Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-1.76%
$107.09
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-4.10%
$104.54
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-3.77%
$104.90
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | SELL | -1.76% | -4.10% | -3.77% | 99.7% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -1.76% | -4.11% | -3.77% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -2.02% | -4.21% | -4.56% | 100.0% | -3.27% |
| Q4 2025 | SELL | -2.02% | -4.21% | -4.56% | 100.0% | +3.19% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Oct 27, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.76%
$107.09
Act: -2.10%
5D
-4.10%
$104.54
20D
-3.77%
$104.90
2 tm2628239d1_ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
FOR
Contact: Etienne Marcus
(818) 871-3000
investorrelations@thecheesecakefactory.com
THE
HILLS, Calif. – October 27, 2026 – The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ: CAKE) today reported financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended on September 29, 2026.
Total revenues were $1,033.4 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026 compared to $907.2 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2025. Net income and diluted net income per share were $61.3 million and $1.19, respectively, in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
The Company recorded a pre-tax net income of $12.9 million related to Fox Restaurant Concepts (“FRC”) acquisition-related items. Excluding the after-tax impact of these items and certain other items, adjusted net income and adjusted diluted net income per share for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 were $52.3 million and $1.02, respectively. Please see the Company’s reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures at the end of this press release.
Comparable restaurant sales at The Cheesecake Factory restaurants increased 15.2% year-over-year in the third quarter of fiscal 2026.
“We delivered an exceptional third quarter, generating record quarterly revenue, with margins and earnings also exceeding our expectations,” said David Overton, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “The Cheesecake Factory restaurants led our performance, with comparable sales and traffic meaningfully outperforming the broader casual dining industry. Our experienced operators executed at a high level, delivering the outstanding food quality, service and hospitality that keep our guests coming back. Continued menu innovation, our rewards program and significant engagement across social media contributed to the impressive sales growth, while year-over-year improvements in labor productivity and food efficiency supported strong profitability.”
Mr. Overton continued, “The Cheesecake Factory has long enjoyed tremendous brand affinity across generations, and its ability to attract younger guests reinforces the enduring appeal and relevance of our namesake concept. We remain focused on delivering the memorable dining experiences that have defined our success, while building on the momentum of the rewards program and further expanding engagement across digital and social platforms. These strengths reinforce our competitive position and give us confidence in our ability to deliver profitable growth and long-term shareholder value.”
26901 Malibu Hills Road, Calabasas Hills, CA 91301· Telephone (818) 871-3000
Development
During the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company opened six new restaurants, including two Cheesecake Factory restaurants, one North Italia, one Flower Child and two FRC restaurants. Subsequent to quarter-end, the Company opened two Flower Childs and one FRC restaurant.
The Company continues to expect to open as many as 26 new restaurants in fiscal 2026, including as many as five The Cheesecake Factory restaurants, eight North Italia locations, seven Flower Child locations and as many as six FRC restaurants.
Liquidity and Capital Allocation
As of September 29, 2026, the Company had total available liquidity of $585.3 million, including a cash balance of $249.3 million and $336.0 million of availability on its revolving credit facility with no outstanding balance. Total principal amount of debt outstanding was $575 million, representing the principal amount of 2.00% convertible senior notes due 2030.
During the third quarter of fiscal 2026, the Company repurchased approximately 29,800 shares of its stock at a cost of $2.4 million. In addition, the Company’s Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share to be paid on November 24, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 10, 2026.
Conference Call and Webcast
The Company will hold a conference call to review its results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 today at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time. The conference call will be webcast live on the Company’s website at investors.thecheesecakefactory.com.
About The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated is a leader in experiential dining. We are culinary forward and relentlessly focused on hospitality. Delicious, memorable experiences created by passionate people—this defines who we are and where we are going. We currently own and operate 383 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands including The Cheesecake Factory®, North Italia®, Flower Child® and a collection of other FRC brands. Internationally, 35 The Cheesecake Factory® restaurants operate under licensing agreements. Our bakery division operates two facilities that produce quality cheesecakes and other baked products for our restaurants, international licensees and third-part
Jul 28, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.76%
$87.44
Act: +13.63%
5D
-4.11%
$85.35
20D
-3.77%
$85.65
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Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-2.02%
$61.40
Act: +0.32%
5D
-4.21%
$60.03
Act: -3.27%
20D
-4.56%
$59.81
Act: +2.54%
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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
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This page provides Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) (CAKE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CAKE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.