1. Home
  2. CINF
  3. Earnings

AI Earnings Predictions for Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.82%

$189.43

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.62%

$190.90

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.90%

$195.10

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $184.23 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +2.82% +3.62% +5.90% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -5.00% -3.73% -1.00% 100.0% -3.66%
Q4 2025 SELL -5.28% -4.10% -0.77% 100.0% -1.56%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.00%

$157.35

Act: -0.41%

5D

-3.73%

$159.45

Act: -3.66%

20D

-1.00%

$163.99

Act: +0.85%

Price: $165.64 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000020286-26-000025

EX-99.1

2 exhibit9911q26.htm

EX-99.1

Document

The Cincinnati Insurance Company n The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

The Cincinnati Casualty Company n The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company n CFC Investment Company n CSU Producer Resources Inc.

Cincinnati Global Underwriting Ltd. n Cincinnati Global Underwriting Agency Ltd.

Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel, 513-870-2768

CINF-IR@cinfin.com

Media Contact: Betsy E. Ertel, 513-603-5323

Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com

Cincinnati Financial Reports First-Quarter 2026 Results

Cincinnati, April 27, 2026 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:

•First-quarter 2026 net income of $274 million, or $1.75 per share, compared with a net loss of $90 million, or $0.57 per share, in the first quarter of 2025, after recognizing an $82 million first-quarter 2026 after-tax decrease in the fair value of equity securities still held.

•First-quarter 2026 non-GAAP operating income* of $330 million, or $2.10 per share, compared with an operating loss of $37 million, or $0.24 per share, in the first quarter of last year. The increase of $367 million included a favorable effect of $233 million from a decrease in after-tax catastrophe losses.

•$364 million increase in first-quarter 2026 net income, compared with first-quarter 2025, primarily due to after-tax net increases of $326 million from property casualty underwriting profit and $31 million from investment income.

•$101.60 book value per share at March 31, 2026, down $0.75 since year-end.

•0.2% value creation ratio for the first three months of 2026, compared with negative 0.5% for the same period of 2025.

Financial Highlights

(Dollars in millions, except per share data)Three months ended March 31,

20262025% Change

Revenue Data

Earned premiums$2,604 $2,344 11

Investment income, net of expenses318 280 14

Total revenues2,863 2,566 12

Income Statement Data

Net income (loss)$274 $(90)nm

Investment gains and losses, after-tax(56)(53)(6)

Non-GAAP operating income (loss)*$330 $(37)nm

Per Share Data (diluted)

Net income (loss)$1.75 $(0.57)nm

Investment gains and losses, after-tax(0.35)(0.33)(6)

Non-GAAP operating income (loss)*$2.10 $(0.24)nm

Book value$101.60 $87.78 16

Cash dividend declared$0.94 $0.87 8

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding157.0 156.4 0

*    The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures section defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.

Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement.

CINF 1Q26 Release 1

Insurance Operations Highlights

•95.6% first-quarter 2026 property casualty combined ratio, improved from 113.3% for the first quarter of 2025.

•7% growth in first-quarter net written premiums, including price increases, premium growth initiatives, a higher level of insured exposures and with 2% of the growth due to first-quarter 2025 net reinstatement premiums.

•$339 million first-quarter 2026 property casualty new business written premiums, down 11%. Agencies appointed since the beginning of 2025 contributed $23 million or 7% of total new business written premiums.

•$26 million first-quarter 2026 life insurance subsidiary net income, up $5 million compared with the first quarter of 2025, and 7% growth in first-quarter 2026 term life insurance earned premiums.

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights

•14% or $38 million increase in first-quarter 2026 pretax investment income, including a 12% increase in bond interest income and a 13% increase in stock portfolio dividends.

•Three-month increase of 1% in fair value of total investments at March 31, 2026, including a 2% increase for the bond portfolio and a 1% decrease for the stock portfolio.

•$5.550 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at March 31, 2026, down less than 1% from year-end 2025.

Solid Start to the Year

Stephen M. Spray, president and CEO, commented: “We recorded $330 million of non-GAAP operating income in the first quarter compared to a loss of $37 million a year ago.

“The first-quarter results for our insurance operations laid a nice foundation for us to build on for the rest of the year. Our 95.6% combined ratio improved almost 18 points from last year’s 113.3%. While lower catastrophe losses drove much of the improvement, we also saw a decline in our current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses – giving us confidence in the health of our overall book of business. As we continue to refine pricing segmentation and risk selection, we’ve lowered that ratio by 3 points compared with last year’s first quarter to 87.5%.

“Robust results from our investment operations also contributed. Pretax investment income rose $38 million in the first quarter as dividends from our equity portfolio increase

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 9, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.28%

$159.79

Act: -3.33%

5D

-4.10%

$161.79

Act: -1.56%

20D

-0.77%

$167.40

Price: $168.70 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000020286-26-000005

cinf-202602090000020286false00000202862026-02-092026-02-09

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report: February 9, 2026 (Date of earliest event reported)

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio0-460431-0746871 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

6200 S. Gilmore RoadFairfield,Ohio45014‑5141 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (513) 870-2000

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common stockCINFNasdaq Global Select Market

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§203.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ☐    Emerging growth company ☐    If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 9, 2026, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On February 9, 2026, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.

In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(c)     Exhibits

Exhibit 99.1 – News release dated February 9, 2026, “Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results”

Exhibit 99.2 – Supplemental Financial Data for the Period Ending December 31, 2025 distributed February 9, 2026

Exhibit 104 – The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted as Inline XBRL

Signature

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

Date: February 9, 2026 /S/ Michael J. Sewell Michael J. Sewell, CPA Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President and Treasurer (Principal Accounting Officer)

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 27, 2025

0000020286-25-000061

cinf-202510270000020286false00000202862025-10-272025-10-27

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report: October 27, 2025 (Date of earliest event reported)

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio0-460431-0746871 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

6200 S. Gilmore RoadFairfield,Ohio45014‑5141 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (513) 870-2000

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common stockCINFNasdaq Global Select Market

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§203.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ☐    Emerging growth company ☐    If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 27, 2025, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Reports Third-Quarter 2025 Results,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On October 27, 2025, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference.

This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news releases or supplemental financial data.

In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(c)     Exhibits

Exhibit 99.1 — News release dated October 27, 2025, titled "Cincinnati Financial Reports Third-Quarter 2025 Results"

Exhibit 99.2 — Supplemental Financial Data for the period ending September 30, 2025 distributed October 27, 2025

Exhibit 104 – The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted as Inline XBRL

Signature

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION

Date: October 27, 2025/S/ Michael J. Sewell Michael J. Sewell, CPA Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President and Treasurer (Principal Accounting Officer)

About Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) Earnings

This page provides Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CINF's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Share on Social Networks: