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AI Earnings Predictions for Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.70%

$64.23

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.27%

$63.19

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-9.66%

$59.63

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $66.01 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -2.70% -4.27% -9.66% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY -0.37% +4.00% +5.24% 100.0% +0.40%
Q4 2025 SELL -3.11% -4.26% -7.42% 100.0% -4.32%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.70%

$64.23

Act: +0.65%

5D

-4.27%

$63.19

20D

-9.66%

$59.63

Price: $66.01 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-324859

EX-99.1

2 bldr-ex99_1.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

For Immediate Release

Builders FirstSource Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

July 30, 2026 (Irving, TX) – Builders FirstSource, Inc. (NYSE: BLDR) today reported its results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Second Quarter 2026 Highlights

All Year-Over-Year Comparisons Unless Otherwise Noted:

• Net sales were $3.9 billion, a decrease of 8.8%, primarily due to a lower housing starts environment and related headwinds. The decline reflects lower core organic net sales and commodity deflation, partially offset by growth from acquisitions.

• Gross profit was $1.1 billion, a decrease of 16.3%. Gross profit margin percentage decreased 260 basis points to 28.1%, primarily driven by a lower housing starts environment and related headwinds.

• Net income (loss) was $(3.9) million, or diluted EPS of $(0.04) compared to diluted EPS of $1.66 in the prior-year period. Net income (loss) as a percent of net sales decreased by 450 basis points to (0.1)%.

• Adjusted EBITDA decreased 34.9% to $329.3 million, primarily driven by lower gross profit.

• Adjusted EBITDA margin declined by 350 basis points to 8.5%, attributable to lower gross margin and reduced operating leverage.

• Cash provided by operating activities was $68.0 million, a decrease of $273.0 million compared to the prior-year period. The Company's free cash flow was $32.2 million, a decrease of 87.4%, compared to $255.0 million in the prior-year period. The decrease was primarily driven by lower net income, partially offset by lower capital expenditures.

“Despite the ongoing housing market headwinds, our second quarter results were in line with our expectations and reflect the strength of our differentiated platform and the adaptability of our operating model. We remain focused on the factors within our control, including managing the business with discipline, and leveraging both our technology capabilities and our value-added solutions. This approach continues to strengthen our position as a trusted, full-service partner to homebuilders,” commented Peter Jackson, CEO of Builders FirstSource.

Mr. Jackson continued, “While housing market conditions remain weak, we are continuing to invest in innovation and capabilities that enhance the customer experience, improve efficiency across the value chain, and reinforce our competitive advantage. Our business model is built to perform through the cycle, and we remain confident in our ability to outgrow the market over time and create sustainable, long-term value for our shareholders.”

Pete Beckmann, CFO of Builders FirstSource, added, “Our second quarter results demonstrate continued discipline through managing costs, working capital, and capital deployment. Given persistent housing affordability challenges and softer demand trends, our updated full-year outlook reflects current market conditions and a more cautious view of the second half. Importantly, our strong balance sheet, healthy

1

free cash flow generation, and approach to capital allocation provide the flexibility to invest in high-return opportunities while navigating near-term uncertainty.”

Second Quarter 2026 Financial Performance Highlights

All Year-Over-Year Comparisons Unless Otherwise Noted:

Net Sales

• Net sales were $3.9 billion, a decrease of 8.8%, primarily due to a lower housing starts environment and related headwinds. The decrease reflects a 7.0% decline in core organic net sales, as well as commodity deflation of 2.7%, partially offset by growth from acquisitions of 0.9%.

• Core organic net sales declined 7.0%. Single Family declined 8.1%, Multi-Family declined 9.7%, and Repair and Remodel (“R&R”)/Other declined 1.8%. On a weighted basis, Single Family lowered net sales by 5.6%, Multi-Family by 1.0%, and R&R/Other by 0.4%.

Gross Profit

• Gross profit was $1.1 billion, a decrease of 16.3%. Gross profit margin percentage decreased 260 basis points to 28.1%, primarily driven by a lower housing starts environment and related headwinds.

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

• SG&A was $958.3 million, a decrease of $29.5 million, or 3.0%, primarily driven by lower variable compensation as a result of decreased net sales and lower wages as a result of cost saving actions, partially offset by higher expenses associated with our ERP implementation and higher fuel expenses. As a percentage of net sales, total SG&A increased by 150 basis points to 24.8%, primarily attributable to reduced operating leverage.

Net Interest Expense

• Net interest expense increased $4.1 million to $76.1 million, primarily due to additional interest expense from purchase options exercised related to other finance obligations.

Income Tax Expense

• Income tax was $56.3 million, compared to $54.3 million in the prior-year period. The increase in income tax expense was primarily driven by an Internal Revenue Service research and development (R&D) settlement agreement concerning prior tax years, part

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 30, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

-0.37%

$78.80

Act: -4.32%

5D

+4.00%

$82.25

Act: +0.40%

20D

+5.24%

$83.24

Act: -3.58%

Price: $79.09 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-193923

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 17, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.11%

$111.07

Act: -0.64%

5D

-4.26%

$109.75

Act: -4.32%

20D

-7.42%

$106.13

Price: $114.63 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-053039

8-K

0001316835false00013168352026-02-172026-02-170001316835bldr:NewYorkStockExchangeMember2026-02-172026-02-170001316835bldr:NYSETexasMember2026-02-172026-02-17

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 17, 2026

BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE, INC.

(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Delaware

001-40620

52-2084569

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

6031 Connection Drive Suite 400

Irving, Texas

75039

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)

(Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (214) 880-3500

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, par value $0.01 per share

BLDR

New York Stock Exchange

NYSE Texas

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 17, 2026, Builders FirstSource, Inc. issued the news release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 reporting its financial results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit No.

Description

99.1

News release reporting financial results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2025, issued by Builders FirstSource, Inc. on February 17, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

All of the information included in Items 2.02 and 9.01 of this report and Exhibit 99.1 hereto is being furnished and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and shall not be incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE, INC.

Date:

February 17, 2026

By:

/s/ Pete R. Beckmann

Pete R. Beckmann, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

About Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR) Earnings

This page provides Builders FirstSource Inc. (BLDR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BLDR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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