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AI Earnings Predictions for Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-12.40%

$13.01

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-13.91%

$12.78

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-17.00%

$12.33

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $14.85 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL -12.40% -13.91% -17.00% 100.0% -8.48%
Q4 2025 BUY +7.51% +8.97% +12.42% 99.0% -16.00%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-12.40%

$13.01

Act: -13.20%

5D

-13.91%

$12.78

Act: -8.48%

20D

-17.00%

$12.33

Act: +5.45%

Price: $14.85 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001441236-26-000024

EX-99.1

2 clw-20260331x8kexhibit991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Clearwater Paper Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

SPOKANE, Wash.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--April 28, 2026 --Clearwater Paper Corporation (NYSE:CLW), a premier independent supplier of bleached paperboard to North American converters today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

•Net sales of $360 million versus $378 million in the first quarter of 2025, with volume up 5%, offset by lower market pricing

•Net loss of $13 million, or $0.80 per diluted share versus net loss of $6 million, or $0.38 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2025

•Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations of $2 million versus $30 million in the first quarter of 2025 primarily due to lower market pricing and severe weather impacts

•Launched VeloraTM a new lightweight folding carton paperboard engineered to deliver dependable performance, higher yield and strong value for everyday packaging

•Announced restructuring of Cypress Bend, Arkansas facility in April, resulting in reduction of approximately 20% of roles and expected annual savings of $8 to $12 million

•Received $17 million in additional representation and warranty insurance proceeds, pursuing claims against $50 million of remaining policy limit

“We delivered solid operational execution during the first quarter, with our team doing an outstanding job managing through a severe weather event in the Southeast. We also delivered healthy volume growth that outpaced the market even as we navigated a challenging industry environment,” said Arsen Kitch, president and chief executive officer.

OVERALL RESULTS

For the first quarter of 2026, Clearwater Paper reported net sales of $360 million, compared to $378 million in the first quarter of 2025. The company reported a net loss from continuing operations of $13 million, or $0.80 per diluted share for the quarter, compared to a net loss of $6 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, in the prior‑year period. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations was $2 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $30 million in the first quarter of 2025.

The increase in net loss was primarily driven by lower pricing and the impact of a weather event during the first quarter of 2026, partially offset by insurance proceeds and cost reductions. The decrease in Adjusted EBITDA primarily reflects lower pricing and weather‑related impacts, partially offset by reduced costs.

Sales volumes and prices:

• Sales volumes were 302,918 tons in the first quarter of 2026, an increase of 5% compared to 289,487 tons in the first quarter of 2025.

• Paperboard average net selling price decreased 7% to $1,101 per ton for the first quarter of 2026, compared to $1,188 per ton in the first quarter of 2025.

COMPANY OUTLOOK

“We are focused on items within our control, namely reducing costs and maintaining share with our strategic customers, while anticipating an improvement in industry conditions. Today’s operating rates and recent increases in input costs are resulting in margins and cash flows that do not support long-term investments in our industry’s capital-intensive assets. We believe that a combination of demand growth, lower imports, and changes in net domestic supply will drive a recovery in the medium term,” concluded Kitch.

WEBCAST INFORMATION

Clearwater Paper Corporation will discuss these results during an earnings conference call that begins at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time on April 28, 2026. A live webcast and accompanying supplemental information will be available on the company's website. A replay of the conference call will be available on the website beginning at 5:00 p.m. Pacific Time the same day.

ABOUT CLEARWATER PAPER CORPORATION

Clearwater Paper is a premier independent supplier of paperboard packaging products to North American converters. Headquartered in Spokane, Wash., our team produces high-quality paperboard that provides sustainable packaging solutions for consumer goods and food service applications. For additional information, please visit our website at www.clearwaterpaper.com.

USE OF NON-GAAP MEASURES

In this press release, the company presents certain non-GAAP financial information for the first quarter of 2026 and 2025, including adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations and Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations. Because these amounts are not in accordance with GAAP, reconciliations to net income (loss) from continuing operations and Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations as determined in accordance with GAAP are included in the tables at the end of this press release. The company presents these non-GAAP metrics because management believes they assist investors and analysts in comparing the company's performance across reporting periods on a consistent basis by excluding items that the company does not believe are indicative of its core operating performance. In addition, the com

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 18, 2026 · 99% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+7.51%

$18.21

Act: -9.33%

5D

+8.97%

$18.46

Act: -16.00%

20D

+12.42%

$19.04

Price: $16.94 Prob +5D: 99% AUC: 1.000
0001441236-26-000006

clw-20260218FALSE000144123600014412362025-01-012025-12-31

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 18, 2026

CLEARWATER PAPER CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3414620-3594554 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

601 West Riverside,Suite 300 99201 Spokane,WA (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(509) 344-5900 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Not Applicable (Former name of former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below): ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchanged on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per shareCLWNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 18, 2026, Clearwater Paper Corporation (the “Company”) announced its results of operations for the fourth quarter and year ending December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release containing this announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. In addition, a copy of the Company’s Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Release Materials is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto. In addition to disclosing financial results calculated in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), the following are disclosed in the attached Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations, which is defined as earnings before interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization, other operating credits and charges, net and other non-operating items from continuing operations. Adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations is calculated by excluding from net income, goodwill impairment charges, other operating credits and charges, net, and adjusts for a normalized tax rate. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations and adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations are not a substitute for the GAAP measure of net income or other GAAP measures of operating performance. The Company discloses Adjusted EBITDA in the attached because it is used as an important supplemental measure of its performance and believes that similarly-titled measures are frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other interested persons in the evaluation of companies in its industry, some of which present similarly-titled measures when reporting their results. The Company uses Adjusted EBITDA to evaluate its performance as compared to other companies in its industry that have different financing and capital structures and/or tax rates. It should be noted that companies calculate similarly-titled measures differently and, therefore, as presented by the Company may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies. In addition, Adjusted EBITDA has material limitations as a performance measure because it excludes interest expense, income tax expense and depreciation and amortization which are necessary to operate the Company's business or which the Company otherwise incurred or experienced in connection with the operation of its business. The Company believes that adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations, which excludes goodwill impairment charges and other operating credits and charges, net, adjusted for a normalized tax rate is a useful measure for evaluating our ability to generate earnings and that providing this measure will allow investors to more readily compare the earnings referred to in the press release to the Company's earnings for past and future periods. The Company believes that this measure is particularly useful where the amounts of

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 28, 2025

0001441236-25-000007

clw-20251024FALSE000144123600014412362025-10-242025-10-24

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 28, 2025 (October 24, 2025)

CLEARWATER PAPER CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

DE001-3414620-3594554

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

601 West Riverside,Suite 1100 99201 Spokane,WA (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

(509) 344-5900 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Not Applicable (Former name of former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below): ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchanged on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.0001 per shareCLWNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company  ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 28, 2025, Clearwater Paper Corporation (the “Company”) announced its results of operations and financial condition for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release containing this announcement is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. In addition, a copy of the Company’s Third Quarter Supplemental Information is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto. In addition to disclosing financial results calculated in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”), the following are disclosed in the attached Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations, which is defined as earnings before interest expense, taxes, depreciation and amortization, other operating credits and charges, net and other non-operating items from continuing operations. Adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations is calculated by excluding from net income, goodwill impairment charges, other operating credits and charges, net, income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax and adjusts for a normalized tax rate. Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations and adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations are not a substitute for the GAAP measure of net income or other GAAP measures of operating performance. The Company discloses Adjusted EBITDA in the attached because it is used as an important supplemental measure of its performance and believes that similarly-titled measures are frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other interested persons in the evaluation of companies in its industry, some of which present similarly-titled measures when reporting their results. The Company uses Adjusted EBITDA to evaluate its performance as compared to other companies in its industry that have different financing and capital structures and/or tax rates. It should be noted that companies calculate similarly-titled measures differently and, therefore, as presented by the Company may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies. In addition, Adjusted EBITDA has material limitations as a performance measure because it excludes interest expense, income tax expense and depreciation and amortization which are necessary to operate the Company's business or which the Company otherwise incurred or experienced in connection with the operation of its business. The Company believes that adjusted net income (loss) from continuing operations, which excludes goodwill impairment charges, income (loss) from discontinued operations, net of tax and other operating credits and charges, net, adjusted for a normalized tax rate is a useful measure for evaluating our ability to generate earnings and that providing this measure will allow investors to more readily compare the earnings referred to in the press release to the

About Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) Earnings

This page provides Clearwater Paper Corporation (CLW) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CLW's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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