1. Home
  2. CRTO
  3. Earnings

AI Earnings Predictions for Criteo S.A. (CRTO)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.95%

$15.53

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+2.99%

$15.68

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+2.53%

$15.62

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $15.23 Confidence: 99.3% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +1.95% +2.99% +2.53% 99.3% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +1.37% +2.10% +1.78% 40.3% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +1.76% +3.12% +1.82% 99.9% +1.83%
Q4 2025 SELL -1.00% -3.41% -5.71% 99.8% -5.29%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 4, 2026 · 99% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.95%

$15.53

Act: -1.66%

5D

+2.99%

$15.68

20D

+2.53%

$15.62

Price: $15.23 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-069790

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991-8xkq32026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

CRITEO REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

Q3 2026 Media Spend of $1.2 Billion, up 9%

Expands Performance CTV Capabilities Across Global Markets

NEW YORK - November 4, 2026 - Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ: CRTO) ("Criteo" or the "Company"), the global commerce intelligence platform, today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights:

The following table summarizes our consolidated financial results for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2026:

Three Months EndedNine Months Ended

September 30,September 30,

20262025YoY Change20262025YoY Change

(in millions, except EPS data)

GAAP Results

Revenue$416$470(11)%$1,269$1,404(10)%

Gross Profit$208$256(19)%$653$752(13)%

Net Income$6$40(85)%$26$103(74)%

Gross Profit margin50%55%(5)ppt51%54%(3) ppt

Diluted EPS$0.11$0.70(84)%$0.49$1.75(72)%

Cash from operating activities$57$90(36)%$125$151(17)%

Cash and cash equivalents$275$2558%$275$2558%

Non-GAAP Results1

Contribution ex-TAC$240$288(17)%$746$845(12)%

Adjusted EBITDA$65$105(39)%$203$287(29)%

Adjusted diluted EPS$0.43$1.31(67)%$1.96$3.32(41)%

Free Cash Flow (FCF)$21$67(69)%$—$76(100)%

FCF / Adjusted EBITDA33%64%(31)ppt—%27%(27) ppt

"Despite near-term headwinds, we are making tangible progress across our business, with momentum in newer channels and a growing pipeline of opportunities,” said Michael Komasinski, Chief Executive Officer of Criteo. “As we sharpen execution and operate with greater discipline, we remain focused on capturing the opportunities ahead and creating sustainable value for our shareholders.”

Operating Highlights

•Criteo's media spend2 was $4.6 billion in the last 12 months and $1.2 billion in Q3 2026, up 9% year-over-year at constant currency3.

•Criteo expands its Performance Connected TV capabilities beyond the U.S., starting with Brazil and Mexico by year-end 2026, followed by Canada, the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Australia, and select additional markets in 2027.

•Criteo became OpenAI's first advertising technology partner in March 2026, enabling thousands of brands to advertise on ChatGPT; the offering is now available in 89 countries.

•We expanded Retail Media adoption across approximately 4,700 brands and grew our retail network with new partners, including Notino in EMEA, El Puerto de Liverpool in Mexico, ONIGO in Japan, Adore Beauty in Australia, and PayU in India.

•Criteo is working to bring sponsored products into AI-powered conversational search with THG Ingenuity, creating new discovery and monetization opportunities.

•Criteo earned Frost & Sullivan's 2026 Global New Product Innovation Recognition in the commerce media supply-side platform category.

•The Company deployed $65 million of capital for share repurchases in the first nine months of 2026, including $4 million in the third quarter.

•Criteo's transfer of legal domicile from Luxembourg to the United States is expected to be completed on January 1, 2027, subject to shareholder approval and other customary conditions.

•Criteo appointed former Google and Microsoft executive Jianchang “JC” Mao to its Board of Directors as an independent director.


1 Contribution ex-TAC, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted diluted EPS and Free Cash Flow are not measures calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

2 Media spend is defined as working media spend allocated to Retail Media campaigns and media spend activated on behalf of Performance Media clients.

3 Constant currency measures exclude the impact of foreign currency fluctuations and is computed by applying the prior year monthly exchange rates to transactions denominated in settlement or billing currencies other than the U.S. dollar.

1

Exhibit 99.1

Financial Summary

Revenue for Q3 2026 was $416 million, gross profit was $208 million and Contribution ex-TAC was $240 million. Net income for Q3 2026 was $6 million, representing $0.11 per share on a diluted basis. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 was $65 million, and adjusted net income was $21 million, resulting in an adjusted diluted EPS of $0.43. As reported, revenue for Q3 decreased (11)%, gross profit decreased (19)% and Contribution ex-TAC decreased (17)%. At constant currency, revenue for Q3 2026 decreased (10)% and Contribution ex-TAC decreased (15)%. Cash flow from operating activities was $57 million in Q3 2026 and Free Cash Flow was $21 million in Q3 2026. As of September 30, 2026, we had $326 million in cash and marketable securities on our balance sheet.

Connor McGogney, Chief Financial Officer, said, “We maintained cost discipline in the third quarter while investing in our growth priorities, and we see further opportunities to improve efficiency. I am confident in our ability to translate Criteo’s strengths into more consistent growth, stronger operating leverage and greater shareho

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 5, 2026 · 40% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.37%

$22.68

Act: +0.57%

5D

+2.10%

$22.84

20D

+1.78%

$22.77

Price: $22.37 Prob +5D: 70% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-052913

EX-99.1

7 exhibit991-8xkq22026.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

CRITEO REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

Appointed Connor McGogney as Chief Financial Officer, Effective August 10, 2026

Q2 2026 Media Spend of $1.1 Billion

Deployed $30 Million to Repurchase Shares in Q2 2026

NEW YORK - August 5, 2026 - Criteo S.A. (NASDAQ: CRTO) ("Criteo" or the "Company"), the global commerce intelligence platform, today announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Second Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights:

The following table summarizes our consolidated financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2026:

Three Months EndedSix Months Ended

June 30,June 30,

20262025YoY Change20262025YoY Change

(in millions, except EPS data)

GAAP Results

Revenue$428$483(11)%$853$934(9)%

Gross Profit$222$259(14)%$445$495(10)%

Net Income $12$23(49)%$20$63(68)%

Gross Profit margin52%54%(2)ppt52%53%(1) ppt

Diluted EPS$0.22$0.39(44)%$0.37$1.05(65)%

Cash from operating activities$20$(1)NM$69$6112%

Cash and cash equivalents$252$20623%$252$20623%

Non-GAAP Results1

Contribution ex-TAC$255$292(13)%$506$556(9)%

Adjusted EBITDA$73$89(18)%$138$182(24)%

Adjusted diluted EPS$0.80$0.92(13)%$1.53$2.02(24)%

Free Cash Flow (FCF)$(38)$(36)(3)%$(22)$9(340)%

FCF / Adjusted EBITDA(51)%(41)%(10)ppt(16)%5%(21) ppt

"While our second quarter top line performance was disappointing, our long-term strategy remains unchanged,” said Michael Komasinski, Chief Executive Officer of Criteo. “We remain confident in our Commerce Intelligence strategy and are strengthening execution, diversifying our business and positioning Criteo to help shape the next generation of AI driven commerce.”

Operating Highlights

•Criteo appointed Connor McGogney as Chief Financial Officer, effective August 10, 2026. He succeeds Sarah Glickman, who has served as Chief Financial Officer for the past six years and will remain as an advisor through the end of September to support a seamless transition.

•Criteo's media spend2 was $4.5 billion in the last 12 months and $1.1 billion in Q2 2026, up 9% year-over-year at constant currency3.

•Criteo became OpenAI's first advertising technology partner in March 2026 and now has over 2,000 brands advertising on ChatGPT across seven countries, with additional country launches planned, including Mexico and Brazil. ChatGPT Ads inventory is now available through Criteo’s self-service, cross-channel performance platform Criteo GO.

•The Company further strengthened its Retail Media footprint with the addition of Loblaw Advance in Canada, Monoprix and Druni in EMEA, and Olive Young and Golf Digest Online in APAC.

•Criteo launched sponsored products into AI-powered conversational search with Albertsons, creating new discovery and monetization opportunities.

•Criteo was named a Leader in the QKS Group SPARK Matrix™ for Retail Media Network and Monetization Platform, Q2 2026.

•The Company deployed $61 million of capital for share repurchases in the first six months of 2026, including $30 million in the second quarter.

•Criteo completed its redomiciliation from France to Luxembourg, and its Board of Directors approved the subsequent transfer of legal domicile from Luxembourg to the United States, which is expected to be completed in January 2027, subject to shareholder approval and other customary conditions.

1


1 Contribution ex-TAC, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA margin, Adjusted diluted EPS and Free Cash Flow are not measures calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

2 Media spend is defined as working media spend allocated to Retail Media campaigns and media spend activated on behalf of Performance Media clients.

3 Constant currency measures exclude the impact of foreign currency fluctuations and is computed by applying the prior year monthly exchange rates to transactions denominated in settlement or billing currencies other than the U.S. dollar.

2

Financial Summary

Revenue for Q2 2026 was $428 million, gross profit was $222 million and Contribution ex-TAC was $255 million. Net income for Q2 2026 was $12 million, representing $0.22 per share on a diluted basis. Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2026 was $73 million, and adjusted net income was $41 million, resulting in an adjusted diluted EPS of $0.80. As reported, revenue for Q2 decreased (11)%, gross profit decreased (14)% and Contribution ex-TAC decreased (13)%. At constant currency, revenue for Q2 2026 decreased (11)% and Contribution ex-TAC decreased (12)%. Cash flow from operating activities was $20 million in Q2 2026 and Free Cash Flow was $(38) million in Q2 2026. As of June 30, 2026, we had $303 million in cash and marketable securities on our balance sheet.

Sarah Glickman, Chief Financial Officer, said, “Our updated outlook reflects a more conservative view of our business trends for the remainder of the year. Our strong profitability, cash flow and balance sheet provide th

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.76%

$16.14

Act: +3.72%

5D

+3.12%

$16.36

Act: +1.83%

20D

+1.82%

$16.15

Act: +9.02%

Price: $15.86 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001576427-26-000043

SEC.gov | Request Rate Threshold Exceeded

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

You’ve Exceeded the SEC’s Traffic Limit

Your request rate has exceeded the SEC’s maximum allowable requests per second. Your access to SEC.gov will be limited for 10 minutes.

Current guidelines limit each user to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests. To ensure that SEC.gov remains available to all users, we reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests.

The block will be lifted automatically by waiting 10 minutes. Continuing to exceed the SEC’s maximum allowable request rate during the time-out period will extend the duration of the time-out period. To ensure fair access for all users, please reduce the rate of your requests and visit SEC.gov again after the 10 minute time-out period has passed.

For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Reference ID: 0.c706d217.1784333254.cc88b881

More Information

Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

Unauthorized attempts to upload information and/or change information on any portion of this site are strictly prohibited and are subject to prosecution under the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act of 1986 and the National Information Infrastructure Protection Act of 1996 (see Title 18 U.S.C. §§ 1001 and 1030).

To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About Criteo S.A. (CRTO) Earnings

This page provides Criteo S.A. (CRTO) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CRTO's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Share on Social Networks: