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AI Earnings Predictions for Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.53%

$99.60

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+2.61%

$101.66

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-0.42%

$98.67

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $99.08 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +0.53% +2.61% -0.42% 100.0% +7.50%
Q4 2025 SELL -2.31% -3.57% -4.74% 100.0% -2.76%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.53%

$99.60

Act: +1.66%

5D

+2.61%

$101.66

Act: +7.50%

20D

-0.42%

$98.67

Act: +10.82%

Price: $99.08 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001046311-26-000017

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991earningspressrel.htm

EX-99.1

Document

CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL REPORTS FIRST QUARTER 2026 RESULTS

Global Net Rooms Increased 1.7%, with U.S. Net Rooms Growth Improving

Q1 U.S. Hotel Openings Hit Five-Year High

Global Franchise Agreements Awarded Increased 72%

NORTH BETHESDA, Md., April 30, 2026 – Choice Hotels International, Inc. (“Choice” or “the Company”) (NYSE: CHH), a leading global lodging franchisor with a capital-light, franchise-driven model, today reported results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

Highlights include:

•Total revenues reached a company record $340.6 million for the first quarter.

•Net income was $20.3 million for the first quarter, representing diluted EPS of $0.44.

•Adjusted EBITDA totaled $125.7 million, while adjusted diluted EPS reached $1.07 for the first quarter.

•U.S. royalty rate expanded 11 basis points to 5.22% for the first quarter, compared to the same period of 2025.

•Global net rooms grew 1.7% compared to March 31, 2025, driven by 2.5% growth in higher revenue extended stay, midscale, and upscale brands.

•U.S. room openings increased 32% in the first quarter compared to the same period of 2025, reaching the highest first-quarter level since 2023, while exits declined year-over-year to the lowest quarterly level since 2023, driving sequential net rooms growth from year-end 2025.

•Global franchise agreements awarded increased 72% in the first quarter, compared to the same period of 2025.

•U.S. pipeline grew sequentially to approximately 71,500 rooms, with the conversion rooms pipeline increasing 17% compared to March 31, 2025, and 3% sequentially from December 31, 2025.

•Capital recycling generated $24.6 million of proceeds in the first quarter, with hotel development and lending shifting from net outflows in the prior year to net inflows in the current period.

“Choice Hotels delivered first-quarter financial results in line with expectations, with key operating indicators signaling an inflection point in underlying trends,” said Patrick Pacious, President and Chief Executive Officer. “We are driving sequentially improving U.S. net rooms growth, supported by our conversion-led model and more accretive pipeline, achieving faster, more capital-efficient

expansion. Franchisee unit economics continue to strengthen and capital intensity is declining. This positions Choice to deliver more consistent earnings growth and enhances our ability to return capital to shareholders.”

Financial Performance

($ in millions, except per-share amounts)

2026

2025

Total revenues $341$333

Revenue excl. revenue for reimbursable costs from franchised and managed properties1 $217$209

Net income $20$45

Adjusted net income $50$64

Diluted EPS $0.44$0.94

Adjusted diluted EPS $1.07$1.34

Adjusted EBITDA $126$130

•Revenue excluding reimbursable costs increased 3% to $216.7 million in the first quarter, from $209.4 million in the prior year.

•Adjusted EBITDA was $125.7 million for the first quarter, compared to $129.6 million in the prior year, primarily reflecting timing-related factors and in line with expectations.

•Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.07 for the first quarter, compared to $1.34 in the prior year, reflecting timing-related factors and a temporarily elevated effective income tax rate that is expected to be approximately 25% for the full year.

RevPAR

(% change on a currency-neutral basis)

Change vs. Prior Year Period

Three months ended

March 31, 2026

U.S.

-2.3%

International 2.6%

Global -0.8%

U.S. results included a significant hurricane-related impact of approximately 410 basis points, affecting the year-over-year comparison.

•U.S. RevPAR increased 1.8% in the first quarter, compared to the same period of 2025, excluding the prior-year hurricane-related impact.

•International RevPAR increased 2.6% on a currency-neutral basis in the first quarter, compared to the same period of 2025.

1 Calculated as total revenues excluding reimbursable revenues. Reimbursable revenues totaled $124 million and $123 million for first quarter 2026 and 2025, respectively.

System Size and Development

(Rooms)

March 31, 2026

March 31, 2025

Change

U.S.

497,881505,601 -1.5%

U.S. upscale, extended stay, and midscale 440,464444,230 -0.8%

International 160,467141,986 13.0%

Global 658,348647,587 1.7%

Global upscale, extended stay, and midscale 595,580580,860 2.5%

•Global pipeline exceeded 77,700 rooms as of March 31, 2026, with 97% concentrated in extended stay, midscale, and upscale brands, supporting a more accretive future earnings profile.

•Franchise agreements awarded increased 65% in the U.S. and 113% in international markets in the first quarter of 2026, compared to the same period of 2025.

•International net rooms grew 13% compared to March 31, 2025, highlighted by a 59% increase in room openings, bringing the international system to approximately 160,500 rooms, with strong momentum across regions, including Canada and EMEA.

•Ext

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 19, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.31%

$108.48

Act: -0.77%

5D

-3.57%

$107.09

Act: -2.76%

20D

-4.74%

$105.79

Price: $111.05 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001046311-26-000006

chh-20260219CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL INC / DE0001046311FALSE8-KFebruary 19, 2026301592-5000February 19, 2026February 19, 2026February 19, 202600010463112026-02-192026-02-19

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 19, 2026


CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware001-1339352-1209792 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification Number)

915 Meeting Street20852 Suite 600 North Bethesda,Maryland (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (301) 592-5000


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTicker Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Stock, Par Value $0.01 per shareCHHNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 19, 2026, Choice Hotels International, Inc. issued a press release announcing earnings for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 9.01.Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits Exhibit 99.1—Press Release issued by Choice Hotels International, Inc., dated February 19, 2026 Exhibit 104—Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date:February 19, 2026/s/ Scott E. Oaksmith Scott E. Oaksmith Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 5, 2025

0001046311-25-000028

chh-20251105CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL INC / DE0001046311FALSE00010463112025-11-052025-11-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d)

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 5, 2025


CHOICE HOTELS INTERNATIONAL, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Delaware001-1339352-1209792 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification Number)

915 Meeting Street20852 Suite 600 North Bethesda,Maryland (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (301) 592-5000


Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTicker Symbol(s)Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered Common Stock, Par Value $0.01 per shareCHHNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 5, 2025, Choice Hotels International, Inc. issued a press release announcing earnings for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1.

Item 7.01.Regulation FD Disclosure.

On November 5, 2025, Choice Hotels International, Inc. (“Choice”) posted on its website (www.choicehotels.com) supplemental investor materials related to third quarter 2025 results. A copy of the supplemental investor materials is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2.

The supplemental investor materials are being furnished under Item 7.01 and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of such section.

Item 9.01.Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits Exhibit 99.1—Press Release issued by Choice Hotels International, Inc., dated November 5, 2025 Exhibit 99.2 - Supplemental Investor Materials, dated November 5, 2025 Exhibit 104—Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date:November 5, 2025/s/ Scott E. Oaksmith Scott E. Oaksmith Chief Financial Officer

About Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) Earnings

This page provides Choice Hotels International Inc. (CHH) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CHH's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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