Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-0.91%
$44.01
0% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-3.56%
$42.83
0% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-0.78%
$44.06
0% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -0.91% | -3.56% | -0.78% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q1 2026 | SELL | -1.22% | -3.60% | +0.07% | 100.0% | -3.24% |
| Q4 2025 | SELL | -1.25% | -4.07% | +0.26% | 100.0% | -0.31% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Jul 21, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-0.91%
$44.01
Act: +0.54%
5D
-3.56%
$42.83
20D
-0.78%
$44.06
2 d40046dex991.htm
Exhibit 99.1
News release: IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Ally Financial Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
$1.18
11.0%
$537 million
$2.3 billion
$1.21
11.8%
$527 million
$2.3 billion
•
GAAP EPS of $1.18 was up 14% year over year | Adjusted EPS1 of $1.21 was up 22% year over year
•
GAAP Pre-tax income of $537 million was up 23% year over year | Core
pre-tax income1 of $527 million was up 26% year over year
•
Return on Common Equity of 11.0% was up ~20 bps year over year | Core ROTCE1 of 11.8% was up ~80 bps year over year
•
NIM ex. OID1 of 3.63% was up 11 bps quarter over quarter and up 18 bps year over year
•
Common equity tier 1 ratio of 10.1% was up ~20 bps year over year | Executed $148 million of share repurchases during the quarter
•
$13.3 billion of consumer auto originations sourced from a record 4.6 million consumer auto applications
•
Estimated retail auto originated yield1 of 9.09% with 47% of volume within the highest credit quality tier
•
Retail auto net charge-offs of 157 bps were down 18 bps year over year
•
Insurance written premiums of $382 million were up 9% year over year
•
$144 billion of retail deposits | 92% FDIC insured | 87% core deposit funded
•
69 consecutive quarters of retail deposit customer growth, serving 3.6 million customers
•
Corporate Finance HFI portfolio of $13.7 billion with non-performing loans at less than 1% | ROE of 32%
“Our results through the first half of the year reflect the strength of our franchises and disciplined execution of our teammates,” said Chief Executive Officer, Michael Rhodes. “The actions we have taken to sharpen our focus, enhance our balance sheet, and invest in our core businesses are translating into improved earnings, expanding returns, and increasing confidence in our path forward.
Dealer Financial Services once again demonstrated the strength of our franchise. Our scale and market position drove record application volume supporting more than $13 billion in originations, up 21% year-over-year. Our underwriting approach remains disciplined and responsive to market conditions, enabling us to grow while maintaining attractive risk-adjusted returns. Insurance written premiums were up nearly 10% year-over-year as our team deepens relationships and expands our integrated dealer offering.
Corporate Finance continues to deliver, producing a 32% return on equity while maintaining exceptional credit quality. The portfolio’s resilience and growth reflect our prioritization of credit risk management and the long-standing relationships that have guided our success through cycles.
At Ally Bank, we continue to benefit from the ongoing shift toward digital-first banking. Our retail depositor base has grown for more than 17 consecutive years with industry leading retention rates reflecting the value our customers place in our unique proposition. Meanwhile, our $144 billion in retail deposits provide a durable source of funding that supports accretive growth across our franchises and reinforces our competitive position.
As we enter the second half of 2026, we are building on a position of strength. While the operating environment remains dynamic, our strategy is working, our team is aligned, and the strength of our core franchises provides the resilience and flexibility to perform across market cycles. Our earnings power and return profile continue to improve, and I am confident in our ability to deliver long-term value for shareholders.”
Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Increase / (Decrease) vs.
($ millions except per share data)
GAAP Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Shareholders
$ 367
$ 291
$ 324
26 %
13 %
Core Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders1
$ 375
$ 346
$ 309
8 %
21 %
GAAP Earnings per Common Share (basic or diluted as applicable)
$ 1.18
$ 0.93
$ 1.04
27 %
14 %
Adjusted EPS1
$ 1.21
$ 1.11
$ 0.99
9 %
22 %
Return on GAAP Shareholders’ Equity
11.0 %
8.8 %
10.7 %
25 %
2 %
Core ROTCE1
11.8 %
11.1 %
11.0 %
7 %
7 %
GAAP Common Shareholders’ Equity per Share
$ 44.38
$ 43.22
$ 39.71
3 %
12 %
Adjusted Tangible Book Value per Share1
$ 42.12
$ 40.93
$ 37.30
3 %
13 %
GAAP Total Net Revenue
$ 2,286
$ 2,102
$ 2,082
9 %
10 %
Adjusted Total Net Revenue1
$ 2,276
$ 2,179
$ 2,064
4 %
10 %
1
The following are non-GAAP financial measures which Ally believes are
important to the reader of the Consolidated Financial Statements, but which are supplemental to and not a substitute for GAAP measures: Adjusted Earnings per Share (Adjusted EPS), Adjusted Total Net Revenue, Core Pre-Tax Income, Core Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders, Core OID, Core Return o
Apr 17, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.22%
$45.01
Act: +1.61%
5D
-3.60%
$43.92
Act: -3.24%
20D
+0.07%
$45.60
Act: -7.62%
2 d117350dex991.htm
Exhibit 99.1
News release: IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Ally Financial Reports First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
$0.93
8.8%
$400 million
$2.1 billion
$1.11
11.1%
$470 million
$2.2 billion
•
GAAP EPS of $0.93 | Adjusted EPS1 of $1.11 was up ~90% year over year
•
GAAP Pre-tax income of $400 million | Core pre-tax income1 of $470 million was up $223 million year over year
•
Return on Common Equity of 8.8% | Core ROTCE1 of 11.1% was up ~440 bps year over year
•
NIM ex. OID1 of 3.52% was up 1 bp quarter over quarter and up 17 bps year over year
•
Common equity tier 1 ratio of 10.1% was up ~60 bps year over year | Executed $147 million of share repurchases during the quarter
•
$11.5 billion of consumer auto originations sourced from a record 4.4 million consumer auto applications
•
Estimated retail auto originated yield1 of 9.60% with 41% of volume within the highest credit quality tier
•
Retail auto net charge-offs of 197 bps, down 15 bps year over year
•
Insurance written premiums of $389 million were up $4 million year over year
•
$146 billion of retail deposits | 92% FDIC insured | 88% core deposit funded
•
68 consecutive quarters of retail deposit customer growth, serving 3.5 million customers
•
Corporate Finance HFI portfolio of $13.7 billion with no new non-performing loans during the quarter | ROE of 26%
“The first quarter marked a strong start to the year, reflecting the momentum we’ve established across our core franchises,” said Chief Executive Officer, Michael Rhodes. “Our results underscore the strength of our ‘Focused. Forward.’ strategy and the disciplined execution behind it. This approach is driving sustained value for our customers and shareholders.
In Dealer Financial Services, strong, mutually beneficial dealer relationships led to a record 4.4 million consumer applications. Robust application flow allowed us to remain selective while delivering originations of $11.5 billion, a 13% increase year over year despite lower industry sales. Within Insurance, we grew average inventory exposure 12% year over year, reflecting our all-in value proposition as we support our dealers across all aspects of their businesses.
Corporate Finance delivered another impressive quarter with a 26% ROE and balances growing to $13.7 billion. Our disciplined risk management approach has resulted in a high-quality portfolio consistently delivering across cycles, with criticized assets and non-accrual loans near historic lows.
At Ally Bank, our digital-first model continues to set us apart, delivering exceptional customer service and experiences. We ended the quarter with $146 billion in retail deposits from 3.5 million customers – marking a 68th consecutive quarter of customer growth. Our deposits base not only reinforces our position as the nation’s largest all-digital, direct bank, but provides durable, low-cost funding that fuels disciplined growth in our core lending franchises.
We entered 2026 with momentum, and our execution continues to build on it. ‘Focused. Forward.’ is delivering strong performance and positioning us to compete and win. Even in a dynamic environment, the opportunities ahead are compelling. With a clear strategy and a strong foundation in place, I am confident in our ability to deliver compelling long-term value for shareholders.”
First Quarter 2026 Financial Results
Increase / (Decrease) vs.
($ millions except per share data)
GAAP Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Common Shareholders
$ 291
$ 300
$ (253 )
(3 )%
215 %
Core Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders1
$ 346
$ 341
$ 179
2 %
94 %
GAAP Earnings per Common Share (basic or diluted as applicable)
$ 0.93
$ 0.95
$ (0.82 )
(3 )%
214 %
Adjusted EPS1
$ 1.11
$ 1.09
$ 0.58
2 %
90 %
Return on GAAP Shareholders’ Equity
8.8 %
9.2 %
(8.6 )%
(5 )%
202 %
Core ROTCE1
11.1 %
11.1 %
6.7 %
(1 )%
66 %
GAAP Common Shareholders’ Equity per Share
$ 43.22
$ 42.70
$ 38.77
1 %
11 %
Adjusted Tangible Book Value per Share1
$ 40.93
$ 40.38
$ 35.95
1 %
14 %
GAAP Total Net Revenue
$ 2,102
$ 2,123
$ 1,541
(1 )%
36 %
Adjusted Total Net Revenue1
$ 2,179
$ 2,165
$ 2,065
1 %
6 %
1
The following are non-GAAP financial measures which Ally believes are
important to the reader of the Consolidated Financial Statements, but which are supplemental to and not a substitute for GAAP measures: Adjusted Earnings per Share (Adjusted EPS), Adjusted Total Net Revenue, Core Pre-Tax Income, Core Net Income Attributable to Common Shareholders, Core OID, Core Return on Tangible Common Equity (Core ROTCE), Estimated Retail Auto Originated Yield, Tangible Common Equity, Net Financing Revenue (excluding
Jan 21, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
-1.25%
$41.90
Act: -1.04%
5D
-4.07%
$40.70
Act: -0.31%
20D
+0.26%
$42.54
Act: -1.25%
8-K
false 0000040729 0000040729 2026-01-21 2026-01-21
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 January 21, 2026 (Date of report; date of earliest event reported) Commission file number: 1-3754
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
38-0572512
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) Ally Detroit Center 500 Woodward Ave. Floor 10, Detroit, Michigan 48226 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) (866) 710-4623 (Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
☐ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading symbols
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter). Emerging growth company ☐ If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Item 2.02 Results of Operation and Financial Condition.
On January 21, 2026, Ally Financial Inc. issued a press release announcing preliminary operating results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. The press release is attached hereto and incorporated by reference as Exhibit 99.1. Charts furnished to securities analysts are attached hereto and incorporated by reference as Exhibit 99.2. In addition, supplemental financial data furnished to securities analysts is attached hereto and incorporated by reference as Exhibit 99.3.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
Exhibit No.
Description
99.1
Press Release, Dated January 21, 2026
99.2
Charts Furnished to Securities Analysts
99.3
Supplemental Financial Data Furnished to Securities Analysts
104
The cover page from this Current Report on Form 8-K, formatted in Inline XBRL
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
(Registrant)
Dated: January 21, 2026
/s/ Austin T. McGrath
Austin T. McGrath
Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer
This page provides Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on ALLY's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.