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AI Earnings Predictions for C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-5.55%

$119.98

4% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-6.46%

$118.82

4% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-4.60%

$121.19

3% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $127.03 Confidence: 93.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 SELL -5.55% -6.46% -4.60% 93.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +6.90% +7.83% +11.07% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -4.62% -5.14% -2.95% 100.0% -9.57%
Q4 2025 BUY +7.07% +7.82% +12.19% 100.0% +7.85%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Oct 28, 2026 · 93% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.55%

$119.98

Act: +0.12%

5D

-6.46%

$118.82

20D

-4.60%

$121.19

Price: $127.03 Prob +5D: 4% AUC: 1.000
0001043277-26-000039

EX-99.1

3 ex991earningsreleaseq30930.htm

EX-99.1

Document

C.H. Robinson

14701 Charlson Rd.

Eden Prairie, MN 55347

www.chrobinson.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

FOR INQUIRIES, CONTACT:

Chuck Ives, Senior Director of Investor Relations

Email: chuck.ives@chrobinson.com

C.H. Robinson Reports 2026 Third Quarter Results

Eden Prairie, MN, October 28, 2026 - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (“C.H. Robinson”) (Nasdaq: CHRW) today reported financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026.

Third Quarter Highlights:

•Company has continued to deliver secular earnings growth driven by consistent market share gains, disciplined revenue management and evergreen productivity improvements fueled by its Lean AI strategy

•North American Surface Transportation ("NAST") volume increased approximately 3.5% year-over-year compared to a 0.3% decline in the Cass Freight Shipment Index, reflecting the 14th consecutive quarter of market outgrowth

•NAST truckload adjusted gross profit ("AGP") per shipment(1) increased 17.0% year-over-year, despite a significant increase in truckload spot market costs, due to disciplined revenue management

•NAST and Global Forwarding both achieved their mid-cycle operating margin targets

•Income from operations increased 23.1% to $271.8 million

•Adjusted income from operations(1) increased 26.1% to $290.8 million

•Diluted earnings per share ("EPS") increased 24.6% to $1.67

•Adjusted diluted EPS(1) increased 28.6% to $1.80

•Cash generated by operations decreased by $151.3 million to $124.1 million due to unfavorable changes in working capital driven by higher transportation rates

•Cash returned to shareholders increased 52.5% to $289.1 million

(1) Adjusted gross profit, adjusted income from operations, and adjusted diluted EPS are non-GAAP financial measures. The same factors described in this release that impacted these non-GAAP measures also impacted the comparable GAAP measures. Refer to pages 11 through 14 for further discussion and GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations.

"I want to thank our people for continuing to provide exceptional service to our customers and carriers, embracing the Robinson operating model and executing with discipline, resulting in another quarter of double-digit year-over-year earnings growth," said President and Chief Executive Officer, Dave Bozeman. "Our ability to consistently deliver secular earnings growth over the last three years is a result of the

1

disciplined execution of our Lean AI strategy. Lean AI is our unique approach that combines the principles of our Robinson operating model – rooted in Lean methodology – with the power of custom-built AI, and the expertise of our people, to maximize value, minimize waste, and drive better outcomes for customers and carriers."

"The third quarter of 2026 was the 14th consecutive quarter in which the NAST team delivered year-over-year volume growth that outpaced the Cass Freight Shipment Index. They also continued to deploy our disciplined revenue management practices while the North American trucking market continued to reflect a period of significant supply-driven tightening. By successfully repricing a large portion of our contractual truckload portfolio and by capturing spot volumes at higher margins, the team achieved a 17% year-over-year increase in truckload AGP per load."

"In NAST and Global Forwarding, the team continues to turn manual processes into agentic workflows that are increasingly automated, more connected, and easier to manage at scale. As a result, both businesses delivered a higher level of year-over-year productivity improvements than they achieved in the first half of 2026, and both businesses achieved their mid-cycle operating margin targets again."

"The same Lean operating model and AI technology that have been vitally important in the transformations of our NAST and Global Forwarding businesses are what will enable us to successfully integrate and transform the RXO business. These disciplines don’t disappear as we integrate a strong team and book of business with additional capabilities. Rather, we believe these disciplines are what will enable us to deliver different results than this industry’s past acquisitions," said Bozeman.

"When I joined this company a little over three years ago, I told the C.H. Robinson employees that we needed to provide such exceptional service and value to our customers and carriers that they would view us as THE trusted partner that they choose to do business with. We’ve made significant strides in delivering on that mantra, and we believe the addition of RXO will only magnify our value proposition."

"The strength of our strategies, our technology, our people and our operating model disciplines are differentiating and sustainable. We will continue to lead with purpose and move with urgency to disrupt ourselves and the industry, and to deliver customer success through our unmatched expertise, our unrivaled scale and our tailored solutions. And w

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+6.90%

$185.73

Act: -14.66%

5D

+7.83%

$187.35

20D

+11.07%

$192.98

Price: $173.75 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001043277-26-000027

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.62%

$177.81

Act: -2.48%

5D

-5.14%

$176.85

Act: -9.57%

20D

-2.95%

$180.93

Act: -5.91%

Price: $186.43 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001043277-26-000014

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

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To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) Earnings

This page provides C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CHRW's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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