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AI Earnings Predictions for Bankwell Financial Group Inc. (BWFG)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.00%

$50.42

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.64%

$51.73

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+4.14%

$51.48

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $49.43 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 BUY +2.00% +4.64% +4.14% 100.0% +6.27%
Q4 2025 BUY +2.16% +4.62% +4.94% 100.0% +4.86%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 22, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.00%

$50.42

Act: +1.90%

5D

+4.64%

$51.73

Act: +6.27%

20D

+4.14%

$51.48

Act: +5.18%

Price: $49.43 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001505732-26-000068

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.16%

$48.80

Act: +0.73%

5D

+4.62%

$49.98

Act: +4.86%

20D

+4.94%

$50.13

Act: -2.24%

Price: $47.77 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001505732-26-000001

bwfg-202601290001505732FALSE00015057322026-01-292026-01-29

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):  January 29, 2026 Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Connecticut001-3644820-8251355 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

258 Elm Street New Canaan, Connecticut 06840 (203) 652-0166 (Address of Principal Executive Officers and Telephone Number)

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common Stock, no par value per share

BWFG

NASDAQ Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.☐

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On January 29, 2026, Bankwell Financial Group, Inc., the holding company for Bankwell Bank, issued a press release describing its results of operations for the period ended December 31, 2025.

A copy of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.

Item 7.01Regulation FD Disclosure

On January 29, 2026, Bankwell Financial Group, Inc., the holding company for Bankwell Bank, issued slide presentation material, which includes among other things, a review of financial results and trends through the period ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the material will also be available on the Company’s website, https://investor.mybankwell.com/events-and-presentations/

A copy of the Presentation Material is included as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information furnished under this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.

Item 8.01Other Events

Quarterly Dividend Announcement

On January 29, 2026, Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. (the Company), parent company of Bankwell Bank, announced that on January 29, 2026, its Board of Directors voted to pay a quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.20 per share on February 20, 2026 to all shareholders of record as of February 10, 2026.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits (a)Not applicable. (b)Not applicable. (c)Not applicable. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit NumberDescription

99.1Press Release Dated January 29, 2026

99.2Presentation Materials

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BANKWELL FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Registrant

January 29, 2026 By:  /s/ Courtney E. Sacchetti

Courtney E. Sacchetti Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 23, 2025

0001505732-25-000158

bwfg-202510230001505732FALSE00015057322025-10-232025-10-23

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):  October 23, 2025 Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Connecticut001-3644820-8251355 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

258 Elm Street New Canaan, Connecticut 06840 (203) 652-0166 (Address of Principal Executive Officers and Telephone Number)

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each Class Trading Symbol(s) Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered

Common Stock, no par value per share

BWFG

NASDAQ Global Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (17 CFR 230.405) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (17 CFR 240.12b-2).

Emerging growth company☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.☐

Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On October 23, 2025, Bankwell Financial Group, Inc., the holding company for Bankwell Bank, issued a press release describing its results of operations for the period ended September 30, 2025.

A copy of the press release is included as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information furnished under this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.

Item 7.01Regulation FD Disclosure

On October 23, 2025, Bankwell Financial Group, Inc., the holding company for Bankwell Bank, issued slide presentation material, which includes among other things, a review of financial results and trends through the period ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the material will also be available on the Company’s website, https://investor.mybankwell.com/events-and-presentations/

A copy of the Presentation Material is included as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information furnished under this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or subject to the liabilities of that section. The information shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission made by the Company, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.

Item 8.01Other Events

Quarterly Dividend Announcement

On October 23, 2025, Bankwell Financial Group, Inc. (the Company), parent company of Bankwell Bank, announced that on October 23, 2025, its Board of Directors voted to pay a quarterly dividend in the amount of $0.20 per share on November 21, 2025 to all shareholders of record as of November 10, 2025.

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits (a)Not applicable. (b)Not applicable. (c)Not applicable. (d)Exhibits.

Exhibit NumberDescription

99.1Press Release Dated October 23, 2025

99.2Presentation Materials

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BANKWELL FINANCIAL GROUP, INC.

Registrant

October 23, 2025 By:  /s/ Courtney E. Sacchetti

Courtney E. Sacchetti Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Bankwell Financial Group Inc. (BWFG) Earnings

This page provides Bankwell Financial Group Inc. (BWFG) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BWFG's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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