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AI Earnings Predictions for Coty Inc. (COTY)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-6.17%

$2.87

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-8.36%

$2.80

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-10.01%

$2.75

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $3.06 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -6.17% -8.36% -10.01% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -7.05% -8.12% -8.58% 100.0% -10.94%
Q4 2025 SELL -6.13% -6.81% -6.92% 100.0% -21.26%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 19, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.17%

$2.87

Act: -10.13%

5D

-8.36%

$2.80

20D

-10.01%

$2.75

Price: $3.06 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001024305-26-000045

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991-earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

COTY ANNOUNCES FOURTH QUARTER FISCAL YEAR 2026 RESULTS

Q4 Results Ahead of Expectations, Including Sales Growth of 1%

Growth in FY26 Operating Cash Flow to $538 million and Free Cash Flow to $348 million, Despite Lower Profit

Coty.Curated Sets Clear Strategic Framework to Strengthen Business Fundamentals

NEW YORK -- August 19, 2026 -- Coty Inc. (NYSE: COTY) (Paris: COTY) ("Coty" or "the Company") today announced its results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026, ended June 30, 2026. Coty delivered Q4 and FY26 sales, profit, and cash flow ahead of expectations, supported by cost control and the convergence of sales and sell-out.

"We closed FY26 on a stronger note, delivering sales and profit ahead of our targets, growing free cash flow even in the face of business headwinds, all while establishing a clear strategic framework and taking decisive action to steadily strengthen our core business in FY27 and beyond," said Markus Strobel, Executive Chairman and Interim Chief Executive Officer.

"We were pleased to return to reported sales growth, with Q4 sales up 1% year-over-year and a significant sequential improvement in our like-for-like (LFL) trends to down 1%, despite incurring an estimated 1% headwind to sales from the Middle East conflict. It's encouraging to see closer alignment between our sell-in and sell-out. However, we are not content with our sell-out performance, which remains below market levels in both divisions, and steadily closing that gap remains a clear priority across the organization.

"Our Coty.Curated strategic framework has entered the execution phase, with tangible actions already taken and further progress ahead. We began rightsizing our commercial organization and Consumer Beauty R&D and global brand marketing functions to enhance agility and accountability. We have also incorporated concrete market share targets into our global incentive program. Our FY27 big bets have been identified, and we will support them with amplified advocacy and consumer engagement programs, while also optimizing the visibility and recommendation of our brands across AI platforms. In Consumer Beauty color cosmetics, we are simplifying the innovation calendar and SKU base, and shifting resources toward fewer, higher-impact launches and proven hero products. We will execute these actions with discipline to minimize the impact on sales.

"Over the last three quarters, we have advanced our strategic objectives of simplifying our portfolio, sharpening our focus on the core of our business, and reducing our debt balance. In December 2025, we monetized our remaining stake in Wella for $750 million. In July 2026, we announced an agreement to sell the Gucci Beauty license back to Kering approximately one year ahead of its expiration for $400 million, plus additional proceeds from inventory. These favorable outcomes are fully consistent with our objectives, as we deploy the proceeds toward debt reduction, reinvestment in Coty's core prestige fragrance and beauty brands, and optimization of our organizational structure.

"While the Gucci Beauty license exit will result in a step-down in sales and profit in FY28, we are developing plans to help moderate the impact. These plans include accelerating our core brands; maximizing the contribution from new portfolio additions, including makeup under Marc Jacobs Beauty and fragrances under Swarovski, Etro, and Marni; and lowering our cost structure through a significant fixed cost reduction program. These actions are designed to mitigate the FY28 impact and position Coty to accelerate growth across our core portfolio and drive profit expansion in FY29 and beyond.

"In sum, our Q4 results provide early signs of stabilization, although the recovery will not be linear. FY27 will be a transition year as we strengthen our core business and continue shaping a simpler, more focused Coty, factoring in both the Gucci exit by FY28 and final portfolio decisions related to our strategic review of Consumer Beauty by the end of CY26. We have important strengths to build on, including leading brands, strong category positions, solid cash generation, and a differentiated end-to-end global platform. We are confident that our focused Coty.Curated framework will unlock Coty's significant potential and steadily translate into shareholder value in the years ahead."

1

RESULTS AT A GLANCE

Three Months Ended June 30, 2026Year Ended June 30, 2026

(in millions, except per share data)Change YoYChange YoY

COTY INC.Reported Basis (LFL)(a) Reported Basis (LFL)(a)

Net revenues$1,269.2 1%(1%)$5,806.6 (2%)(5%)

Gross Margin - reported61%63%

Gross Margin - adjusted*61%63%

Operating income - reported(42.7)<(100%)(81.5)<(100%)

Net loss attributable to common shareholders - reported**(144.3)<(100%)(618.0)(62%)

Operating income - adjusted*39.5 (42%)626.7 (27)%

Net (loss) income attributable to common shareholders - adjusted* **(13.4)

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.05%

$2.38

Act: +3.52%

5D

-8.12%

$2.35

Act: -10.94%

20D

-8.58%

$2.34

Act: -25.78%

Price: $2.56 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001024305-26-000028

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991-earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

COTY ANNOUNCES THIRD QUARTER FISCAL YEAR 2026 RESULTS

Q3 Results Inline to Ahead of Expectations

Growth in Fiscal Year to Date Operating Cash Flow to $422M and Free Cash Flow to $276M, Despite Lower Profit, Reflecting Disciplined Working Capital and Capital Expenditure

Initial Implementation of Coty.Curated Strategic Framework to Support Healthier Business In FY27 & Beyond

NEW YORK - May 5, 2026-- Coty Inc. (NYSE: COTY) (Paris: COTY) ("Coty" or "the Company") today announced its results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, ended March 31, 2026. Despite Middle East-related disruptions, Coty delivered Q3 profit ahead of expectations, supported by cost control and the reallocation of investments behind activations in Q4.

“Q3 marked an important step toward restoring consistent performance commensurate with Coty's outstanding assets and capabilities," said Markus Strobel, Executive Chairman and Interim Chief Executive Officer.

"While the Q3 results were below our potential on an absolute basis, we were pleased to deliver profitability ahead of our guidance despite the disruption in our Middle East business late in the quarter. This was a welcome first step, as we begin to gradually strengthen our operational control and execution.

We are methodically implementing the Coty.Curated strategic framework announced last quarter, centered on sharper priorities, more focused investments, improved execution, and increased support behind our core businesses. We are embedding this framework into our FY27 action plans for both divisions, including significantly reducing the number of smaller launches, lowering marketing asset production costs in part through broad-based AI deployment for our owned brands, while increasing consumer engagement spending, and working to simplify our operational model, all with the ultimate objective to grow our sell out and market share over time.

As we near the conclusion of our strategic planning and portfolio assessment, to be validated with our Board including our new independent directors, we expect to share more details in the coming quarters. At the same time, I remain confident in Coty's position as a leading fragrance player, underpinned by our multiple iconic brands, and targeted presence in other beauty categories, including cosmetics, skin care, and body care. We believe stronger, more focused execution across our portfolio will enable us to deliver consistent, profitable growth, advance our deleveraging agenda, and further strengthen our balance sheet.

While this will take time, I strongly believe that with sustained focus and discipline, Coty is well positioned to realize its full potential."

RESULTS AT A GLANCE

Three Months Ended March 31, 2026Nine Months Ended March 31, 2026

(in millions, except per share data)Change YoYChange YoY

COTY INC.Reported Basis (LFL)(a) Reported Basis (LFL)(a)

Net revenues$1,281.6 (1%)(7%)$4,537.4 (2%)(6%)

Gross Margin - reported61.8%63.5%

Gross Margin - adjusted*61.8%63.6%

Operating income - reported(372.0)(33%)(38.8)<(100%)

Net (loss) income attributable to common shareholders - reported **(411.4)(1%)(473.7)(53%)

Operating income - adjusted*72.4 (51%)587.2 (25)%

Net income attributable to common shareholders - adjusted* **(27.2)<(100%)198.5 (15)%

EBITDA - adjusted*127.0 (38%)753.3 (21)%

EPS attributable to common shareholders (diluted) - reported$(0.47)—%$(0.54)(50%)

EPS attributable to common shareholders (diluted) - adjusted*$(0.03)<(100%)$0.23 (15%)

Cash flow from operations(203.1)421.8

Free cash flow*(248.7)275.6

(a) LFL results for the three and nine months ended March 31, 2026 include immaterial help from Argentina resulting from significant price increases due to hyperinflation.

*    These measures, as well as “financial net debt,” are Non-GAAP Financial Measures. Refer to “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for discussion of these measures. Reconciliations from reported to adjusted results can be found at the end of this release.

**    Net income for Coty Inc. is net of the Convertible Series B Preferred Stock dividends.

1

Three Months Ended March 31, 2026, Summary Results

For the three months ended March 31, 2026, compared to the three months ended March 31, 2025:

•Net revenue of $1,281.6 million decreased 1% on a reported basis and included a 6% benefit from foreign exchange (FX). On a like-for-like (LFL) basis, net revenue declined 7%, which included an estimated 1.4% headwind from the conflict in the Middle East.

•Prestige net revenue of $830.9 million, representing 65% of the Company's total sales, was flat on a reported basis and declined 5% on a LFL basis. This included an estimated 2% headwind from the conflict in the Middle East.

•Consumer Beauty net revenue of $450.7 million, representing 35% of the Company's total sales, decreased 4% on a reported basis and 10% on a LFL basis, which included an estimated 1% headwind from the conflict in t

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-6.13%

$2.98

Act: -16.22%

5D

-6.81%

$2.96

Act: -21.26%

20D

-6.92%

$2.96

Price: $3.17 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001024305-26-000013

coty-20260205FALSE000102430500010243052026-02-052026-02-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 5, 2026 Coty Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Delaware001-3596413-3823358 (State or other Jurisdiction of Incorporation) (Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

350 Fifth Avenue

New York, NY 10118 (Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 389-7300

(Former name or former address, if changed from last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities Registered Pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Class A Common Stock, $0.01 par valueCOTYNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company    ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.o

Item 2.02     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 5, 2026, Coty Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2025. The release also includes forward-looking statements about the Company’s outlook. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated in this report by reference.

The information furnished with this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

The Company is making reference to non-GAAP financial information in both the press release and its earnings call. Reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the nearest comparable GAAP financial measures are contained in the press release attached as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 9.01     Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d)Exhibits: Exhibit No. Description

99.1 Press release regarding financial results, dated February 5, 2026, of the Company.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Coty Inc.

(Registrant)

Date: February 5, 2026 By: /s/Laurent Mercier Laurent Mercier Chief Financial Officer

About Coty Inc. (COTY) Earnings

This page provides Coty Inc. (COTY) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on COTY's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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