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AI Earnings Predictions for Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+2.66%

$12.18

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.64%

$12.53

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+0.31%

$11.90

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $11.86 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +2.66% +5.64% +0.31% 100.0% -3.96%
Q1 2026 BUY +2.95% +5.96% +1.41% 100.0% +2.22%
Q4 2025 SELL -2.59% -8.30% -7.73% 100.0% +15.50%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.66%

$12.18

Act: -8.26%

5D

+5.64%

$12.53

Act: -3.96%

20D

+0.31%

$11.90

Price: $11.86 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001546417-26-000030

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.95%

$8.34

Act: -0.62%

5D

+5.96%

$8.58

Act: +2.22%

20D

+1.41%

$8.21

Act: -11.85%

Price: $8.10 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001546417-26-000023

EX-99.1

2 ex991-earningsq126pressrel.htm

EX-99.1 - EARNINGS PRESS RELEASE Q1 2026

Document

NEWS

Exhibit 99.1

Tara Kurian

SVP, IR, FP&A, and International

(813) 830-5311

Bloomin’ Brands Announces 2026 Q1 Financial Results

Q1 Diluted EPS of $0.64 and Q1 Adjusted Diluted EPS of $0.67

TAMPA, Fla., May 6, 2026 - Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. (Nasdaq: BLMN) today reported results for the first quarter 2026 (“Q1 2026”) compared to the first quarter 2025 (“Q1 2025”).

CEO Comments

“We are pleased with our results in the first quarter as they reflect our focus on consistency of execution and delivering a great guest experience,” said Mike Spanos, CEO. “Outback brand scores continue to improve, highlighting our craveable steaks and food quality. We are making progress on our turnaround and remain committed to driving long-term, sustainable, and profitable growth for Bloomin’ Brands.”

Diluted EPS and Adjusted Diluted EPS

The following table reconciles Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations to Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations for the periods indicated (unaudited):

Q1

20262025CHANGE

Diluted earnings per share:$0.64 $0.50 $0.14

Adjustments (1)0.03 0.09 (0.06)

Adjusted diluted earnings per share (1)$0.67 $0.59 $0.08


(1)Adjustments for Q1 2026 and Q1 2025 primarily relate to costs in connection with transformational and restructuring initiatives. See non-GAAP Measures later in this release. Also see Tables Five and Six for further details regarding the nature of diluted earnings per share adjustments for the periods presented.

First Quarter Financial Results

(dollars in millions, unaudited)Q1 2026Q1 2025CHANGE

Total revenues$1,059.7 $1,049.6 1.0 %

GAAP operating income margin5.6 %5.5 %0.1 %

Adjusted operating income margin (1)5.9 %6.1 %(0.2)%

Restaurant-level operating margin (1)14.0 %13.9 %0.1 %


(1)See non-GAAP Measures later in this release. Also see Tables Four and Five for details regarding the nature of restaurant-level operating margin and operating income margin adjustments, respectively.

•The increase in Total revenues was primarily due to higher comparable restaurant sales.

•GAAP operating income margin increased from Q1 2025 primarily due to lower costs in connection with transformational and restructuring initiatives and an increase in restaurant-level operating margin, as detailed below, partially offset by higher impairment and closing costs.

1

•Restaurant-level operating margin increased from Q1 2025 primarily due to (i) higher average check per person, primarily due to pricing, (ii) cost-saving and productivity initiatives and (iii) lower advertising expense. These increases were partially offset by higher commodity, operating and labor costs, mainly due to inflation.

•Adjusted operating income margin primarily excludes severance and other costs incurred as a result of transformational and restructuring initiatives in Q1 2025 and accelerated depreciation in Q1 2026 associated with equipment upgrades in connection with the turnaround strategy.

First Quarter Comparable Restaurant Sales

THIRTEEN WEEKS ENDED MARCH 29, 2026COMPANY-OWNED

Comparable restaurant sales (stores open 18 months or more):

U.S.

Outback Steakhouse (0.3)%

Carrabba’s Italian Grill1.3 %

Bonefish Grill6.1 %

Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar0.8 %

Combined U.S.0.9 %

Fiscal 2026 Financial Outlook

We are reaffirming our full-year financial guidance as previously communicated in our February 25, 2026 earnings release.

Q2 2026 Financial Outlook

The table below presents our expectations for selected fiscal Q2 2026 financial operating results.

Financial Results: Q2 2026 Outlook

U.S. comparable restaurant sales 1% to 2%

Diluted earnings per share (1) $0.24 to $0.29

Adjusted diluted earnings per share (1) $0.27 to $0.32


(1)Assumes diluted weighted average shares of approximately 86 million.

Conference Call

The Company will host a conference call today, May 6, 2026 at 8:00 AM EDT. The conference call will be webcast live from the Company’s website at http://www.bloominbrands.com under the Investors section. A replay of this webcast will be available on the Company’s website after the call.

About Bloomin’ Brands, Inc.

Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. is one of the largest casual dining restaurant companies in the world with a portfolio of leading, differentiated restaurant concepts. The Company’s restaurant portfolio includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba’s Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill and Fleming’s Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. The Company owns, operates and franchises more than 1,450 restaurants in 46 states, Guam and 12 countries. For more information, please visit www.bloominbrands.com.

Non-GAAP Measures

In addition to the results provided in accordance with GAAP, this press release and related tables include certain non-GAAP measures, which present operating results on an adjusted basis. These are supplement

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 25, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.59%

$5.56

Act: +8.23%

5D

-8.30%

$5.24

Act: +15.50%

20D

-7.73%

$5.27

Price: $5.71 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001546417-26-000006

blmn-20260225falseUSD0001546417iso4217:USDxbrli:shares00015464172026-02-252026-02-25

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) February 25, 2026

BLOOMIN’ BRANDS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware001-3562520-8023465 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

2202 North West Shore Boulevard, Suite 500, Tampa, FL 33607 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code  (813) 282-1225

N/A (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock$0.01 par value

BLMNThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (Nasdaq Global Select Market)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02    Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On February 25, 2026, Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. issued a press release reporting its financial results for the thirteen weeks ended December 28, 2025. A copy of the release is attached as Exhibit 99.1.

The information in Item 2.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any other filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1Press Release of Bloomin’ Brands, Inc. dated February 25, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BLOOMIN’ BRANDS, INC.

(Registrant)

Date:February 25, 2026By:/s/ Eric Christel Eric Christel Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (Principal Financial Officer)

About Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) Earnings

This page provides Bloomin' Brands Inc. (BLMN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BLMN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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