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AI Earnings Predictions for Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-4.99%

$122.60

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-5.05%

$122.52

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-2.90%

$125.30

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $129.04 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q1 2026

Historical Earnings Predictions

Quarter Signal 1D Return 5D Return 20D Return Confidence Actual 5D
Q1 2026 SELL -4.99% -5.05% -2.90% 100.0% -4.12%
Q4 2025 SELL -4.99% -5.05% -2.90% 100.0% +8.62%

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2026
Q1

Q1 2026 Earnings

8-K SELL

May 4, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.99%

$122.60

Act: -1.29%

5D

-5.05%

$122.52

Act: -4.12%

20D

-2.90%

$125.30

Act: -10.00%

Price: $129.04 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-204146

EX-99.1

2 d138525dex991.htm

EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

News Release

Allison Announces First Quarter 2026 Results

*

Net Sales of $1,406 million, up 84% year over year, including the addition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit acquired on January 1, 2026

*

Net Income of $112 million, 8% of Net Sales

*

Diluted EPS of $1.33, Adjusted Diluted EPS of $2.57, up 6% year over year

*

Adjusted EBITDA of $362 million, 26% of Net Sales, up 22% year over year

*

First quarter results include segment reporting for Allison Transmission and Allison Off-Highway business units

INDIANAPOLIS, May 4, 2026 – Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (NYSE: ALSN), today reported first quarter net sales of $1,406 million with adjusted EBITDA margin of 26 percent and net cash provided by operating activities of $156 million.

David S. Graziosi, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer of Allison commented, “Encouraging momentum in key end markets supported solid demand for both Allison business units in the first quarter. Despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, we will look to capitalize on further improvement in end markets conditions throughout the year, while continuing to integrate the Allison Off-Highway business unit, maintaining focus and confidence in our synergy capture target in support of our long-term growth and value creation strategy. For the first quarter, adjusted diluted EPS was $2.57, with expectation for the acquisition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit to be accretive to net income and diluted EPS in 2026.”

Graziosi continued, “During the first quarter, we announced the seventh consecutive annual increase to our quarterly dividend and repurchased more than $20 million of our common stock, demonstrating Allison’s consistent commitment to returning cash to shareholders as part of our capital allocation priorities. Also during the quarter, as we progress toward our 2.0x net leverage target with prudent balance sheet management, our strong cash flow generation enabled us to repay $150 million of amounts outstanding under our revolving credit facility.”

First quarter results include segment reporting for Allison Transmission, the Company’s legacy business, excluding certain costs now accounted for within the Allison Central Group, and Allison Off-Highway, the business acquired from Dana Incorporated on January 1, 2026. The Allison Central Group is a centralized cost center which includes certain functional costs that support the Company’s global operations.

Allison Consolidated First Quarter Financial Results

Net sales for the quarter were $1,406 million, including the addition of $673 million in net sales for the Allison Off-Highway business unit.

Gross profit for the quarter was $406 million, an increase of $28 million from $378 million for the same period in 2025. The increase was principally driven by the addition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit, partially offset by decreased gross profit in the Allison Transmission business unit. Gross profit for the quarter was negatively impacted by approximately $76 million of expenses related to the acquisition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit, primarily inventory step-up costs and incremental depreciation expense related to the stepped-up basis in property, plant and equipment. Gross margin for the quarter was 29 percent.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $157 million, an increase of $70 million from $87 million for the same period in 2025. The increase was principally driven by the addition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit, including $21 million of amortization expense for intangible asset recognition and approximately $17 million of one-time acquisition-related integration costs.

1

Engineering – research and development expenses for the quarter were $54 million, an increase of

$12 million from $42 million for the same period in 2025. The increase was principally driven by the addition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit, partially offset by reduced product initiatives spending in the Allison Transmission business unit.

Net income for the quarter was $112 million, a decrease of $80 million from $192 million for the same period in 2025. The decrease was principally driven by costs related to the acquisition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit. The year over year decrease in net income was also driven by higher interest expense, net, partially offset by lower income tax expense. Diluted EPS for the first quarter was $1.33.

Excluding the effect of certain non-cash, non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, including the costs associated with the acquisition of the Allison Off-Highway business unit, adjusted net income, a non-GAAP financial measure, was $216 million for the first quarter and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.57.

Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP financial measure, was $362 million for the first quarter, an increase of $66 million from $296 million for the same period

2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 23, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-4.99%

$111.01

Act: +4.41%

5D

-5.05%

$110.94

Act: +8.62%

20D

-2.90%

$113.46

Price: $116.84 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001193125-26-063975

8-K

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc false 0001411207 0001411207 2026-02-23 2026-02-23

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 23, 2026

ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Delaware

001-35456

26-0414014

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

One Allison Way, Indianapolis, Indiana

46222

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (317) 242-5000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.01 par value

ALSN

New York Stock Exchange Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 23, 2026, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (“Allison”) published an earnings release reporting its financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the earnings release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Following the publication of the earnings release, Allison will host an earnings call on February 23, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. ET on which its financial results for the three months and year ended December 31, 2025 will be discussed. The investor presentation materials that will be used for the call are attached as Exhibit 99.2 hereto. On February 23, 2026, Allison posted the materials attached as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 on its website (www.allisontransmission.com). As discussed on page 2 of Exhibit 99.2, the investor presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are present expectations and are subject to the limitations listed therein and in Allison’s other Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including that actual events or results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. The foregoing information (including the exhibits hereto) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits:

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Earnings release dated February 23, 2026.

99.2

Investor presentation materials dated February 23, 2026.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Date: February 23, 2026

By:

/s/ Eric C. Scroggins

Name:

Eric C. Scroggins

Title:

Chief Legal Officer and Assistant Secretary

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Oct 29, 2025

0001193125-25-256299

8-K

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc false 0001411207 0001411207 2025-10-29 2025-10-29

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): October 29, 2025

ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in its Charter)

Delaware

001-35456

26-0414014

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)

(Commission File Number)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

One Allison Way, Indianapolis, Indiana

46222

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (317) 242-5000 Not Applicable (Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instructions A.2. below):

☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each class

Trading Symbol(s)

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.01 par value

ALSN

New York Stock Exchange Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On October 29, 2025, Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (“Allison”) published an earnings release reporting its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the earnings release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto. Following the publication of the earnings release, Allison will host an earnings call on October 29, 2025 at 5:00 p.m. ET on which its financial results for the three months ended September 30, 2025 will be discussed. The investor presentation materials that will be used for the call are attached as Exhibit 99.2 hereto. On October 29, 2025, Allison posted the materials attached as Exhibits 99.1 and 99.2 on its website (www.allisontransmission.com). As discussed on page 2 of Exhibit 99.2, the investor presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are present expectations and are subject to the limitations listed therein and in Allison’s other Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including that actual events or results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements. The foregoing information (including the exhibits hereto) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits:

Exhibit Number

Description

99.1

Earnings release dated October 29, 2025.

99.2

Investor presentation materials dated October 29, 2025.

104

Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.

Date: October 29, 2025

By:

/s/ Eric C. Scroggins

Name:

Eric C. Scroggins

Title:

Vice President, General Counsel and Assistant Secretary

About Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) Earnings

This page provides Allison Transmission Holdings Inc. (ALSN) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ALSN's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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