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AI Earnings Predictions for Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) (CAKE)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.02%

$62.61

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.21%

$61.21

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-4.56%

$60.98

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $63.90 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 18, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.02%

$62.61

Act: -2.32%

5D

-4.21%

$61.21

Act: +3.19%

20D

-4.56%

$60.98

Price: $63.90 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-017090

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0000887596

2026-02-12 2026-02-12

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 12, 2026

THE CHEESECAKE

FACTORY INCORPORATED

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

0-20574

51-0340466

(State or other jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS

Employer

of incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

26901 Malibu Hills Road Calabasas Hills, California

91301

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (818) 871-3000

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered:

Common Stock, par value $.01 per share

CAKE

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

The following information under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and Item 7.01 of Form 8-K, “Regulation FD Disclosure” is intended to be furnished. This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date of this report, regardless of any general incorporation language in the filing.

ITEM 2.02RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION

In a press release dated February 18, 2026, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (the “Company”) reported financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, which ended on December 30, 2025.

ITEM 7.01REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE

Also on February 18, 2026, the Company posted an updated Investor Presentation on the Company’s Investor Relations website at investors.thecheesecakefactory.com. A copy of the

presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and is incorporated by reference herein.

ITEM 8.01OTHER EVENTS

On February 12, 2026, the Board of Directors of the Company (the “Board”) declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share which will be paid on March 17, 2026 to the stockholders of record of each share of the Company’s common stock at the close of business on March 4, 2026. Future decisions to pay or to increase or decrease dividends are at the discretion of the Board and will depend upon operating performance and other factors.

Also on February 12, 2026, the Board approved an increase of 5.0 million shares to the existing repurchase program raising the total authorization to 66.0 million shares, of which approximately 6.0 million shares remain available for repurchase following the increase.

The share repurchase program does not have an expiration date, does not require the Company to purchase a specific number of shares and may be modified, suspended or terminated at any time. The timing and total amount of share repurchases will depend upon market conditions and other factors and may be made from time to time in open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions, accelerated share repurchase programs, issuer self-tender offers or otherwise.

ITEM 9.01FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS

(d) Exhibits

99.1 Press release dated February 18, 2026 entitled “The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Fourth Quarter of Fiscal 2025”

99.2 The Cheesecake Factory Investor Presentation dated February 18, 2026

104.1 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be s

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 28, 2025

0001104659-25-103205

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0000887596

2025-10-22 2025-10-22

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UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 22, 2025

THE CHEESECAKE

FACTORY INCORPORATED

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

0-20574

51-0340466

(State or other jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS

Employer

of incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

26901 Malibu Hills Road Calabasas Hills, California

91301

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (818) 871-3000

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered:

Common Stock, par value $.01 per share

CAKE

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

The following information under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and Item 7.01 “Regulation FD Disclosure” is intended to be furnished. This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date of this report, regardless of any general incorporation language in the filing.

ITEM 2.02RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION

In a press release dated October 28, 2025, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (the “Company”) reported third quarter fiscal 2025 financial results.

ITEM 7.01REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE

On October 28, 2025, the Company posted an updated Investor Presentation on the Company’s Investor Relations website at investors.thecheesecakefactory.com. A copy of the presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and is incorporated by reference herein.

ITEM 8.01OTHER EVENTS

On October 22, 2025, the Board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.27 per share which will be paid on November 25, 2025 to the stockholders of record of each share of the Company’s common stock at the close of business on November 11, 2025. Future decisions to pay or to increase or decrease dividends are at the discretion of the Board and will depend upon operating performance and other factors.

ITEM 9.01FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS

(d)Exhibits

99.1 Press Release dated October 28, 2025 entitled “The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Third Quarter of Fiscal 2025”

99.2 The Cheesecake Factory Investor Presentation dated October 28, 2025

104.1 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date:    October 28, 2025

THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED

By: /s/ Matthew E. Clark

Matthew E. Clark

Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 29, 2025

0001104659-25-071758

false 0000887596

0000887596

2025-07-23 2025-07-23

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of The Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): July 23, 2025

THE CHEESECAKE

FACTORY INCORPORATED

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

0-20574

51-0340466

(State or other jurisdiction

(Commission

(IRS

Employer

of incorporation)

File Number)

Identification No.)

26901 Malibu Hills Road Calabasas Hills, California

91301

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (818) 871-3000

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class:

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered:

Common Stock, par value $.01 per share

CAKE

The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨

The following information under Item 2.02 of Form 8-K, “Results of Operations and Financial Condition” and Item 7.01 of Form 8-K, “Regulation FD Disclosure” is intended to be furnished. This information shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date of this report, regardless of any general incorporation language in the filing.

ITEM 2.02RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION

In a press release dated July 29, 2025, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this report, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (the “Company”) reported financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, which ended on July 1, 2025.

ITEM 7.01REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE

Also on July 29, 2025, the Company posted an updated Investor Presentation on the Company’s Investor Relations website at investors.thecheesecakefactory.com. A copy of the presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and is incorporated by reference herein.

ITEM 8.01OTHER EVENTS

Additionally, on July 23, 2025, the Board of Directors of the Company (the “Board”) declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.27 per share which will be paid on August 26, 2025 to the stockholders of record of each share of the Company’s common stock at the close of business on August 12, 2025. Future decisions to pay or to increase or decrease dividends are at the discretion of the Board and will depend upon operating performance and other factors.

ITEM 9.01FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS

(d) Exhibits

99.1 Press release dated July 29, 2025 entitled “The Cheesecake Factory Reports Results for Second Quarter of Fiscal 2025”

99.2 The Cheesecake Factory Investor Presentation dated July 29, 2025

104.1 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date:    July 29, 2025

THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED

By: /s/ Matthew E. Clark

Matthew E. Clark

Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) (CAKE) Earnings

This page provides Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (The) (CAKE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CAKE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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