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AI Earnings Predictions for Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.13%

$103.45

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-4.58%

$98.83

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+1.54%

$105.18

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $103.58 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -0.13% -4.58% +1.54% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL +0.61% -4.16% +2.59% 100.0% -7.97%
Q4 2025 BUY +2.11% +6.93% +2.12% 100.0% +5.68%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.13%

$103.45

Act: +0.70%

5D

-4.58%

$98.83

20D

+1.54%

$105.18

Price: $103.58 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001101215-26-000068

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.61%

$92.69

Act: -6.05%

5D

-4.16%

$88.29

Act: -7.97%

20D

+2.59%

$94.51

Act: -6.88%

Price: $92.12 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001101215-26-000036

EX-99.1

2 exh991-1q26bfhepr_final.htm

EX-99.1

exh991-1q26bfhepr_final

Bread Financial | April 23, 2026 1 "Bread Financial delivered impressive first quarter results underscored by a return to loan growth with end-of-period loans up 2% year-over-year, alongside increasing growth in credit sales and improved credit metrics. Net income was $181 million, with revenue improvement of 5%, and tangible book value per common share grew by 26% year-over-year. During the quarter we retired 3.5 million shares, or 8% of our outstanding shares as of year end 2025, supported by our solid capital levels and cash flow generation. We continue to maintain a strong foundation to further execute on our growth and capital priorities moving forward. "Credit sales grew 7% year-over-year in the first quarter, driven by new partner growth across our full product suite and increased shopping activity, particularly among Gen Z and Millennials. Our long-standing partnerships also contributed to this growth, most notably in the health and beauty, jewelry, and travel and entertainment verticals. We are encouraged by current credit trends and expect continued gradual improvement in our credit metrics. At the same time, we continue to monitor macroeconomic and geopolitical factors and their potential effects on consumer spending and employment. "In the quarter, we launched new credit card relationships with Ford and Ethan Allen. The Ford program leverages our deep expertise in the automotive retail landscape, while Ethan Allen, America's number one premium furniture retailer, strengthens our prominence in the home vertical. We are now offering Bread Pay installment loans with additional partners including AAA, Dell, and Ford along with Academy Sports, who now provides our comprehensive suite of payment options, including co-brand, private label, and installment loans. Our full product suite, technology advancements, sophisticated underwriting, enhanced loyalty programs, and differentiated partnership model are central to our success in winning new partnerships, retaining and strengthening existing partnerships, and driving higher lifetime customer value. "We are proud of our first quarter performance and plan to build on this momentum throughout 2026." - Ralph Andretta, president and chief executive officer Bread Financial reports improved credit performance and return to loan growth in the first quarter of 2026 COLUMBUS, Ohio, April 23, 2026 – Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: BFH), a tech-forward financial services company that provides simple, personalized payment, lending, and saving solutions, today announced financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. (1) Represents a Non-GAAP financial measure. See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” and "Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measures." $18.3B 1Q26 Average loans $4.15 1Q26 Earnings per diluted common share 13.3% Common equity tier 1 capital ratio $61.57 Tangible book value per common share(1) • Relative to the first quarter of 2025: • Net income of $181 million increased $43 million. • Average loans increased 1%, benefitting from new partner growth and improved credit sales. • Common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio increased 130 basis points to 13.3%. • Book value per common share increased $14.30, or 22%, to $78.72 • Tangible book value per common share(1) increased $12.66, or 26%, to $61.57. • Return on average equity was 21.2% • Return on average tangible common equity(1) was 27.4%. • First quarter delinquency rate was 5.59% and net loss rate was 7.33%. • Retired 1.5 million shares of common stock from the full unwind of our capped call transactions. • Repurchased 2.0 million shares of common stock for $150 million. • Announced a $600 million increase to our Board approved common stock repurchase authorization. CEO COMMENTARY Exhibit 99.1

Bread Financial | April 23, 2026 2 "Bread Financial drove strong, sustainable results with first quarter tangible book value per common share of $61.57 increasing nearly $13, or 26%, from a year ago. Credit sales of $6.5 billion were up 7%, marking six consecutive quarters of year-over-year growth, as consumers remain resilient amid ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty. End-of-period loan growth turned positive, increasing 2% year-over- year, driven by strong credit sales and continued gradual improvement in our credit metrics. Pretax pre-provision earnings, a non-GAAP financial measure, increased 11% year-over-year as we continue to drive growth and generate operating efficiencies. "Revenue increased 5% year-over-year with net interest margin improving to 19.3%. Sequentially, our net interest margin increased due to the gradual build of pricing changes, as well as lower overall funding costs. We anticipate the incremental benefits tied to pricing changes slowing throughout the year as the majority of our portfolio will have repriced. Net interest margin will

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jan 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+2.11%

$74.57

Act: -0.66%

5D

+6.93%

$78.09

Act: +5.68%

20D

+2.12%

$74.58

Act: -2.93%

Price: $73.03 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001101215-26-000007

bfh-20260129false000110121500011012152026-01-292026-01-290001101215us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-01-292026-01-290001101215us-gaap:SeriesAPreferredStockMember2026-01-292026-01-29

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): January 29, 2026

BREAD FINANCIAL HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)

Delaware001-1574931-1429215 (State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification No.)

3095 LOYALTY CIRCLE

COLUMBUS, Ohio 43219 (Address and Zip Code of Principal Executive Offices) (614) 729-4000 (Registrant’s Telephone Number, including Area Code)

NOT APPLICABLE

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)☐ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act

☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act

☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading symbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareBFHNYSE Depository Shares, Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of 8.625% Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series ABFH PrANYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company   ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.    [  ]

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On January 29, 2026, Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release regarding its results of operations for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025 (the “Q4 2025 Earnings Release”). Copies of the Q4 2025 Earnings Release and the related financial supplement are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 hereto, respectively.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

In connection with the Q4 2025 Earnings Release, on January 29, 2026, the Company made available an investor presentation that may be used by the Company’s senior management during meetings and calls with analysts, investors and other market participants, a copy of which is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 hereto and is posted on the Company’s website at www.breadfinancial.com on the “Investors” page under “Events & Presentations.” Information on the Company’s website does not constitute a part of this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Item 8.01 Other Events.

On January 29, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that the Board of Directors of the Company has declared: (i) a quarterly cash dividend of $26.35 per share of its 8.625% Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series A (equivalent to $0.65875 per depositary share, each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of preferred stock), payable on March 16, 2026 to preferred stockholders of record at the close of business on February 27, 2026; and (ii) a quarterly cash dividend of $0.23 per share of common stock, payable on March 16, 2026 to common stockholders of record at the close of business on February 27, 2026. A copy of the press release announcing these dividends is attached as Exhibit 99.4 hereto.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No.Document Description

99.1 Press Release dated January 29, 2026 announcing the Company’s results of operations for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025.

99.2 Financial Supplement - Fourth Quarter 2025.

99.3 Investor Presentation dated January 29, 2026.

99.4 Press Release dated January 29, 2026 announcing the dividends on the Company’s preferred and common stock.

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

Note: Except for the information in Item 8.01 hereof (including Exhibit 99.4 hereto), the information contained in this report (including Exhibits 99.1, 99.2 and 99.3) shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the

About Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) Earnings

This page provides Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on BFH's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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