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AI Earnings Predictions for Antero Resources Corporation (AR)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

BUY

1-Day Prediction

+1.35%

$35.62

100% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

+5.25%

$36.98

100% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

+6.02%

$37.25

95% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $35.14 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q2 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q2 2026 BUY +1.35% +5.25% +6.02% 100.0% Pending
Q1 2026 SELL -1.08% -6.30% -0.24% 100.0% -5.56%
Q4 2025 SELL -0.57% -7.52% -3.27% 100.0% -0.23%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q2

Q2 2026 Earnings

8-K BUY

Jul 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction BUY

1D

+1.35%

$35.62

Act: +0.46%

5D

+5.25%

$36.98

20D

+6.02%

$37.25

Price: $35.14 Prob +5D: 100% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-088204

EX-99.1

2 tm2621397d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Antero Resources Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results

Denver, Colorado, July 29, 2026—Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE: AR) (“Antero Resources,” “Antero,” or the “Company”) today announced its second quarter 2026 financial and operating results. The relevant consolidated financial statements are included in Antero Resources’ Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

Highlights:

●Net production was a company record and above guidance at over 4.1 Bcfe/d, an increase of 21% from the year ago period

●Net income was $279 million and Adjusted Net Income was $236 million (Non-GAAP)

●Adjusted EBITDAX was $595 million (Non-GAAP), an increase of 57% compared to the prior year period

●Net cash provided by operating activities was $439 million

●Total cash operating costs were at the low end of the guidance range at $2.38 per Mcfe, a decrease of $0.29 per Mcfe, or 11%, from the year ago period

●Adjusted Free Cash Flow before changes in working capital was $220 million (Non-GAAP), an increase of 41% compared to the year ago period

●Purchased 1.1 million shares for approximately $38 million during the quarter

●Completed $315 million of strategic acquisitions in July 2026 in Antero’s core Marcellus footprint, including 125 MMcfe/d of net production and 15 net drilling locations

●Reversion of the overriding royalty interests results in an expected $60 million increase in annualized future cash, or a $0.04 per Mcfe margin uplift

2026 Guidance Updates:

●Increasing production guidance to a range of 4.15 to 4.2 Bcfe/d for the full year 2026

●Increasing C2 NGL realized price premium to Mont Belvieu to $2.50 to $3.00 per Bbl

●Decreasing cash production expense guidance to a range of $2.20 to $2.30 per Mcfe

●Decreasing the realized natural gas price premium to NYMEX to a range of $0.05 to $0.15 per Mcfe

Michael Kennedy, CEO and President of Antero Resources commented, “The second quarter of 2026 reflects the first full quarter following our acquisition of HG Energy. Our quarterly results highlight the substantial benefits from this transaction. Our production base increased by more than 20% from a year ago and our cost structure declined by over 10%. In combination with the strategic acquisitions we completed this July, we expect our per unit costs to continue to decline into year end. Further, while the region’s gross production has remained flat, net production to Antero is expected to exit the year over 25% higher than the prior year.”

Mr. Kennedy continued, “Our improved competitive position provides us with great visibility and confidence in our Free Cash Flow, which supported the accelerated timing of our share repurchase program. During the second quarter we purchased 1.1 million shares for $38 million and we plan to continue being countercyclical with our buybacks when we see opportunities.”

Brendan Krueger, CFO of Antero Resources said, “Our recently announced cost reduction initiative is expected to decrease our cost structure by $0.70 per Mcfe from 2025 levels, or 25% in total by year-end 2028. With the integration of HG Energy, we are already nearly halfway towards achieving this target. Lower cash costs will drive significant increases in per unit margins. Additionally, when combining this lower cost structure with our liquids product diversification and hedging strategy, we expect a substantial reduction in cash flow volatility going forward. This was highlighted through our second quarter 2026 results where the Henry Hub natural gas price declined 16% from the year ago period, while our adjusted EBITDAX increased 57%.”

For a discussion of the non-GAAP financial

measures including Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDAX, Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Net Debt please see “Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

1

2026 Guidance Update

Antero is increasing its full year 2026 production guidance to a range of 4.15 to 4.2 Bcfe/d, to reflect strong performance year-to-date and the acquisitions made in July 2026. Antero is forecasting 5 Bcfe of curtailments in the third quarter of 2026 and expects third quarter production to average 4.25 to 4.3 Bcfe/d with fourth quarter production increasing to an average of 4.4 to 4.5 Bcfe/d.

Cash production expense guidance was lowered to a range of $2.20 to $2.30 per Mcfe, reflecting the HG Energy integration and optimization of firm transportation agreements. Realized natural gas price premium to NYMEX was lowered primarily to reflect the optimization of the firm transportation arrangements.

Revised 2026 Guidance Low High

Net Daily Natural Gas Equivalent Production (Bcfe/d) 4.15 4.2

Cash Production Expense ($/Mcfe) $2.20 $2.30

Natural Gas Realized Price Premium vs. NYMEX Henry Hub ($/Mcf) $0.05 $0.15

C2 NGL Realized Price Premium to Mont Belvieu ($/Bbl) $2.50 $3.00

Note: Any 2026 guidance items not discussed in this release are unchanged from previously state

2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

Apr 29, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-1.08%

$38.59

Act: +0.64%

5D

-6.30%

$36.55

Act: -5.56%

20D

-0.24%

$38.92

Act: -8.20%

Price: $39.01 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-051537

EX-99.1

2 tm2612870d1_ex99-1.htm

EXHIBIT 99.1

Exhibit 99.1

Antero Resources Announces First Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results

Denver, Colorado, April 29, 2026—Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE: AR) (“Antero Resources,” “Antero,” or the “Company”) today announced its first quarter 2026 financial and operating results. The relevant consolidated financial statements are included in Antero Resources’ Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026.

Highlights:

·Net production averaged a company record 3.9 Bcfe/d, an increase of 13% from the year ago period

oNatural gas production averaged 2.6 Bcf/d, an increase of 21% from the year ago period

oLiquids production averaged 206 MBbl/d, in line with the year ago period

·Realized a pre-hedge natural gas price of $5.57 per Mcf, a $0.53 per Mcf premium to NYMEX

·Realized a pre-hedge C3+ NGL price of $37.83 per barrel, a $0.94 per barrel premium to the benchmark

·Net income was $535 million and Adjusted Net Income was $357 million (Non-GAAP)

·Adjusted EBITDAX was $723 million (Non-GAAP) and net cash provided by operating activities was $859 million, increases of 32% and 88% compared to the prior year period, respectively

·Adjusted Free Cash Flow was $657 million (Non-GAAP)

·Closed HG acquisition in early February and completed the Ohio Utica Shale divestiture in late February

·Full HG quarter impact during the second quarter of 2026 is expected to result in 6% production growth and 15% lower cash costs per Mcfe from the first quarter of 2026

Michael Kennedy, CEO and President of Antero Resources commented, “During the first quarter we achieved record production, which was 13% above the year ago period. This production growth drove one of the highest quarterly EBITDAX and Free Cash Flow results in company history. These results reflect a tremendous performance from our operations team which navigated the harsh conditions of Winter Storm Fern without having to shut-in any volumes. This enabled Antero to deliver critical natural gas to the various regions that needed it most, a truly remarkable achievement by our people in the field.”

Mr. Kennedy continued, “Looking ahead, the recent geopolitical events have highlighted the advantages of Antero’s corporate strategy. We are the largest producer exporter of NGLs in the U.S., selling the majority of our NGL barrels into international markets. We expect recent global supply outages and disruptions to lead to increasing risk premiums for U.S. NGL barrels both in the near term and in the years ahead. At the same time, we have the highest LNG exposure among Appalachian producers, selling 2.3 Bcf/d of production to sales points along the LNG fairway. We are seeing growing interest from global NGL and LNG buyers that are looking to increase exposure to U.S. supply. This prioritization toward U.S. supply supports higher export utilization and more attractive price premiums at our sales points along the coasts. These attributes uniquely position us to benefit from today’s rising global demand for U.S. energy.”

Brendan Krueger, CFO of Antero Resources said, “During the first quarter we closed on the HG acquisition and began integration of the new asset. The impressive operational and financial achievements mentioned above led to realizations for natural gas, NGLs and ethane all coming in ahead of expectations during the quarter. This allowed us to reduce debt related to the HG acquisition ahead of our previously communicated targets. Importantly, as a result of the transactions, we expect our net production to increase by approximately 700 MMcfe/d on an annual basis. Additionally, the HG acquisition added 385,000 net acres and 400 drilling locations, while only increasing our Net Debt by $1.5 billion from the year-end 2025 level.”

For a discussion of the non-GAAP financial

measures including Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDAX, Adjusted Free Cash Flow and Net Debt please see “Non-GAAP Financial Measures.”

1

Cash Cost Reduction

Antero expects cash production expense for the remainder of 2026 to be $2.20 to $2.30 per Mcfe. This reduced range reflects a $0.25 per Mcfe, or 10% reduction from the full-year average in 2025 and a $0.39 per Mcfe, or 15% reduction from the first quarter of 2026. Inclusive of G&A and net marketing expense the total cost reduction is expected to be $0.30 per Mcfe. The production and development of the HG assets are expected to result in cash production expenses remaining in that range going forward, assuming current natural gas strip pricing.

Second Quarter and Full-Year 2026 Guidance

Update

Antero expects second quarter production to average 4.1 Bcfe/d, a 6% increase from the first quarter of 2026, driven by a full quarter of production from the HG acquisition. The second half of 2026 is expected to average approximately 4.2 Bcfe/d. This results in a full year average of approximately 4.1 Bcfe/d, unchanged from prior guidance. This annual guidance reflect

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 11, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-0.57%

$34.91

Act: -3.65%

5D

-7.52%

$32.47

Act: -0.23%

20D

-3.27%

$33.96

Price: $35.11 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001104659-26-013420

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0001433270

2026-02-11 2026-02-11

iso4217:USD

xbrli:shares

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xbrli:shares

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 11, 2026

ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware

001-36120

80-0162034

(State or Other Jurisdiction of

Incorporation)

(Commission

File Number)

(I.R.S. Employer

Identification Number)

1615 Wynkoop Street

Denver, Colorado 80202

(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (303) 357-7310

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class on which registered Trading symbol(s) Name of each exchange

Common Stock, par value $0.01 Per Share AR New York Stock Exchange

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company  ¨

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.  ¨

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition

On February 11, 2026, Antero Resources Corporation issued a press release, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated by reference herein, announcing its financial and operational results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.

The information in this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished pursuant to Item 2.02 of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to liabilities of that section, and is not incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act unless specifically identified therein as being incorporated therein by reference.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits.

Exhibit

Number

Description

99.1

Antero Resources Corporation press release dated February 11, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

2

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

ANTERO RESOURCES CORPORATION

By: /s/ Brendan E. Krueger

Brendan E. Krueger

Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President – Finance and Treasurer

Dated: February 11, 2026

3

About Antero Resources Corporation (AR) Earnings

This page provides Antero Resources Corporation (AR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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