Machine learning predictions based on historical earnings data and price patterns
1-Day Prediction
-10.73%
$126.61
2% positive prob.
5-Day Prediction
-11.86%
$125.00
2% positive prob.
20-Day Prediction
-14.76%
$120.89
2% positive prob.
| Quarter | Signal | 1D Return | 5D Return | 20D Return | Confidence | Actual 5D |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | SELL | -10.73% | -11.86% | -14.76% | 95.6% | Pending |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +6.90% | +10.32% | +10.44% | 100.0% | +1.36% |
| Q4 2025 | BUY | +8.72% | +10.92% | +7.59% | 100.0% | +8.52% |
SEC 8-K filings with transcript text
Jul 21, 2026 · 96% conf.
1D
-10.73%
$126.61
Act: -10.74%
5D
-11.86%
$125.00
20D
-14.76%
$120.89
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Mar 24, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+8.72%
$97.89
Act: +1.44%
5D
+10.92%
$99.87
Act: +8.52%
20D
+7.59%
$96.87
Act: +18.98%
2 tm269282d1_ex99-1.htm
Exhibit 99.1
AAR reports third quarter fiscal year 2026 results
Wood Dale, Illinois, March 24, 2026 — AAR CORP. (NYSE: AIR), a leading provider of aviation services to commercial and government operators, MROs, and OEMs, reported today financial results for the fiscal year 2026 third quarter ended February 28, 2026.
(As compared to Q3 FY2025)
·Sales of $845 million; increased 25%
·GAAP diluted EPS of $1.71
·Adjusted diluted EPS of $1.25; increased 26%
·GAAP Net income of $68 million
·Adjusted EBITDA of $102 million; increased 26%
·Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 12.1% from 12.0%
“AAR delivered another outstanding quarter, continuing our momentum. Total sales were up 25%, including 14% organic adjusted sales growth,” stated John M. Holmes, AAR’s Chairman, President and CEO. “We saw growth across each of our parts, repair, and software platform activities in the quarter. Our Parts Supply segment grew 45% led by 36% organic growth in our new parts Distribution activity. Within new parts Distribution we saw 55% organic growth in sales to our government customers. Our Repair & Engineering business also reported strong sales growth in the period on continued volume increases in our hangars and component repair facilities, while Trax results showcased further expansion of its recurring software revenue.
“Our continued strong revenue growth translated to an adjusted EBITDA increase of 26% in the quarter, and we expanded our adjusted EBITDA margins from 12.0% to 12.1% year over year. We expect continued margin expansion as we shift our sales mix to higher margin offerings as well as realize synergies from our recent acquisitions.
“Regarding acquisitions, the execution of our integration and performance improvement plan for HAECO Americas is progressing well and is ahead of schedule. Furthermore, our acquisition of ADI is exceeding our expectations, and we continue to find new opportunities for growth, particularly given its government product lines. Finally, we remain on track to close our acquisition of A-R-T in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026.
1
“We also made solid progress with respect to our leverage. Cash from operations was $75 million in the quarter, which helped us to reduce net leverage to 2.17x. We are now comfortably within our target range of 2.0x to 2.5x, giving us flexibility to continue funding our strategic growth.
Holmes concluded, “We see significant opportunity for continued profitable growth ahead, supported by resilient and growing demand for our aviation aftermarket solutions. We are closely following the conflict in the Middle East and are in constant contact with our customers. Fundamental demand for air travel remains extremely strong, and we are the preferred solution for the markets we serve. We remain extremely well positioned in the market and are committed to delivering for our customers in all environments while executing on our disciplined growth strategy.”
·Commenced exclusive distribution agreement with TRIUMPH for its actuation power line on Boeing and Airbus commercial platforms
·Recently awarded new multi-year contracts with the U.S. Air Force to repair and build new pallets at our Mobility Systems location worth up to $450 million
·Completed Oklahoma City Airframe MRO facility expansion, inducted first aircraft in early March
·Trax signed a multi-year contract expansion with Air Atlanta Icelandic to add eMobility and cloud hosting solutions to its current eMRO platform offering
·Signed a new agreement with Otto Instrument Service to distribute the LASEREF IV inertial reference system product line, further broadening our new parts Distribution activities in the business aviation market
Consolidated third quarter sales increased 25% to $845.1 million, compared to $678.2 million in the same quarter last year. Sales to commercial customers increased 27%, or $130 million, primarily due to double-digit organic growth across new parts Distribution within the Company's Parts Supply segment and the impact of the Company’s acquisitions of HAECO Americas and ADI. Sales to government customers increased 19% over the same period last year, primarily due to increased order volume for new parts Distribution activities and the impact of ADI’s sales to government customers. Sales to commercial customers were 73% of consolidated sales, compared to 72% in the prior year quarter.
2
The Company reported net income of $68.0 million, or $1.71 per diluted share. For the third quarter of the prior year, the Company reported a net loss of $8.9 million, or $0.25 per share. The prior year quarter included a pre-tax charge of $63.7 million associated with the divestiture of the Company’s Landing Gear Overhaul business. Adjusted diluted earnings per share in the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 were $1.25, compared to $0.99 in the
Jan 6, 2026 · 100% conf.
1D
+8.72%
$97.89
Act: +1.44%
5D
+10.92%
$99.87
Act: +8.52%
20D
+7.59%
$96.87
Act: +18.98%
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2026-01-06 2026-01-06
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Common Stock, $1.00 par value
AIR
Washington, D.C. 20549
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of Earliest Event Reported): January 6, 2026
AAR
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
1-6263
36-2334820
(State of Incorporation )
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
One AAR Place 1100 N. Wood Dale Road Wood Dale, Illinois 60191
(Address and Zip Code of Principal Executive Offices)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (630) 227-2000
Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
¨Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of Each Class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered
Common Stock, $1.00 par value
AIR
New York Stock Exchange
NYSE Texas
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b—2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company ¨
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ¨
Item 2.02Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
On January 6, 2026, AAR CORP. (the “Company”) issued a press release and supplemental slide presentation reporting the Company’s financial results for the second quarter ended November 30, 2025. Copies of the Company’s press release and supplemental slide presentation are attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2, respectively.
The information furnished under Item 2.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K and the exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. It may only be incorporated by reference in another filing under the Exchange Act or Securities Act of 1933, as amended, if such subsequent filing specifically references this Form 8-K.
Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits.
Exhibit No.
Description
99.1
Press Release issued by AAR CORP. dated January 6, 2026.
99.2
Slide Presentation by AAR CORP. dated January 6, 2026.
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document)
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Date: January 6, 2026
By:
/s/ SARAH L. FLANAGAN
Sarah L. Flanagan
Interim Chief Financial Officer and Vice President of Financial Operations
(Principal Financial Officer)
This page provides AAR Corp. (AIR) earnings call transcripts from SEC 8-K filings along with AI-powered predictions for post-earnings price movements. Our machine learning models analyze historical earnings data, pre-earnings price patterns, volume changes, and volatility to predict 1-day, 5-day, and 20-day returns after each earnings release.
Earnings transcripts are sourced directly from SEC EDGAR filings. Predictions are generated using gradient boosting models trained on AIR's historical earnings reactions. All predicted returns are shown as percentages, and predicted prices are calculated from the closing price at the time of prediction. Past performance does not guarantee future results.