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AI Earnings Predictions for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.03%

$672.09

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+3.80%

$690.55

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+7.22%

$713.30

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $665.24 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.03%

$672.09

5D

+3.80%

$690.55

20D

+7.22%

$713.30

Price: $665.24 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000018230-26-000003

cat-202601290000018230false00000182302026-01-282026-01-280000018230us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-01-282026-01-280000018230cat:A5.3DebenturesDueSeptember152035Member2026-01-282026-01-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):January 29, 2026

CATERPILLAR INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware1-76837-0602744 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S Employer Identification No.)

5205 N. O'Connor Blvd.,Suite 100,Irving,Texas75039 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:(972)891-7700 Former name or former address, if changed since last report:N/A

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol (s)Name of each exchange which registered Common Stock ($1.00 par value)CATThe New York Stock Exchange 5.3% Debentures due September 15, 2035CAT35The New York Stock Exchange

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined by Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On January 29, 2026, Caterpillar Inc. issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated into this Item 2.02 by reference. Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

Caterpillar Inc. is furnishing supplemental information concerning (i) retail sales of machines to end users and (ii) retail sales of power systems (including reciprocating and turbine engines and locomotives) to end users and Original Equipment Manufacturers ("OEMs"). This supplemental information is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated into this Item 7.01 by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished in accordance with the provisions of General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits: The following is furnished as an exhibit to this report: 99.1Caterpillar Inc. press release dated January 29, 2026

99.2Retail Statistics

104The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CATERPILLAR INC.

January 29, 2026 By:/s/ Derek Owens Derek Owens Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0000018230-25-000043

cat-202510290000018230false00000182302025-10-282025-10-280000018230us-gaap:CommonStockMember2025-10-282025-10-280000018230cat:A5.3DebenturesDueSeptember152035Member2025-10-282025-10-28

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):October 29, 2025

CATERPILLAR INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware1-76837-0602744 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S Employer Identification No.)

5205 N. O'Connor Blvd.,Suite 100,Irving,Texas75039 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:(972)891-7700 Former name or former address, if changed since last report:N/A

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol (s)Name of each exchange which registered Common Stock ($1.00 par value)CATThe New York Stock Exchange 5.3% Debentures due September 15, 2035CAT35The New York Stock Exchange

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined by Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2025, Caterpillar Inc. issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated into this Item 2.02 by reference. Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

Caterpillar Inc. is furnishing supplemental information concerning (i) retail sales of machines to end users and (ii) retail sales of power systems (including reciprocating and turbine engines and locomotives) to end users and Original Equipment Manufacturers ("OEMs"). This supplemental information is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated into this Item 7.01 by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished in accordance with the provisions of General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits: The following is furnished as an exhibit to this report: 99.1Caterpillar Inc. press release dated October 29, 2025

99.2Retail Statistics

104The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CATERPILLAR INC.

October 29, 2025 By:/s/ Derek Owens Derek Owens Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 5, 2025

0000018230-25-000037

cat-202508050000018230false00000182302025-08-042025-08-040000018230us-gaap:CommonStockMember2025-08-042025-08-040000018230cat:A5.3DebenturesDueSeptember152035Member2025-08-042025-08-04

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):August 5, 2025

CATERPILLAR INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware1-76837-0602744 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (I.R.S Employer Identification No.)

5205 N. O'Connor Blvd.,Suite 100,Irving,Texas75039 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:(972)891-7700 Former name or former address, if changed since last report:N/A

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol (s)Name of each exchange which registered Common Stock ($1.00 par value)CATThe New York Stock Exchange 5.3% Debentures due September 15, 2035CAT35The New York Stock Exchange

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions: Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined by Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR §230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR §240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.☐

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 5, 2025, Caterpillar Inc. issued a press release reporting its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated into this Item 2.02 by reference. Item 7.01. Regulation FD Disclosure.

Caterpillar Inc. is furnishing supplemental information concerning (i) retail sales of machines to end users and (ii) retail sales of power systems (including reciprocating and turbine engines and locomotives) to end users and Original Equipment Manufacturers ("OEMs"). This supplemental information is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 and incorporated into this Item 7.01 by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished in accordance with the provisions of General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K.

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits: The following is furnished as an exhibit to this report: 99.1Caterpillar Inc. press release dated August 5, 2025

99.2Retail Statistics

104The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

CATERPILLAR INC.

August 5, 2025 By:/s/ Derek Owens Derek Owens Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

About Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) Earnings

This page provides Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CAT's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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