Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
+7.47%
$123.69
100% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
+8.53%
$124.90
100% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
+9.00%
$125.45
95% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | BUY | +7.47% | +8.53% | +9.00% | 100.0% | Pending |
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -10.73% | -11.86% | -14.76% | 95.6% | Pending |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +6.90% | +10.32% | +10.44% | 100.0% | +1.36% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +8.72% | +10.92% | +7.59% | 100.0% | +8.52% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Sep 28, 2026 · 96% conf.
1D
-10.73%
$126.61
Act: -10.74%
5D
-11.86%
$125.00
20D
-14.76%
$120.89
2 tm2626100d2_ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
AAR reports first quarter fiscal year 2027 results
Wood Dale, Illinois, September 28, 2026 — AAR CORP. (NYSE: AIR) (the “Company” or “AAR”), a leading parts, repair, and software platform in the aviation aftermarket, reported today financial results for the fiscal year 2027 first quarter ended August 31, 2026.
In a separate press release issued today, AAR announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a controlling interest in MRO Holdings. For additional information on the transaction, please refer to the transaction-specific press release and the investor presentation on the Investors section of AAR’s website. Due to this agreement, AAR's previously scheduled earnings conference call has been rescheduled to 7:00 AM CT on Tuesday, September 29, 2026.
(As compared to Q1 FY2026)
·Sales of $918 million; increased 24%
·GAAP diluted EPS of $1.00
·Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.49; increased 38%
·GAAP Net income of $40 million
·Adjusted EBITDA of $117 million; increased 34%
·Adjusted EBITDA margin increased from 11.7% to 12.7%
“This was a very strong start to our fiscal year,” said John M. Holmes, AAR’s Chairman, President and CEO. “Our airline customers continue to experience strong demand for air travel, which in turn is driving strong demand for our services, as evidenced by our results this quarter. Total sales were up 24%, and we saw growth across all three core segments. In our Parts Supply segment, total growth of 31% was led by 23% organic growth in new parts Distribution on strength in both Commercial and Government end markets. Our Repair, Engineering & Software (RE&S) segment reported 31% sales growth, driven by our Airframe MRO, Component MRO, and software activities. Government Solutions was up 4% driven by strength in Mobility Systems.
“Our sales growth resulted in an adjusted EBITDA increase of 34% in the quarter and adjusted EBITDA margins of 12.7%, up 100 basis points year over year. Total adjusted EBITDA margin from the Parts Supply, RE&S, and Government Solutions segments was 13.3%.
1
“Cash from operations in the quarter was $56 million, helping to further reduce net leverage to 1.81x.
“Along with our strong fiscal first quarter earnings, we also announced an agreement to acquire a 65% controlling interest in MRO Holdings. Over the last several years, AAR has taken important steps to reshape our portfolio into an integrated Parts, Repair, and Software aviation aftermarket platform. Through the acquisition of MRO Holdings, AAR will achieve scale that significantly accelerates our strategy as heavy maintenance helps drive revenue to all other areas of the company. Further, the transaction structure allows us to partner with a proven team that brings decades of experience in a strategically important region while also providing the financial flexibility to continue to pursue AAR’s broader strategy. This acquisition is highly strategic for AAR and marks a significant step in our long-term growth plan.”
Holmes concluded, “Our strategy has been successful over the last several years as we have delivered above-market growth and consistent margin expansion. The acquisition of MRO Holdings will further propel this growth and drive a meaningful step-up in our margin profile. The strategy, portfolio, and combination add to the strength and resilience of our aftermarket platform. Given our solid first quarter results and continued demand for our solutions, we remain confident in our ability to deliver another year of strong performance in fiscal 2027.”
Consolidated first quarter sales increased 24% to $918.0 million, compared to $739.6 million in the same quarter last year. Sales to commercial customers increased 28%, or $147.5 million, primarily due to the acquisition contributions combined with continued above-market Commercial Distribution sales. Sales to government customers increased 14%, or $30.9, over the same period last year, primarily due to increased volumes in our new parts distribution activities. Sales to commercial customers were 73% of consolidated sales, compared to 71% in the prior year quarter.
The Company reported net income of $40.1 million, or $1.00 per diluted share. For the first quarter of the prior year, the Company reported net income of $34.4 million, or $0.95 per diluted share. Adjusted diluted earnings per share in the first quarter of fiscal year 2027 were $1.49, compared to $1.08 in the first quarter of the prior year.
Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $107.0 million in the current quarter, compared to $71.8 million in the prior year quarter. Acquisition, amortization, and integration expenses were $19.6 million in the quarter, compared to $4.4 million in the prior year quarter.
2
Operating margins were 7.9% in the quarter, compared to 8.8% in the prior year quarter. Adjusted oper
Jul 21, 2026 · 96% conf.
1D
-10.73%
$126.61
Act: -10.74%
5D
-11.86%
$125.00
20D
-14.76%
$120.89
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Mar 24, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+8.72%
$97.89
Act: +1.44%
5D
+10.92%
$99.87
Act: +8.52%
20D
+7.59%
$96.87
Act: +18.98%
2 tm269282d1_ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
AAR reports third quarter fiscal year 2026 results
Wood Dale, Illinois, March 24, 2026 — AAR CORP. (NYSE: AIR), a leading provider of aviation services to commercial and government operators, MROs, and OEMs, reported today financial results for the fiscal year 2026 third quarter ended February 28, 2026.
(As compared to Q3 FY2025)
·Sales of $845 million; increased 25%
·GAAP diluted EPS of $1.71
·Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.25; increased 26%
·GAAP Net income of $68 million
·Adjusted EBITDA of $102 million; increased 26%
·Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 12.1% from 12.0%
“AAR delivered another outstanding quarter, continuing our momentum. Total sales were up 25%, including 14% organic adjusted sales growth,” stated John M. Holmes, AAR’s Chairman, President and CEO. “We saw growth across each of our parts, repair, and software platform activities in the quarter. Our Parts Supply segment grew 45% led by 36% organic growth in our new parts Distribution activity. Within new parts Distribution we saw 55% organic growth in sales to our government customers. Our Repair & Engineering business also reported strong sales growth in the period on continued volume increases in our hangars and component repair facilities, while Trax results showcased further expansion of its recurring software revenue.
“Our continued strong revenue growth translated to an adjusted EBITDA increase of 26% in the quarter, and we expanded our adjusted EBITDA margins from 12.0% to 12.1% year over year. We expect continued margin expansion as we shift our sales mix to higher margin offerings as well as realize synergies from our recent acquisitions.
“Regarding acquisitions, the execution of our integration and performance improvement plan for HAECO Americas is progressing well and is ahead of schedule. Furthermore, our acquisition of ADI is exceeding our expectations, and we continue to find new opportunities for growth, particularly given its government product lines. Finally, we remain on track to close our acquisition of A-R-T in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026.
1
“We also made solid progress with respect to our leverage. Cash from operations was $75 million in the quarter, which helped us to reduce net leverage to 2.17x. We are now comfortably within our target range of 2.0x to 2.5x, giving us flexibility to continue funding our strategic growth.
Holmes concluded, “We see significant opportunity for continued profitable growth ahead, supported by resilient and growing demand for our aviation aftermarket solutions. We are closely following the conflict in the Middle East and are in constant contact with our customers. Fundamental demand for air travel remains extremely strong, and we are the preferred solution for the markets we serve. We remain extremely well positioned in the market and are committed to delivering for our customers in all environments while executing on our disciplined growth strategy.”
·Commenced exclusive distribution agreement with TRIUMPH for its actuation power line on Boeing and Airbus commercial platforms
·Recently awarded new multi-year contracts with the U.S. Air Force to repair and build new pallets at our Mobility Systems location worth up to $450 million
·Completed Oklahoma City Airframe MRO facility expansion, inducted first aircraft in early March
·Trax signed a multi-year contract expansion with Air Atlanta Icelandic to add eMobility and cloud hosting solutions to its current eMRO platform offering
·Signed a new agreement with Otto Instrument Service to distribute the LASEREF IV inertial reference system product line, further broadening our new parts Distribution activities in the business aviation market
Consolidated third quarter sales increased 25% to $845.1 million, compared to $678.2 million in the same quarter last year. Sales to commercial customers increased 27%, or $130 million, primarily due to double-digit organic growth across new parts Distribution within the Company's Parts Supply segment and the impact of the Company’s acquisitions of HAECO Americas and ADI. Sales to government customers increased 19% over the same period last year, primarily due to increased order volume for new parts Distribution activities and the impact of ADI’s sales to government customers. Sales to commercial customers were 73% of consolidated sales, compared to 72% in the prior year quarter.
2
The Company reported net income of $68.0 million, or $1.71 per diluted share. For the third quarter of the prior year, the Company reported a net loss of $8.9 million, or $0.25 per share. The prior year quarter included a pre-tax charge of $63.7 million associated with the divestiture of the Company’s Landing Gear Overhaul business. Adjusted diluted earnings per share in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 were $1.25, compared to $0.99 in the
This page provides AAR Corp. (AIR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AIR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.