
307
*
See “Non-GAAP Reconciliations” section below.
Corporate and Other
The Company reported an income tax expense of $141 million, or 20.0 percent of income before income taxes, for the three months ended September 30, 2026, compared to an income tax expense of $88 million, or 17.9 percent of income before income taxes, for the three months ended September 30, 2025. The change in income tax expense was primarily due to an increase in overall pretax earnings while the change in effective tax rate was primarily caused by changes in pretax earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests and the impact of state tax credits relative to overall pretax earnings.
Cash, Debt and Dividend
Consolidated cash and cash equivalents were $1.3 billion at September 30, 2026. Consolidated total debt and finance lease obligations were $1.8 billion at September 30, 2026, including $570 million held by the Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment.
CVR Energy announced a third quarter 2026 cash dividend of 10 cents per share. The dividend, as declared by CVR Energy’s Board of
Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-4.92%
$32.92
Act: +9.99%
5D
-8.43%
$31.70
20D
-6.76%
$32.28
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Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-5.12%
$32.38
Act: -2.90%
5D
-8.88%
$31.10
Act: -3.93%
20D
-7.29%
$31.64
Act: -1.49%
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This page provides CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CVI's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.