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AI Earnings Predictions for Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+0.45%

$241.35

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+2.75%

$246.87

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.62%

$253.75

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $240.26 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +0.45% +2.75% +5.62% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -2.00% -3.26% -2.65% 100.0% -3.94%
Q4 2025 BUY +0.45% +2.75% +5.62% 100.0% -5.33%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.45%

$241.35

Act: -2.13%

5D

+2.75%

$246.87

20D

+5.62%

$253.75

Price: $240.26 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000721371-26-000037

EX-99.1

2 a26q4_x063026xex991xnewsre.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Cardinal Health Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Results and Provides Fiscal Year 2027 Guidance

•Fourth quarter revenue increased 6% to $63.7 billion

•Fourth quarter GAAP1 diluted EPS increased 70% to $1.70

•Excluding a one-time positive impact of $0.31 from the recognition of the IEEPA tariff refund, fourth quarter non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 25% to $2.60, with reported fourth quarter non-GAAP diluted EPS increasing 40% to $2.91

•For fiscal year 2026, excluding the IEEPA tariff refund recognition, non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 33% to $10.95, with reported non-GAAP diluted EPS increasing 37% to $11.26

•Fiscal year 2026 operating cash flow $5.2 billion and adjusted free cash flow $5.0 billion

•Incremental $350 million share repurchase completed, bringing fiscal year 2026 repurchase total to $1.4 billion, with $5.0 billion incremental repurchase authorization approved by board of directors

•Cardinal Health provides fiscal year 2027 non-GAAP EPS guidance2 of 13% to 15% growth3 ($12.40 to $12.60), above the Company's long-term EPS guidance

DUBLIN, Ohio, August 11, 2026 – Cardinal Health (NYSE: CAH) today reported fourth quarter fiscal year 2026 revenues of $63.7 billion, an increase of 6% from the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025. Fourth quarter GAAP operating earnings increased 70% to $729 million and GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased 70% to $1.70.

Fourth quarter non-GAAP operating earnings increased 30% to $935 million. Non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 40% to $2.91, reflecting the increase in non-GAAP earnings, including the recognition of a one-time net operating profit impact of IEEPA tariff refunds of $100 million in the GMPD segment, a lower non-GAAP effective tax rate, and a lower share count, partially offset by an increase in interest and other expense.

Fiscal year 2026 revenues were $254.2 billion, a 14% increase from fiscal year 2025. GAAP operating earnings were $2.6 billion and GAAP diluted EPS was $7.23. Non-GAAP operating earnings increased 30% to $3.6 billion, driven by segment profit increases across all five operating segments. Non-GAAP diluted EPS increased 37% to $11.26 for the year, reflecting the increase in non-GAAP operating earnings across the business, including the recognition of a one-time net operating profit impact of IEEPA tariff refunds of $100 million in the GMPD segment, a lower non-GAAP effective tax rate, and a lower share count following in-year share repurchases, partially offset by an increase in interest and other expense.

“Fiscal 2026 was a standout year for Cardinal Health and I am pleased with our strong fourth quarter results,” said Jason Hollar, CEO of Cardinal Health. “The broad-based operational strength for the year, with all five of our operating segments growing profit double-digits, even before recognition of IEEPA tariff recoveries in GMPD, reflects the disciplined execution of our strategy and our investments for growth. We enter Fiscal 2027 with momentum and confidence in our ability to deliver continued shareholder value creation.”

Cardinal Health

Page 2

Q4 and full year FY26 summary

Q4 FY26Q4 FY25Y/YFY26FY25Y/Y

Revenue$63.7 billion$60.2 billion6%$254.2 billion$222.6 billion14%

Operating earnings$729 million$428 million70%$2.6 billion$2.3 billion15%

Non-GAAP operating earnings$935 million$719 million30%$3.6 billion$2.8 billion30%

Net earnings attributable to Cardinal Health, Inc.$398 million$239 million67%$1.7 billion$1.6 billion10%

Non-GAAP net earnings attributable to Cardinal Health, Inc.$682 million$501 million36%$2.7 billion$2.0 billion34%

Effective Tax Rate27.9%36.9%21.6%25.3%

Non-GAAP Effective Tax Rate22.5%26.3%19.0%23.3%

Diluted EPS attributable to Cardinal Health, Inc.$1.70$1.0070%$7.23$6.4512%

Non-GAAP diluted EPS attributable to Cardinal Health, Inc.$2.91$2.0840%$11.26$8.2437%

Segment results

Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment

Q4 FY26Q4 FY25Y/YFY26FY25Y/Y

Revenue$58.8 billion$55.4 billion6%$234.8 billion$204.6 billion15%

Segment profit$645 million$535 million21%$2.8 billion$2.3 billion23%

Fourth-quarter revenue for the Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment increased 6% to $58.8 billion, driven by brand and specialty pharmaceutical sales growth from existing customers.

Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment profit increased 21% to $645 million in the fourth quarter, primarily driven by contributions from brand and specialty products and positive generics program performance.

Global Medical Products and Distribution segment

Q4 FY26Q4 FY25Y/YFY26FY25Y/Y

Revenue$3.1 billion$3.2 billion(2)%$12.7 billion$12.6 billion1%

Segment profit $150 million$70 millionN.M.$258 million$135 million91%

Fourth-quarter revenue for the Global Medical Products and Distribution segment decreased 2% from the prior year to $3.1 billion. This decrease was primarily driven by lower distr

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.00%

$189.03

Act: +1.27%

5D

-3.26%

$186.59

Act: -3.94%

20D

-2.65%

$187.76

Act: +1.90%

Price: $192.88 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000721371-26-000017

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+0.45%

$228.21

Act: -0.38%

5D

+2.75%

$233.43

Act: -5.33%

20D

+5.62%

$239.94

Act: -3.90%

Price: $227.18 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000721371-26-000004

cah-202602050000721371false00007213712026-02-052026-02-05

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 5, 2026

Cardinal Health, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio1-1137331-0958666 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

7000 Cardinal Place, Dublin, Ohio 43017 (614) 757-5000 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common shares (without par value)CAHNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.   p

Item 2.02: Results of Operations and Financial Condition On February 5, 2026, Cardinal Health, Inc. (the "Company") issued a news release announcing its results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the news release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.

Item 7.01: Regulation FD Disclosure During a webcast scheduled to be held at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on February 5, 2026, the Company's Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer will discuss the Company's results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025 and outlook for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2026. The slide presentation for the webcast will be available on the Investors page at ir.cardinalhealth.com. An audio replay of the webcast also will be available on the Investors page at ir.cardinalhealth.com.

Item 9.01: Financial Statements and Exhibits (d) Exhibits

Exhibit NumberExhibit Description 99.1News release issued by the Company on February 5, 2026 announcing second-quarter results.

2

Signatures Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Cardinal Health, Inc. (Registrant)

Date:February 5, 2026By:/s/ AARON E. ALT Aaron E. Alt Chief Financial Officer

3

About Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH) Earnings

This page provides Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on CAH's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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