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AI Earnings Predictions for Avalo Therapeutics Inc. (AVTX)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

-0.43%

$7.04

98% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+10.08%

$7.78

98% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+13.18%

$8.00

93% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $7.07 Confidence: 96.8% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY -0.43% +10.08% +13.18% 96.8% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL -5.00% -11.52% -16.97% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -5.07% -10.94% -15.68% 100.0% -17.93%
Q4 2025 SELL -5.99% -10.36% -13.12% 100.0% -11.22%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 5, 2026 · 97% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

-0.43%

$7.04

Act: +4.90%

5D

+10.08%

$7.78

20D

+13.18%

$8.00

Price: $7.07 Prob +5D: 98% AUC: 1.000
0001534120-26-000056

EX-99.1

2 ex-9913q2026earningsrelease.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

Avalo Therapeutics Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Recent Business Updates

•Advancing abdakibart toward a registrational Phase 3 program in hidradenitis suppurativa, with initiation planned for the first half of 2027

•Advancing AVTX-010, a next-generation, long-acting anti-IL-1β antibody, toward an Investigational New Drug submission in the first half of 2027

•Cash, cash equivalents and investments of $462.8 million as of September 30, 2026, expected to fund operations into 2029

WAYNE, Pa., Nov. 5, 2026 – Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. (Nasdaq: AVTX), a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing therapies targeting the IL-1β pathway for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases, today reported financial results for the third quarter of 2026 and provided a business update.

“LOTUS provides a strong clinical foundation for advancing abdakibart toward registrational development in hidradenitis suppurativa,” said Garry Neil, MD, Chief Executive Officer of Avalo. “The efficacy and safety results observed across both dosing regimens, together with the potential for once-monthly administration, give us confidence in abdakibart’s potential to become an important new treatment option for patients with HS. Our priority is to translate these findings into a rigorous Phase 3 program designed to establish clinically meaningful and durable benefit, informed by upcoming regulatory feedback. We are also advancing AVTX-010, our next-generation, long-acting IL-1β antibody, as we expand our pipeline in IL-1β-mediated diseases. Our strong financial position allows us to pursue these priorities with disciplined capital allocation and investment tied to clear development milestones.”

Recent Corporate Highlights and Upcoming Anticipated Milestones

•Abdakibart (AVTX-009): Continued preparations for a registrational Phase 3 program in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS). Avalo expects feedback from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration on its proposed development plan by year-end 2026 and plans to initiate the Phase 3 program in the first half of 2027.

•AVTX-010: Continued development of its next-generation, Fc-engineered, long-acting anti-IL-1β monoclonal antibody, with an Investigational New Drug (IND) submission anticipated in the first half of 2027. AVTX-010 is being developed for potential use in HS and other inflammatory diseases.

•Phase 2 LOTUS data: Presented a late-breaking oral presentation and poster at the 2026 European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology (EADV) Congress.

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Update

•Cash, cash equivalents and investments were $462.8 million as of September 30, 2026. Net cash used in operating activities was $49.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2026. Avalo’s current cash, cash equivalents, and investments are expected to fund operations into 2029.

•Research and development expenses were $15.0 million for the third quarter of 2026, an increase of $1.4 million from the third quarter of 2025, primarily driven by increased CMC expenses related to manufacturing activities for AVTX-010 and abdakibart, as well as increased stock-based compensation expense and salary and related costs. These increases were partially offset by lower clinical expenses as LOTUS trial and related activities decreased following the topline data readout in May 2026.

•General and administrative expenses were $8.4 million for the third quarter of 2026, an increase of $2.8 million from the third quarter of 2025, primarily driven by increased stock-based compensation expense and salary and related costs.

1

•Net loss was $18.9 million for the third quarter of 2026, a decrease of $11.7 million from the third quarter of 2025. The difference was mainly driven by a $4.2 million increase in operating expenses due to the $1.4 million increase in research and development expenses and $2.8 million increase in general and administrative expenses, as discussed above, more than offset by the impact of the change in fair value related to the derivative liability. Basic and diluted net loss per share was $0.34 and $2.19 for the third quarters of 2026 and 2025, based on 55,060,404 and 14,000,451 weighted average common shares outstanding, respectively.

2

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(In thousands, except share and per share data)

September 30, 2026December 31, 2025

(unaudited)

Assets

Current assets:

Cash and cash equivalents$64,988 $15,858

Short-term investments327,978 82,478

Prepaid expenses and other current assets7,558 6,913

Restricted cash, current portion211 37

Total current assets400,735 105,286

Long-term investments69,812 —

Property and equipment, net198 460

Goodwill10,502 10,502

Restricted cash, net of current portion183 210

Total assets$481,430 $116,458

Liabilities, mezzanine equity and stockholders’ equity

Current liabilities:

Accounts payable$2,458 $137

Accrued expenses and other current li

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.00%

$17.77

Act: -2.03%

5D

-11.52%

$16.55

20D

-16.97%

$15.53

Price: $18.70 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001534120-26-000048

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 13, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-5.07%

$18.84

Act: -4.23%

5D

-10.94%

$17.68

Act: -17.93%

20D

-15.68%

$16.74

Act: -31.13%

Price: $19.85 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001534120-26-000032

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About Avalo Therapeutics Inc. (AVTX) Earnings

This page provides Avalo Therapeutics Inc. (AVTX) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AVTX's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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