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AI Earnings Predictions for Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-1.23%

$170.11

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-2.66%

$167.66

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-3.88%

$165.56

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $172.23 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -1.23% -2.66% -3.88% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -1.20% -2.68% -3.15% 100.0% -2.48%
Q4 2025 BUY +3.16% +4.69% +4.18% 100.0% +3.18%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.23%

$170.11

Act: -0.15%

5D

-2.66%

$167.66

20D

-3.88%

$165.56

Price: $172.23 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000731802-26-000100

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.20%

$182.31

Act: -1.44%

5D

-2.68%

$179.57

Act: -2.48%

20D

-3.15%

$178.71

Act: -8.97%

Price: $184.52 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0000731802-26-000086

EX-99.1

2 ato20260506exhibit991.htm

EX-99.1

Document

Exhibit 99.1

News Release

Analysts and Media Contact:

Dan Meziere (972) 855-3729

Atmos Energy Corporation Reports Earnings for Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter;

Raises Fiscal 2026 Guidance

DALLAS (May 6, 2026) - Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE: ATO) today reported consolidated results for its second fiscal quarter ended March 31, 2026. This news release should be read in conjunction with our earnings slides which are concurrently being posted at www.atmosenergy.com.

Fiscal Year Highlights

•Earnings per diluted share of $5.92 on net income of $984.9 million.

•Capital expenditures were $2.0 billion; over 85% focused on safety and reliability.

•Strong financial profile with 60.9% equity capitalization and $4.1 billion in available liquidity.

•Implemented $135.3 million in annualized regulatory outcomes.

Outlook

•Fiscal 2026 earnings per diluted share guidance raised to the range of $8.40 - $8.50 from $8.15 - $8.35 per diluted share.

•Fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance expected to be approximately $4.2 billion.

•The company's Board of Directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per common share. The indicated annual dividend for fiscal 2026 is $4.00, which represents a 14.9% increase over fiscal 2025.

1

Conference Call to be Webcast May 7, 2026

Atmos Energy will host a conference call with financial analysts to discuss the fiscal 2026 second quarter financial results on Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The domestic telephone number is 800-715-9871 and the international telephone number is 646-307-1963. The conference ID is 15904. The conference call will be webcast live on the Atmos Energy website at www.investors.atmosenergy.com/events-and-presentations. A playback of the call will be available on the website later that day.

Forward-Looking Statements

The matters discussed in this news release may contain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in this news release are forward-looking statements made in good faith by the company and are intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. When used in this news release or any of the company’s other documents or oral presentations, the words “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “expect”, “forecast”, “goal”, “intend”, “objective”, “plan”, “projection”, “seek”, “strategy” or similar words are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in this release, including the risks relating to regulatory trends and decisions, the company’s ability to continue to access the credit and capital markets, and the other factors discussed in the company’s reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risks and uncertainties include the following: federal, state, and local regulatory and political trends and decisions, including the impact of rate proceedings before various state regulatory commissions; increased federal regulatory oversight and potential penalties; possible increased federal, state, and local regulation of the safety of our operations; possible significant costs and liabilities resulting from pipeline integrity and other similar programs and related repairs; the inherent hazards and risks involved in distributing, transporting, and storing natural gas; the availability and accessibility of contracted gas supplies, interstate pipeline, and/or storage services; increased competition from energy suppliers and alternative forms of energy; failure to attract and retain a qualified workforce; natural disasters, adverse weather, terrorist activities, or other events and other risks and uncertainties discussed herein, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control; failure of technology that affects the Company's business operations; the threat of cyber-attacks or acts of cyber-terrorism that could disrupt our business operations and information technology systems or result in the loss or exposure of confidential or sensitive customer, employee, or Company information; the impact of new cybersecurity compliance requirements; adverse weather conditions; the impact of legislation to reduce or eliminate greenhouse gas emissions or fossil fuels; the impact of climate change; the capital-intensive nature of our business; our ability to continue to access the credit and capital markets to execute our business strategy; market risks beyond our control affecting our risk management activities, including commodity price volatility, counterparty performance or creditworthiness, and interest rate risk; the concentration of our operations in Texa

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K BUY

Feb 3, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.16%

$174.15

Act: +1.79%

5D

+4.69%

$176.72

Act: +3.18%

20D

+4.18%

$175.87

Act: +10.64%

Price: $168.81 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0000731802-26-000011

ato-202602030000731802false00007318022026-02-032026-02-03

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 8-K

Current Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

February 3, 2026 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)

ATMOS ENERGY CORPORATION

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

TexasandVirginia1-1004275-1743247


(State or Other Jurisdiction(Commission File(I.R.S. Employer of Incorporation)Number)Identification No.)

1800 Three Lincoln Centre 5430 LBJ Freeway DallasTexas75240


(Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(972) 934-9227


(Registrant's Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

Not Applicable


(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common stockNo Par ValueATONew York Stock Exchange

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02.     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On Tuesday, February 3, 2026, Atmos Energy Corporation (the “Company”) issued a news release in which it reported the Company’s financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended December 31, 2025, and that certain of its officers would discuss such financial results in a conference call on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 9 a.m. Eastern Time. In the release, the Company also announced that the call would be webcast live and that slides for the webcast would be available on its website for all interested parties.

A copy of the news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Item 2.02 and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall such information be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any of the Company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

Item 9.01.     Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)    Exhibits

Exhibit NumberDescription 99.1News Release dated February 3, 2026 (furnished under Item 2.02)

101.INSXBRL Instance Document - the Instance Document does not appear in the Interactive Data File because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document.

101.SCHInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Schema 101.CALInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Calculation Linkbase 101.DEFInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Definition Linkbase 101.LABInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Labels Linkbase 101.PREInline XBRL Taxonomy Extension Presentation Linkbase 104Cover Page Interactive Data File - the cover page interactive data file does not appear in the interactive data file because its XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document

2

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

ATMOS ENERGY CORPORATION

(Registrant)

DATE:February 3, 2026By: /s/ CHRISTOPHER T. FORSYTHE

Christopher T. Forsythe Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

3

About Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Earnings

This page provides Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ATO's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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