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AI Earnings Predictions for Alliance Resource Partners L.P. (ARLP)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-0.25%

$24.63

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-5.43%

$23.35

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-5.91%

$23.23

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $24.69 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 2, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.25%

$24.63

Act: +1.26%

5D

-5.43%

$23.35

Act: -1.09%

20D

-5.91%

$23.23

Act: +9.88%

Price: $24.69 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-008972

ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP_February 2, 2026 0001086600falseALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP00010866002026-02-022026-02-02 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO

SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 2, 2026 ​

ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware ​ ​ ​ 73-1564280

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) ​ Commission File No.: 0-26823 ​ (IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ 1717 South Boulder Avenue, Suite 400, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74119 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) (918) 295-7600 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligations of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ​ ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ​ ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) ​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common units representing limited partner interests

ARLP

NASDAQ Global Select Market

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On February 2, 2026, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (the "Partnership") announced, via press release, its quarterly and annual earnings and operating results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.  A copy of the Partnership's press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Item 2.02 including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except to the extent specifically referenced in any such filings.

ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

​ (d) Exhibits ​

Exhibit Number

Description

​ 99.1 ​ Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. press release dated February 2, 2026. ​

​ 104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL).

​ ​

2

SIGNATURES

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

​ Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. ​

​ ​ ​

​ ​ ​

By: Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC, ​

​ its general partner ​

​ ​ ​

​ ​ ​

By: /s/ Cary P. Marshall ​

​ Cary P. Marshall ​

​ Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer ​

​ ​

​ ​ ​

Date: February 2, 2026 ​ ​ ​

3

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 27, 2025

0001104659-25-102328

ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP_October 27, 2025 0001086600falseALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP00010866002025-10-272025-10-27 ​

​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO

SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): October 27, 2025 ​

ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware ​ ​ ​ 73-1564280

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) ​ Commission File No.: 0-26823 ​ (IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ 1717 South Boulder Avenue, Suite 400, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74119 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) (918) 295-7600 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligations of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ​ ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ​ ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) ​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common units representing limited partner interests

ARLP

NASDAQ Global Select Market

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On October 27, 2025, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (the "Partnership") announced, via press release, its quarterly earnings and operating results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.  A copy of the Partnership's press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Item 2.02 including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except to the extent specifically referenced in any such filings.

ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

​ (d) Exhibits ​

Exhibit Number

Description

​ 99.1 ​ Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. press release dated October 27, 2025. ​

​ 104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL).

​ ​

2

SIGNATURES

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

​ Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. ​

​ ​ ​

​ ​ ​

By: Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC, ​

​ its general partner ​

​ ​ ​

​ ​ ​

By: /s/ Cary P. Marshall ​

​ Cary P. Marshall ​

​ Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer ​

​ ​

​ ​ ​

Date: October 27, 2025 ​ ​ ​

3

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Jul 28, 2025

0001558370-25-009637

0001086600falseALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP00010866002025-07-282025-07-28 ​ ​

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, DC 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO

SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

​ Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): July 28, 2025 ​

ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS, L.P.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) ​ ​

Delaware ​ ​ ​ 73-1564280

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) ​ Commission File No.: 0-26823 ​ (IRS Employer Identification No.)

​ 1717 South Boulder Avenue, Suite 400, Tulsa, Oklahoma 74119 (Address of principal executive offices and zip code) (918) 295-7600 (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) ​ Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligations of the registrant under any of the following provisions: ​ ☐    Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ​ ☐    Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ​ ☐    Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) ​ Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: ​

Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Units

ARLP

The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC

​ Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). ​ Emerging growth company ☐ ​ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐ ​ ​ ​ ​

ITEM 2.02.

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.

On July 28, 2025, Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (the "Partnership") announced, via press release, its quarterly earnings and operating results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025.  A copy of the Partnership's press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished in this Item 2.02 including Exhibit 99.1 hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except to the extent specifically referenced in any such filings.

ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS.

​ (d) Exhibits ​

Exhibit Number

Description

​ 99.1 ​ Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. press release dated July 28, 2025. ​

​ 104 ​ Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as inline XBRL).

​ ​

2

SIGNATURES

​ Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. ​ ​

​ Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. ​

​ ​ ​

​ ​ ​

By: Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC, ​

​ its general partner ​

​ ​ ​

​ ​ ​

By: /s/ Cary P. Marshall ​

​ Cary P. Marshall ​

​ Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer ​

​ ​

​ ​ ​

Date: July 28, 2025 ​ ​ ​

3

About Alliance Resource Partners L.P. (ARLP) Earnings

This page provides Alliance Resource Partners L.P. (ARLP) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ARLP's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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