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AI Earnings Predictions for Business First Bancshares Inc. (BFST)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+3.75%

$31.61

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.24%

$32.07

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+5.41%

$32.12

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $30.47 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +3.75% +5.24% +5.41% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 BUY +3.93% +5.71% +5.50% 100.0% Pending
Q4 2025 BUY +4.18% +5.85% +5.73% 97.7% +3.64%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.75%

$31.61

5D

+5.24%

$32.07

20D

+5.41%

$32.12

Price: $30.47 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001624322-26-000032

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Apr 27, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.93%

$28.07

5D

+5.71%

$28.55

20D

+5.50%

$28.50

Price: $27.01 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001624322-26-000024

EX-99.1

2 exhibit991_earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

500 Laurel Street

Baton Rouge, LA 70801

Phone: 877.614.7600

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

April 27, 2026

Media Contact: Misty Albrecht

b1BANK

225.286.7879

media@b1BANK.com

Business First Bancshares, Inc., Announces Financial Results for Q1 2026

Baton Rouge, La. (April 27, 2026) – Business First Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: BFST) (Business First), parent company of b1BANK, today announced its unaudited results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. Business First reported net income available to common shareholders of $22.2 million or $0.68 per diluted common share, an increase of $1.2 million and a decrease of $0.03, respectively, compared to the linked quarter. On a non-GAAP basis, core net income for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, which excludes certain income and expenses, was $24.0 million or $0.73 per diluted common share, an increase of $0.5 million and a decrease of $0.06 from the linked quarter. The quarter ended March 31, 2026, included the consummation of the Progressive Bancorp, Inc. (Progressive) acquisition.

“It was a busy and productive start of the year for b1BANK,” said Jude Melville, chairman, president, and CEO of Business First. “Quantitatively, we continued generating consistent profitability, increased our capital ratios and strengthened our liquidity positioning. Qualitatively, we added a large number of strong teammates through consummation of the Progressive Bank acquisition, the addition of a number of seasoned, respected bankers in Houston, and our partnership with Covecta, with whom we are working on building out Agentic AI capabilities. I’m also proud of our team’s self-managed subordinated-debt issuance through our network of community bank partners. All these deepening partnerships bode well for the continued building of shareholder value over the course of 2026.”

On Thursday, April 23, 2026, Business First’s board of directors declared a quarterly preferred dividend in the amount of $18.75 per share, which is the full quarterly dividend of 1.875% based on the per annum rate of 7.50%. Additionally, the board of directors declared a quarterly common dividend based upon financial performance for the first quarter in the amount of $0.15 per share of common stock. The preferred and common dividends will be paid on May 29, 2026, or as soon thereafter as practicable, to the shareholders of record as of May 15, 2026.

b1BANK.com

2

Quarterly Highlights

• Consistent Core Performance. Return to common shareholders on average assets, on an annualized basis, was 1.01% for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, or 1.10% on a non-GAAP basis, compared to 1.04% or 1.16% on a non-GAAP basis for the linked quarter.

• Progressive Acquisition. On January 1, 2026, Business First closed its previously announced acquisition of Progressive and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Progressive Bank. Progressive had approximately $773.8 million of total assets, $589.7 million of net loans, and $684.9 million of deposits as of December 31, 2025. Business First does not anticipate material synergies to be reflected in its earnings until after conversion in the third quarter. b1BANK added nine banking centers in North Louisiana as a result of the Progressive acquisition.

• Meaningful Production Additions. On January 15, 2026, Business First announced the hiring of a new regional president to the Houston, Texas market and head of private banking. This individual joined b1BANK from Veritex Community Bank, where he served as senior vice president and Houston market president. Prior to his tenure at Veritex, he had been with Comerica Bank for nearly 20 years in leadership roles across private banking, middle market, and wealth management. By quarter-end, we successfully added four producers and three production support staff to the new Houston team.

• New Technology Partnership. On February 17, 2026, b1BANK and Covecta announced a strategic partnership to deploy agentic AI across the bank’s day to day workflows. The collaboration focuses on streamlining and automating repeatable, policy-driven activities across core deposit and loan operational processes, reducing manual effort and operational friction so that teams can devote more time towards higher value-adding work including analysis, exception handling and customer engagement.

• Improving Shareholder Value. During the first quarter, as part of a previously announced stock repurchase program, Business First repurchased 99,105 shares, with a market value of $2.7 million, at a weighted average price of $27.75 per share. Common equity to total assets increased from 10.04% to 10.32%. Tangible common equity to tangible assets increased from 8.53% to 8.65%, 1.37% or 5.57% annualized, compared to the linked quarter. Book value per common share increased to $28.18 at March 31, 2026, compared to $27.95 at Dec. 31, 2025. On a non-GAAP basis, tangible book value per common share decreased from $23.36 at the link

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K/A BUY

Jan 23, 2026 · 98% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+4.18%

$28.33

Act: +0.99%

5D

+5.85%

$28.78

Act: +3.64%

20D

+5.73%

$28.75

Price: $27.19 Prob +5D: 99% AUC: 1.000
0001624322-26-000013

bfst-202601220001624322FALSE00016243222026-01-222026-01-22

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K/A

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 22, 2026

BUSINESS FIRST BANCSHARES, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Louisiana (State of incorporation) 001-38447 (Commission File Number) 20-5340628 (IRS Employer Identification No.)

500 Laurel Street, Suite 101 Baton Rouge,Louisiana (Address of principal executive offices) 70801 (Zip Code)

(225) 248-7600 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $1.00 per shareBFSTNASDAQ Global Select Market

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

EXPLANATORY NOTE

This Current Report on Form 8-K/A (this “Amendment”) amends the Current Report on Form 8-K furnished by Business First Bancshares, Inc. (“Business First”) to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on January 22, 2026 (the “Original Form 8-K”). The purpose of this Amendment is to correct the record and payment dates of the quarterly preferred and common dividends described in the press release furnished in Exhibit 99.1 to the Original Form 8-K announcing Business First’s financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 22, 2026, Business First filed the Original Form 8-K in which it furnished a copy of the press release announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025 (the “Original Press Release”). Business First is now filing this Amendment to furnish a revised press release (the “Revised Press Release”) to correct the record and payment dates of the quarterly preferred and common dividends which were inadvertently transposed in the Original Press Release, but were correctly reported under Item 2.02 of the Original Form 8-K. A copy of the Revised Press Release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and is incorporated by reference herein.

The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act or the Exchange Act, unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.

Item 9.01    Financial Statements and Exhibits. (d)Exhibits.

NumberExhibit 99.1Press Release of Business First Bancshares, Inc., dated January 23, 2026 announcing results of operations for the year ended 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

BUSINESS FIRST BANCSHARES, INC.

By:/s/ David R. Melville, III Name:David R. Melville, III Title:President and Chief Executive Officer

Date: January 23, 2026

About Business First Bancshares Inc. (BFST) Earnings

This page provides Business First Bancshares Inc. (BFST) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BFST's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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