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AI Earnings Predictions for CareDx Inc. (CDNA)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.95%

$36.98

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-11.69%

$33.65

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-10.65%

$34.04

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $38.10 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -2.95% -11.69% -10.65% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -2.79% -12.16% -11.55% 100.0% -5.52%
Q4 2025 SELL -2.60% -13.24% -12.29% 100.0% +3.25%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.95%

$36.98

Act: +14.72%

5D

-11.69%

$33.65

20D

-10.65%

$34.04

Price: $38.10 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001217234-26-000045

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 28, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.79%

$21.30

Act: -5.07%

5D

-12.16%

$19.25

Act: -5.52%

20D

-11.55%

$19.38

Act: +1.14%

Price: $21.91 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-050317

EX-99.1

3 tm2611749d3_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

CareDx Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

First Quarter Revenue Growth of 39% Driven by Strong Performance Across Testing Services and Patient and Digital Solutions

Raises 2026 Revenue Guidance to $447 Million to $465 Million and Raises 2026 AEBITDA Guidance to $43 Million to $57 Million

BRISBANE, Calif. — (BUSINESS WIRE) — CareDx, Inc. (Nasdaq: CDNA) — The Transplant Company™, a leading precision medicine company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of clinically differentiated, high-value healthcare solutions for transplant patients and caregivers, today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026.

First Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights

·Revenue of $118 million, an increase of 39% year-over-year

·Testing services revenue of $91 million, an increase of 48% year-over-year, and testing services volume of approximately 54,900, an increase of 17% year-over-year

·Patient and digital solutions revenue of $16 million and lab product revenue of $10 million, representing year-over-year growth of 33% and a decline of 4%, respectively

·Average revenue per test of approximately $1,660 including approximately $14 million in prior period revenue

·GAAP net income of $3 million, compared to GAAP net loss of $10 million for the first quarter of 2025

·Adjusted EBITDA of $19 million, compared to $5 million for the first quarter of 2025

·Cash flow from operations of $4 million

Recent Business Highlights

·Announced definitive agreement to divest the Lab Products business to Eurobio Scientific for $170 million in cash consideration

·Advanced pipeline program with presentation of the AlloHeme clinical trial data at TANDEM Annual Conference

·Launched VANTx™, an AI powered, cloud native clinical data and analytics platform designed to transform complex transplant data into insights that support clinical research and real-world evidence development

·Achieved a record quarter for cash collections, reflecting disciplined operational execution and focus on high margin Testing Services growth

·Advanced Epic Aura integrations, with nine transplant centers live and 16 integrations in-process

·Presented more than 50 abstracts at the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation (ISHLT) Annual Meeting, reflecting the breadth of CareDx’s clinical evidence and leadership in transplantation

·In April 2026, the Board of Directors authorized a common stock repurchase program of up to $100 million of shares over a period of up to 24 months

“Our team delivered another quarter of record growth, driven by continued momentum in our Precision Medicine Testing Services and Patient and Digital Solutions businesses,” said John W. Hanna, President and CEO of CareDx. “And we took important strategic steps advancing our lead pipeline asset, AlloHeme, and agreeing to divest the Lab Products business to simplify our operating model and create focus, with the goal of expanding our AEBITDA margins.”

First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

Total revenue was $118 million, compared to $85 million in the first quarter of 2025, an increase of 39% driven primarily by higher Testing Services revenue, reflecting increased testing volumes, continued execution across core transplant testing programs, and contributions from Patient and Digital Solutions; partially offset by lower Lab Products revenue as the Company advances its portfolio optimization strategy.

Testing services revenue of $91 million, an increase of 48% year over year, and testing services volume of approximately 54,900, an increase of 17% year over year, reflecting an increase in average revenue per test, including the recognition of prior period revenue associated with improved collections, a favorable mix-shift in surveillance testing, and increased for-cause growth across transplant programs.

Patient and digital solutions revenue was $16 million, compared to $12 million in the first quarter of 2025, an increase of 33% driven by continued adoption of new transplant centers in the CareDx Pharmacy, along with increasing adoption of digital solutions.

Lab Product revenue remained relatively flat at $10 million, down 4% from the first quarter of 2025, while the Company continues to focus on growth in its core Testing Services and Patient and Digital Solutions businesses.

GAAP net income was $3 million, compared to GAAP net loss of $10 million in the first quarter of 2025. Basic and diluted GAAP net income per share was $0.05, compared to basic and diluted GAAP net loss per share of $0.19 in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting higher revenue and improved operating leverage.

Non-GAAP net income was $18 million, compared to $5 million in the

first quarter of 2025. Diluted non-GAAP net income per share was $0.34 compared to $0.09 i n the first quarter of 2025.

Adjusted EBITDA was $19 million, compared to $5 million in the first quarter of 2025, driven

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 16, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.79%

$21.30

Act: -5.07%

5D

-12.16%

$19.25

Act: -5.52%

20D

-11.55%

$19.38

Act: +1.14%

Price: $21.91 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-043970

EX-99.1

3 tm2611749d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Apr 15, 2026 4:30 PM Eastern Daylight Time

CareDx Announces Agreement to Divest Lab Products Business to EuroBio Scientific for $170 Million and Announces First Quarter Preliminary Financial Results

Transaction Expected to Sharpen CareDx’s Focus on Core Precision Medicine Testing Services and Patient and Digital Solutions, Improve Financial Flexibility, Simplify Operating Model, and Support AEBITDA Margin Expansion

Expects First Quarter Testing Services Revenue Growth of Approximately 48% Year Over Year, Testing Volume Growth of Approximately 17% Year-Over-Year

BRISBANE,

Calif. — (BUSINESS WIRE) — CareDx, Inc. (Nasdaq: CDNA) — The Transplant Company™, a leading precision medicine

company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of clinically differentiated, high-value healthcare solutions for transplant patients and caregivers, today announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to divest its Lab Products business to EuroBio Scientific for cash consideration of $170 million. The transaction has been approved by the boards of directors of both companies. CareDx also announced today preliminary financial results for the first quarter of 2026.

CareDx’s Lab Products business consists of IVD (in vitro diagnostic) PCR kits for rapid deceased donor HLA (human leukocyte antigen) typing, IVD NGS-based (next-generation sequencing) kits for transplant recipient HLA typing globally, and IVD NGS-based monitoring assays for solid organ and stem cell transplant recipients outside of North America. As a global IVD kit business with distinct manufacturing, regulatory, and commercial requirements, Lab Products operates under a different model than CareDx’s core U.S.-based Precision Medicine Testing Services and its Patient and Digital Solutions. The divestiture is intended to simplify CareDx’s operating model and support disciplined capital redeployment toward opportunities aligned with its Precision Medicine Testing Services model.

“This divestiture allows us to strategically focus on our core Testing Services and Patient and Digital Solutions, where our solutions-selling strategy is working. In the first quarter, these segments delivered 48% and 33% year-over-year revenue growth, respectively,” said John Hanna, President and CEO of CareDx. “Having partnered with EuroBio Scientific since 2014, we believe their global scale and broad IVD capabilities positions them well to execute the Lab Products business and continue providing the highest quality service to our IVD customers and patients worldwide.”

Highlighted Terms of the Agreement

·CareDx to divest its Lab Products business to EuroBio Scientific

·Total consideration of $170 million in cash at closing

·CareDx to provide transition services to EuroBio Scientific for at least 6-months at EuroBio Scientific’s expense

·EuroBio Scientific grants to CareDx the sole and exclusive perpetual right to distribute post-transplant monitoring IVD tests in North America, including AlloSeq cfDNA, CareDx’s IVD kit version of its market-leading AlloSure dd-cfDNA CLIA test

The company expects to apply a disciplined approach to capital allocation consistent with its track record. Proceeds from the transaction are expected to be prioritized toward investments that support CareDx’s long-term growth strategy, including potential inorganic investments that fit its Precision Diagnostics Solutions model, and may also include the return of capital to shareholders.

The transaction, including the sale of CareDx’s Swedish entity, requires Swedish regulatory review. The parties anticipate the transaction to close by the end of CareDx’s third quarter, 2026.

Separately, CareDx is providing the following preliminary results for the first quarter of 2026 in advance of its scheduled quarterly reporting process.

Preliminary First Quarter 2026 Financial Results

·Revenue of approximately $118 million, growth of 39% year-over-year

·Testing Service Volume of approximately 54,900, growth of 17% year–over-year

·Testing Service revenue of approximately $91 million, growth of 48% year–over-year,

·Average revenue per test of approximately $1,660 including approximately $14 million in prior period revenue

·Patient and Digital Solutions revenue of approximately $16 million, growth of 33% year-over-year

·Lab Products revenue of approximately $10 million, decline of 4% year-over-year

·Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of approximately $198 million as of March 31, 2026

The preliminary financial information presented in this press release is based on CareDx’s current expectations and may be adjusted as a result of, among other things, the completion of customary procedures. The company anticipates providing further guidance during its first quarter 2026 earnings call on April 28, 2026.

About CareDx

CareDx is a precision medicine company dedicated to improving outcomes for transplant patient

About CareDx Inc. (CDNA) Earnings

This page provides CareDx Inc. (CDNA) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CDNA's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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