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AI Earnings Predictions for Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM)

Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns

Latest Prediction

SELL

1-Day Prediction

-7.30%

$41.90

0% positive prob.

5-Day Prediction

-7.53%

$41.80

0% positive prob.

20-Day Prediction

-15.03%

$38.41

0% positive prob.

Price at prediction: $45.20 Confidence: 100.0% Model AUC: 1.0000 Quarter: Q4 2025

Earnings Transcripts

SEC 8-K filings with transcript text

View All
2025
Q4

Q4 2025 Earnings

8-K SELL

Feb 19, 2026 · 100% conf.

AI Prediction SELL

1D

-7.30%

$41.90

5D

-7.53%

$41.80

20D

-15.03%

$38.41

Price: $45.20 Prob +5D: 0% AUC: 1.000
0001459200-26-000004

alrm-20260219false000145920000014592002026-02-192026-02-19

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): February 19, 2026

ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 001-37461 26-4247032 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

8281 Greensboro DriveSuite 100TysonsVirginia 22102

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (877) 389-4033

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligations of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.01 par value per shareALRMThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

1

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 19, 2026, Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release (the "Press Release") announcing its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A copy of the Press Release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the Press Release attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is furnished under Item 2.02 and shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any of the Company's filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits

Exhibit No.  Description 99.1 Press Release Dated February 19, 2026

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

2

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

Date:February 19, 2026 By:/s/ Kevin Bradley

Kevin Bradley

Chief Financial Officer

3

2025
Q3

Q3 2025 Earnings

8-K

Nov 6, 2025

0001459200-25-000022

alrm-20251106false000145920000014592002025-11-062025-11-06

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): November 6, 2025

ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 001-37461 26-4247032 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

8281 Greensboro DriveSuite 100 TysonsVirginia 22102

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (877) 389-4033

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligations of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.01 par value per shareALRMThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

1

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On November 6, 2025, Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release (the "Press Release") announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. A copy of the Press Release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the Press Release attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is furnished under Item 2.02 and shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any of the Company's filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press Release Dated November 6, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

2

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

Date:November 6, 2025 By:/s/ Kevin Bradley

Kevin Bradley

Chief Financial Officer

3

2025
Q2

Q2 2025 Earnings

8-K

Aug 7, 2025

0001459200-25-000016

alrm-20250807false000145920000014592002025-08-072025-08-07

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): August 7, 2025

ALARM.COM HOLDINGS, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Delaware 001-37461 26-4247032 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (Commission File Number) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

8281 Greensboro DriveSuite 100 TysonsVirginia 22102

(Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (877) 389-4033

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligations of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

☐Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425) ☐Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b)) ☐Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

Title of each classTrading SymbolName of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, $0.01 par value per shareALRMThe Nasdaq Stock Market LLC

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

Emerging growth company ☐

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐

1

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On August 7, 2025, Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release (the "Press Release") announcing its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. A copy of the Press Release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.

The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the Press Release attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto, is furnished under Item 2.02 and shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any of the Company's filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, whether made before or after the date hereof, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d)Exhibits

Exhibit No.Description 99.1 Press Release Dated August 7, 2025

104Cover Page Interactive Data File (the cover page XBRL tags are embedded within the Inline XBRL document)

2

SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc.

Date:August 7, 2025 By:/s/ Kevin Bradley

Kevin Bradley

Chief Financial Officer

3

About Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) Earnings

This page provides Alarm.com Holdings Inc. (ALRM) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.

Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ALRM's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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