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AI Earnings Predictions for AerSale Corporation (ASLE)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+5.37%

$5.24

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+10.62%

$5.50

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+10.79%

$5.51

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $4.97 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +5.37% +10.62% +10.79% 100.0% Pending
Q2 2026 BUY +5.37% +10.62% +10.79% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -8.83% -11.54% -6.81% 100.0% -11.87%
Q4 2025 SELL -8.51% -10.95% -5.69% 100.0% Pending

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Nov 5, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.37%

$5.24

5D

+10.62%

$5.50

20D

+10.79%

$5.51

Price: $4.97 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-123350

EX-99.1

2 asle-ex99d1.htm

EX-99.1

​

Exhibit 99.1

​

AerSale Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

​

Third Quarter 2026 Highlights

●Revenue of $91.6 million versus $71.2 million in the prior year period

●Net loss of $15.0 million, which includes a $13.4 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge, versus a net loss of $0.1 million in the prior year period

●Adjusted net loss1 of $1.1 million versus adjusted net income1 of $1.5 million in the prior year period

●Adjusted EBITDA1 of $8.6 million versus $9.5 million in the prior year period

●Feedstock acquisitions of $7.1 million versus $13.7 million in the prior year period

●Inventory of $334.1 million as of September 30, 2026

●Aircraft and engines held for lease2 of $165.9 million

MIAMI, Florida, November 5, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) – AerSale Corporation (Nasdaq: ASLE) (“AerSale” or the “Company”) today reported third quarter 2026 financial results.

​

Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results:

​

During the third quarter of 2026, we continued to focus on our strategic initiatives of monetizing our asset base, scaling our Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (“MRO”) operations, and growing recurring revenue streams of our business. Revenue and adjusted EBITDA improved sequentially from the second quarter. Flight Equipment sales in the quarter consisted of one whole engine. The sale of a Boeing 737 aircraft and additional engines previously expected to occur in the third quarter are now expected to close in the fourth quarter.

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​

​

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​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

(in thousands, except per-share amount)

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​

(Unaudited)

​

​

Three Months Ended September 30,

​

Nine Months Ended September 30,

​

​ ​ ​

2026

​ ​ ​

2025

​ ​ ​

Percent Change

​

2026

​ ​ ​

2025

​ ​ ​

Percent Change

Asset Management Solutions

​

$

50,547

​

$

39,201

​

28.9

%

​

$

130,814

​

$

154,679

​

(15.4)

%

Technical Operations

​

​

41,009

​

​

31,990

​

28.2

%

​

​

102,288

​

​

89,670

​

14.1

%

Total revenue

​

$

91,556

​

$

71,191

​

28.6

%

​

$

233,102

​

$

244,349

​

(4.6)

%

Net (loss) income

​

​

(15,028)

​

​

(120)

​

(12,423.3)

%

​

​

(24,048)

​

​

3,178

​

(856.7)

%

Adjusted net (loss) income (1)

​

​

(1,106)

​

​

1,525

​

(172.5)

%

​

​

(5,292)

​

​

8,297

​

(163.8)

%

Adjusted EBITDA (1)

​

​

8,559

​

​

9,479

​

(9.7)

%

​

​

18,130

​

​

30,924

​

(41.4)

%

Diluted (loss) earnings per share

​

​

(0.31)

​

​

(0.00)

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NM

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​

​

(0.51)

​

​

0.06

​

(950.0)

%

Adjusted diluted (loss) earnings per share (1)

​

​

(0.02)

​

​

0.04

​

(150.0)

%

​

​

(0.11)

​

​

0.16

​

(168.8)

%

Feedstock acquisitions

​

$

7,127

​

$

13,670

​

(47.9)

%

​

$

37,766

​

$

84,219

​

(55.2)

%

​

The Company’s revenue for the third quarter of 2026 was $91.6 million, representing a 28.6% increase compared to $71.2 million in the third quarter of 2025 and an increase from $70.9 million in the second quarter of 2026. Growth was driven by leasing, used serviceable material (“USM”) sales, heavy MRO, strong commercial demand for the Company’s AerSafe® product, as well as $9.3 million of Flight Equipment sales, compared with $0.4 million in the prior-year period.

​

Adjusted EBITDA1 in the third quarter of 2026 was $8.6 million, or 9.3% of total revenue, compared to $9.5 million, or 13.3% of total revenue, in the comparable prior year period. Excluding Flight Equipment sales, revenue grew 16.2% to $82.3 million in the third quarter of 2026 compared to the prior-year period, with gains in leasing, USM, heavy MRO, and Engineered Solutions. We expect continued improvement in adjusted EBITDA as the ramp-up costs of new programs designed to deliver higher profitability and recurring revenue are expected to diminish over time.

​

We encourage investors to evaluate performance across multiple quarters and through the more recurring parts of our business: leasing, USM and MRO.

​

Nicolas Finazzo, Chief Executive Officer at AerSale, stated, “The initiatives we have undertaken since early 2025 to make inventory and Flight Assets ready for sale or lease, optimize our sales force, invest in technology, and complete major facilities expansion projects, are taking hold. As such, our third quarter operational results improved meaningfully

​

over the second quarter. Five of our seven 757 freighters are now on lease. We are using advanced analytics to strengthen USM sales by rapidly identifying the most cost-efficient way to make USM ready for sale. In TechOps, we have similarly created advanced analytics that have identified the factors affecting output and profitability at Millington, Goodyear, and our Component MRO shops, which should improve the efficiency of our workforce and increase utilization of our available capacity.”

​

Mr. Finazzo continued, “We enter the fourth quarter with a well-defined Flight Equipment pipeline expected to close before year end. We have commit

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Aug 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+5.37%

$6.64

Act: -6.35%

5D

+10.62%

$6.97

20D

+10.79%

$6.98

Price: $6.30 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-091978

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2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-8.83%

$6.68

Act: -10.44%

5D

-11.54%

$6.48

Act: -11.87%

20D

-6.81%

$6.83

Act: -13.10%

Price: $7.33 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-057104

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

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For more information, please see the SEC’s Web Site Privacy and Security Policy. Thank you for your interest in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Internet Security Policy

By using this site, you are agreeing to security monitoring and auditing. For security purposes, and to ensure that the public service remains available to users, this government computer system employs programs to monitor network traffic to identify unauthorized attempts to upload or change information or to otherwise cause damage, including attempts to deny service to users.

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To ensure our website performs well for all users, the SEC monitors the frequency of requests for SEC.gov content to ensure automated searches do not impact the ability of others to access SEC.gov content. We reserve the right to block IP addresses that submit excessive requests. Current guidelines limit users to a total of no more than 10 requests per second, regardless of the number of machines used to submit requests.

If a user or application submits more than 10 requests per second, further requests from the IP address(es) may be limited for a brief period. Once the rate of requests has dropped below the threshold for 10 minutes, the user may resume accessing content on SEC.gov. This SEC practice is designed to limit excessive automated searches on SEC.gov and is not intended or expected to impact individuals browsing the SEC.gov website.

Note that this policy may change as the SEC manages SEC.gov to ensure that the website performs efficiently and remains available to all users.

Note: We do not offer technical support for developing or debugging scripted downloading processes.

About AerSale Corporation (ASLE) Earnings

This page provides AerSale Corporation (ASLE) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ASLE's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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