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AI Earnings Predictions for ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+3.22%

$13.28

96% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+4.67%

$13.47

96% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+6.00%

$13.64

91% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $12.87 Confidence: 91.7% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q3 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q3 2026 BUY +3.22% +4.67% +6.00% 91.7% Pending
Q2 2026 SELL +0.22% -1.95% -4.53% 99.2% -0.43%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q3

Q3 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Oct 21, 2026 · 92% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+3.22%

$13.28

Act: -0.39%

5D

+4.67%

$13.47

20D

+6.00%

$13.64

Price: $12.87 Prob +5D: 96% AUC: 1.000
0001428205-26-000124

arr-20261021

0001428205false00014282052026-10-212026-10-210001428205arr:PreferredClassCMember2026-10-212026-10-210001428205us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-10-212026-10-21

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) October 21, 2026

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Maryland001-3476626-1908763

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

3001 Ocean Drive, Suite 201

Vero Beach,Florida32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices)(Zip Code)

(772) 617-4340

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

n/a

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTrading symbolsName of Exchange on which registered

Preferred Stock, 7.00% Series C Cumulative RedeemableARR-PRCNew York Stock Exchange

Common Stock, $0.001 par valueARRNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by a check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act ☐

Item 2.02.     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 21, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q3 results and September 30, 2026 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K.

The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 7.01.    Regulation FD Disclosure.

On October 21, 2026, ARMOUR produced for distribution a presentation, which contains updates on ARMOUR's financial position, business and operations. A copy of the presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report of Form 8-K.

The information furnished pursuant to this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for

purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01.      Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No.Description

99.1 Press Release dated October 21, 2026

99.2

Presentation dated October 21, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Dated: October 21, 2026

ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT, INC.

By:/s/ Gordon M. Harper

Name:Gordon M. Harper

Title:Chief Financial Officer

2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Jul 22, 2026 · 99% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

+0.22%

$16.47

Act: -1.83%

5D

-1.95%

$16.11

Act: -0.43%

20D

-4.53%

$15.69

Price: $16.43 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001428205-26-000089

arr-20260722

0001428205false00014282052026-07-222026-07-220001428205arr:PreferredClassCMember2026-07-222026-07-220001428205us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-07-222026-07-22

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) July 22, 2026

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Maryland001-3476626-1908763

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

3001 Ocean Drive, Suite 201

Vero Beach,Florida32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

(772) 617-4340

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

n/a

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTrading symbolsName of Exchange on which registered

Preferred Stock, 7.00% Series C Cumulative RedeemableARR-PRCNew York Stock Exchange

Common Stock, $0.001 par valueARRNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by a check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act ☐

Item 2.02.     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On July 22, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q2 results and June 30, 2026 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K.

The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 7.01.    Regulation FD Disclosure.

On July 22, 2026, ARMOUR produced for distribution a presentation, which contains updates on ARMOUR's financial position, business and operations. A copy of the presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report of Form 8-K.

The information furnished pursuant to this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for

purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01.      Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No.Description

99.1 Press Release dated July 22, 2026

99.2

Presentation dated July 22, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Dated: July 22, 2026

ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT, INC.

By:/s/ Gordon M. Harper

Name:Gordon M. Harper

Title:Chief Financial Officer

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K

Apr 22, 2026

0001428205-26-000058

arr-20260422

0001428205false00014282052026-04-222026-04-220001428205arr:PreferredClassCMember2026-04-222026-04-220001428205us-gaap:CommonStockMember2026-04-222026-04-22

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549


FORM 8-K


CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) April 22, 2026

ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)

Maryland001-3476626-1908763

(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)(Commission File Number)(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)

3001 Ocean Drive, Suite 201

Vero Beach,Florida32963

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

(772) 617-4340

(Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code)

n/a

(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of Each ClassTrading symbolsName of Exchange on which registered

Preferred Stock, 7.00% Series C Cumulative RedeemableARR-PRCNew York Stock Exchange

Common Stock, $0.001 par valueARRNew York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by a check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act ☐

Item 2.02.     Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On April 22, 2026, ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its unaudited Q1 results and March 31, 2026 financial position. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report on Form 8-K.

The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 7.01.    Regulation FD Disclosure.

On April 22, 2026, ARMOUR produced for distribution a presentation, which contains updates on ARMOUR's financial position, business and operations. A copy of the presentation is furnished as Exhibit 99.2 to this current report of Form 8-K.

The information furnished pursuant to this Item 7.01, including Exhibit 99.2, shall not be deemed “filed” for

purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act, or otherwise subject to liabilities under that section and shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01.      Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No.Description

99.1 Press Release dated April 22, 2026

99.2

Presentation dated April 22, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Dated: April 22, 2026

ARMOUR RESIDENTIAL REIT, INC.

By:/s/ Gordon M. Harper

Name:Gordon M. Harper

Title:Chief Financial Officer

About ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) Earnings

This page provides ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. (ARR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ARR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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