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AI Earnings Predictions for Century Aluminum Company (CENX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+4.04%

$63.03

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+12.58%

$68.20

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+11.61%

$67.61

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $60.58 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +4.04% +12.58% +11.61% 100.0% +1.42%
Q4 2025 BUY +4.04% +12.57% +11.60% 99.9% -0.55%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.04%

$63.03

Act: -3.00%

5D

+12.58%

$68.20

Act: +1.42%

20D

+11.61%

$67.61

Act: -0.76%

Price: $60.58 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-032082

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 19, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.04%

$54.62

Act: +0.27%

5D

+12.57%

$59.10

Act: -0.55%

20D

+11.60%

$58.59

Price: $52.50 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-009831

cenx-202602190000949157false00009491572026-02-192026-02-19

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 19, 2026

Century Aluminum Company (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Delaware001-3447413-3070826 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

One South Wacker Drive

Suite 1000 Chicago Illinois60606 (Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

(312)696-3101 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) N/A (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR   240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:Trading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered: Common Stock, $0.01 par value per shareCENXNasdaq Stock Market LLC

(Nasdaq Global Select Market)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b– 2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b–2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 19, 2026, Century Aluminum Company (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results of operations for its fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The Company will hold a follow-up conference call on Thursday, February 19, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The earnings call will be webcast live on the Company’s website, located at www.centuryaluminum.com. Anyone interested in listening to the live webcast should plan to begin the registration process for the webcast at least 10 minutes before the live call is scheduled to begin. A replay of the webcast and associated presentation materials will be archived and available for replay approximately two hours following the live call.

The information in this Current Report and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)  Exhibits

Exhibit Number Description 99.1 Press Release dated February 19, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY

Date:February 19, 2026By: /s/ PETER TRPKOVSKI

Name:Peter Trpkovski Title:Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (Principal Financial Officer)

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K/A

Nov 21, 2025

0001628280-25-053603

cenx-202511060000949157trueChicagoIllinois00009491572025-11-062025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K/A

(Amendment No. 1)

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): November 6, 2025

Century Aluminum Company (Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Delaware001-3447413-3070826 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

One South Wacker Drive 60606 Suite 1000(Zip Code)

Chicago, Illinois

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(312)696-3101 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) N/A (Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR   240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:Trading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered: Common Stock, $0.01 par value per shareCENXNasdaq Stock Market LLC

(Nasdaq Global Select Market)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b– 2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b–2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

EXPLANATORY NOTE

This Amendment No. 1 on Form 8-K/A (this "Amendment") amends Form 8-K of Century Aluminum Company (the "Company") that was originally filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 6, 2025 (the "Original Filing"). This Amendment is being filed solely to correct an inadvertent error in the submission of the Original Filing through EDGAR which referenced the incorrect Form 8-K Item Number (Item 2.01) in the EDGAR submission header. This Amendment is being filed through EDGAR to reference the correct Form 8-K Item Numbers (Items 2.02 and 9.01) in the EDGAR submission header. There are no changes to the Original Filing itself (which referenced the correct Item numbers) other than the date of this Amendment. Except as summarized above, this Amendment continues to speak as of the date of the Original Filing and does not reflect events occurring after the date of the Original Filing or modify or update the disclosures therein in any way. Item 2.02.  Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 6, 2025, Century Aluminum Company (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results of operations for quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The Company will hold a follow-up conference call on Thursday, November 6, 2025, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The earnings call will be webcast live on the Company’s website, located at www.centuryaluminum.com. Anyone interested in listening to the live webcast should plan to begin the registration process for the webcast at least 10 minutes before the live call is scheduled to begin. A replay of the webcast and associated presentation materials will be archived and available for replay approximately two hours following the live call. The information in this Current Report and Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. Item 9.01.  Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)  Exhibits

Exhibit Number Description 99.1 Press Release dated November 6, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CENTURY ALUMINUM COMPANY

Date:November 21, 2025By:/s/ PETER TRPKOVSKI Name:Peter Trpkovski Title:Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer (Principal Financial Office

About Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Earnings

This page provides Century Aluminum Company (CENX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CENX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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