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AI Earnings Predictions for Columbia Banking System Inc. (COLB)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.74%

$28.95

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.16%

$28.53

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-1.27%

$29.39

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $29.77 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -2.74% -4.16% -1.27% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -2.65% -4.27% -0.92% 100.0% -3.13%
Q1 2026 SELL -2.73% -4.78% -1.02% 100.0% -0.17%
Q4 2025 SELL -2.80% -5.16% -2.17% 100.0% -2.12%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.74%

$28.95

Act: +3.60%

5D

-4.16%

$28.53

20D

-1.27%

$29.39

Price: $29.77 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000887343-26-000184

EX-99.1

2 colb-20260930ex991earnings.htm

PRESS RELEASE ANNOUNCING THIRD QUARTER 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS

Document

EXHIBIT 99.1

00

COLUMBIA BANKING SYSTEM, INC. REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

$220 million$229 million$0.78$0.82

Net incomeOperating net income1Earnings per common share - diluted Operating earnings per common share - diluted1

0

CEO Commentary

"Our third quarter performance demonstrates the benefits of consistent execution and active balance sheet management," said Clint Stein, Chairman, CEO & President. "By remaining focused on relationship-driven growth, prudent loan and deposit pricing, and operational discipline, we continued to improve our profitability while maintaining strong credit quality and returning excess capital. Over the past year, we returned over $1 billion to our shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, completing our existing buyback authorization in the process. Our Board of Directors has authorized a new $1.2 billion share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in our long-term strategy and our outlook for continued excess capital generation. We remain focused on growing our franchise in ways that strengthen customer relationships, enhance the quality of our balance sheet, and support attractive long-term returns for our shareholders."

Clint Stein, Chairman, CEO & President of Columbia Banking System, Inc.

3Q26 HIGHLIGHTS (COMPARED TO 2Q26)

Net Interest Income and NIM •Net interest income increased by $26 million from the prior quarter, due to higher income on loans and investment securities and lower funding costs.

•Net interest margin was 4.11%, up 18 basis points from the prior quarter, due to higher yields on loans and investment securities and a favorable funding mix shift, as growth in customer deposits was used to pay down wholesale funding sources.

Non-Interest Income and Expense

•Non-interest income decreased by $8 million. Excluding the impact of fair value and hedges,1 non-interest income decreased by $4 million, due primarily to $3 million of death benefit proceeds recorded during the second quarter related to a single policy that did not recur in the third quarter.

•Non-interest expense decreased by $5 million, due to lower merger expense.

Credit Quality •Net charge-offs were 0.24% of average loans and leases (annualized), compared to 0.25% for the prior quarter.

•Provision expense was $33 million, compared to $27 million for the prior quarter.

•Non-performing assets to total assets ratio was 0.39%, compared to 0.42% as of June 30, 2026.

Capital •Estimated total risk-based capital ratio of 13.8% and estimated common equity tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of 11.5%.

•Declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.37 per common share on August 14, 2026, which was paid September 14, 2026.

•Repurchased $199 million of common stock, completing our previously announced repurchase plan.

Notable Items •Our second customer deposit campaign of 2026, which began in June and ended in mid-August, brought over $700 million in new deposits to the bank.

•Our Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $1.2 billion of common stock under a new repurchase plan, which has no expiration date.

3Q26 KEY FINANCIAL DATA

PERFORMANCE METRICS

3Q26

2Q26

3Q25

Return on average assets1.34%1.27%0.67%

Return on average common equity11.78%10.99%6.19%

Return on average tangible common equity1 16.43%15.29%8.58%

Operating return on average assets1 1.40%1.33%1.42%

Operating return on average common equity1 12.27%11.46%13.15%

Operating return on average tangible common equity1 17.11%15.95%18.24%

Net interest margin4.11%3.93%3.84%

Efficiency ratio53.08%55.15%67.29%

Operating efficiency ratio, as adjusted 1 51.34%52.92%52.32%

INCOME STATEMENT

($ in millions, excl. per share data)

3Q26

2Q26

3Q25

Net interest income$615$589$505

Provision for credit losses$33$27$70

Non-interest income$80$88$77

Non-interest expense$370$375$393

Pre-provision net revenue1

$325$302$189

Operating pre-provision net revenue1

$337$314$270

Earnings per common share - diluted $0.78$0.73$0.40

Operating earnings per common share - diluted1

$0.82$0.76$0.85

Dividends paid per share$0.37$0.37$0.36

BALANCE SHEET

($ in millions, excl. per share data)

3Q26

2Q26

3Q25

Total assets$65,135 $65,380 $67,496

Loans and leases$46,915 $47,166 $48,462

Deposits$52,740 $52,056 $55,771

Book value per common share$25.62$26.70$26.04

Tangible book value per common share1 $18.10$19.22$18.57

Investor Contact

Jacquelynne "Jacque" Bohlen, SVP/Director of Investor Relations, 503-727-4100, jacquebohlen@columbiabank.com

1 "Non-GAAP" financial measure. See GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation for additional information.

Columbia Banking System, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

October 22, 2026

Page 2

Organizational Update

During the third quarter, Columbia Banking System, Inc. ("Columbia," the "Company," "we," or "our") opened two depository locations in Utah: a branch in Dra

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.65%

$31.41

Act: -3.44%

5D

-4.27%

$30.88

Act: -3.13%

20D

-0.92%

$31.96

Price: $32.26 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000887343-26-000165

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.73%

$28.84

Act: -1.99%

5D

-4.78%

$28.23

Act: -0.17%

20D

-1.02%

$29.35

Act: -0.10%

Price: $29.65 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000887343-26-000132

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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For best practices on efficiently downloading information from SEC.gov, including the latest EDGAR filings, visit sec.gov/developer. You can also sign up for email updates on the SEC open data program, including best practices that make it more efficient to download data, and SEC.gov enhancements that may impact scripted downloading processes. For more information, contact opendata@sec.gov.

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To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

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About Columbia Banking System Inc. (COLB) Earnings

This page provides Columbia Banking System Inc. (COLB) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on COLB's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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