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AI Earnings Predictions for American Realty Investors Inc. (ARL)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-2.51%

$14.61

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-6.57%

$14.01

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-0.93%

$14.85

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $14.99 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 SELL -2.51% -6.57% -0.93% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -3.46% -7.31% -1.56% 100.0% -2.89%
Q4 2025 SELL -3.87% -8.50% +0.24% 100.0% Pending
Q3 2025 SELL -4.34% -9.09% +3.53% 100.0% -6.72%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Aug 6, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-2.51%

$14.61

Act: +2.47%

5D

-6.57%

$14.01

20D

-0.93%

$14.85

Price: $14.99 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-054130

EX-99.1

2 arl20260630ex991earnings.htm

EX-99.1

Document

NEWS RELEASEContact:

American Realty Investors, Inc. Investor Relations

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Erik Johnson (469) 522-4200 investor.relations@americanrealtyinvest.com

American Realty Investors, Inc. reports Earnings for Q2 2026

DALLAS (August 6, 2026) -- American Realty Investors, Inc. (NYSE:ARL) is reporting its results of operations for the three months ended June 30, 2026. For the three months ended June 30, 2026, we reported net loss attributable to common shares of $1.0 million or $0.06 per share, compared to a net income attributable to common shares of $2.8 million or $0.18 per share for the same period in 2025.

Financial Highlights

•Total occupancy was 81% at June 30, 2026, which includes 93% at our multifamily properties and 58% at our commercial properties.

•Occupancy for our Alera, Bandera Ridge and Merano (collectively, our “Development Properties”) at June 30, 2026 was 86%, 85% and 77%, respectively.

•During the three months ended June 30, 2026, we sold 21 lots from our holdings in Windmill Farms for $1.0 million, resulting in a gain on sale of $0.8 million.

Financial Results

Revenues increased $0.7 million from $12.2 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025 to $12.9 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026. The increase in revenue is primarily due to an increase of $0.5 million from our multifamily properties and $0.2 million from our commercial properties. The increase in revenue from our multifamily properties is due to the lease-up of our Development Properties and the increase from our commercial properties is primarily due to an increase in occupancy at Stanford Center.

Net operating loss increased $1.5 million from $1.0 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025 to $2.5 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026. Our increase in net operating loss was primarily due to a $1.6 million increase in operating expenses from the lease-up properties for the three months ended June 30, 2026.

Net (loss) income attributable to common shares changed approximately $3.8 million from net income of $2.8 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025 to a net loss of $1.0 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026. The decrease in net income is primarily attributed to a $1.5 million increase in net operating loss and a $1.6 million decrease in interest income, net offset in part by a $1.3 million decrease in tax provision.

About American Realty Investors, Inc.

American Realty Investors, Inc., a Dallas-based real estate investment company, holds a diverse portfolio of equity real estate located across the U.S., including office buildings, apartments, shopping centers, and developed and undeveloped land. The Company invests in real estate through direct ownership, leases and partnerships and invests in mortgage loans on real estate. The Company also holds mortgage receivables. The Company’s primary asset and source of its operating results is its investment in Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (NYSE:TCI). For more information, visit the Company’s website at www.americanrealtyinvest.com.

AMERICAN REALTY INVESTORS, INC.

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts)

(Unaudited)

Three Months Ended June 30,Six Months Ended June 30,

2026202520262025

Revenues:

Rental revenues$12,236 $11,510 $23,892 $22,937

Other income630 650 1,315 1,231

Total revenue12,866 12,160 25,207 24,168

Expenses:

Property operating expenses8,176 6,535 15,509 12,512

Depreciation and amortization3,697 3,062 7,327 5,945

General and administrative1,498 1,534 2,984 3,026

Advisory fee to related party2,044 2,042 4,127 4,511

Total operating expenses15,415 13,173 29,947 25,994

Net operating loss(2,549)(1,013)(4,740)(1,826)

Interest income2,810 3,353 6,634 7,363

Interest expense(2,803)(1,777)(5,771)(3,597)

Equity in loss from unconsolidated joint ventures412 19 412 (140)

Gain on real estate transactions814 947 1,199 4,838

Income tax provision71 1,335 505 189

Net (loss) income(1,245)2,864 (1,761)6,827

Net loss (income) attributable to noncontrolling interest235 (37)200 (1,035)

Net (loss) income attributable to common shares$(1,010)$2,827 $(1,561)$5,792

Earnings per share

Basic and diluted$(0.06)$0.18 $(0.10)$0.36

Weighted average common shares used in computing earnings per share

Basic and diluted16,152,043 16,152,043 16,152,043 16,152,043

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 7, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.46%

$13.04

Act: +2.22%

5D

-7.31%

$12.52

Act: -2.89%

20D

-1.56%

$13.30

Act: +2.22%

Price: $13.51 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001628280-26-031851

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2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Mar 12, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-3.87%

$14.85

Act: -1.81%

5D

-8.50%

$14.14

20D

+0.24%

$15.49

Price: $15.45 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001102238-26-000006

arl-202603120001102238false00011022382026-03-122026-03-12

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

Current Report

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported)March 12, 2026

American Realty Investors, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Nevada001-1566375-2847135 (State or other jurisdiction of Incorporation or organization) (Commission File Number)(IRS Employer Identification Number)

1603 LBJ Freeway,Suite 800DallasTX75234 (Address of principal executive offices)(Zip Code)

(469) 522-4200 Registrant’s Telephone Number, including area code

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the Registrant under any of the following provisions: ☐  Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐  Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Securities Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐  Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Securities Act (17 CFR 240.413e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading Symbol(s)Name of each exchange on which registered Common StockARLNYSE

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 ((17 CFR 230.405 of or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Act of 1934 (17 CFR 230.405): ☐  Emerging growth company If an emerging growth company indicate by check mark if the Registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Section 2 – Financial Information

Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On March 12, 2026, American Realty Investors, Inc. (“ARL” or the “Company”) announced its operational results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the announcement is attached as Exhibit “99.1.”

The information furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 in this Form 8-K, including Exhibit “99.1” attached hereto, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, unless we specifically incorporate it by reference in a document filed under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. We undertake no duty or obligation to publicly update or revise the information furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K.

Section 9 – Financial Statements and Exhibits

Item 9.01. Financial Statements and Exhibits

(d) Exhibits.

The following exhibit is furnished with this Report:

Exhibit No.Description 99.1* Press release datedMarch 12, 2026


* Furnished herewith

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

AMERICAN REALTY INVESTORS, INC.

Dated: March 12, 2026By:/s/ ERIK L. JOHNSON Erik L. Johnson President and Chief Executive Officer

About American Realty Investors Inc. (ARL) Earnings

This page provides American Realty Investors Inc. (ARL) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ARL's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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